Duplex
4534 13th Ave · Sacramento, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$459,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Incredible investment opportunity! This affordable and aggressively priced duplex provides instant income. Both units are rented and feature 2 bedrooms and a full bath and onsite parking. The large lot also features an outbuilding for additional tenant storage. The property is located within a short drive to the UCD Medical Center and highway 99. All inspections have been done and are available upon request. Don't delay, start generating income today!
Key facts
- Outbuilding
- Onsite parking
- Large lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking (1 total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Irrigation from public district
- Home design: Duplex (residential income); House style; Built in 1952; One-story
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Sidewalk on lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Free-standing electric oven
- Bedrooms: Each unit has 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Ceiling fans; Wall-mounted cooling units; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Two-unit residential income property (duplex); One story
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: other (unspecified)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $459k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $746 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $373/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $459k).
- Recommended offer: $445k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, cost of living F.
- Sacramento City Unified (urban): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #804 of 1,400 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,608/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 1255% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($445k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $240k; list at $459k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.97%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $488,767
- List price
- $459,000
- Delta
- -6.09%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3556 43rd St | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,538 (-1%) | 19mo | $507,500 | $330 | 72 |
| 4901 - 4903 10th Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,458 (-6%) | 12mo | $610,000 | $418 | 65 |
| 5081 10th Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,615 (+4%) | 6mo | $625,000 | $387 | 62 |
| 4000 11th Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 1,614 (+4%) | 21mo | $450,000 | $279 | 58 |
| 5001 11th Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,760 (+13%) | 0mo | $575,000 | $327 | 55 |
| 3557 - A & B 6th Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,622 (+4%) | 20mo | $430,000 | $265 | 54 |
| 3811 15th Ave | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 | 1,450 (-7%) | 5mo | $565,000 | $390 | 49 |
| 4407 4th Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,664 (+7%) | 24mo | $760,000 | $457 | 42 |
| 3946 23rd Ave/4806 Mendocino | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+3%) | 23mo | $515,000 | $322 | 38 |
| 4501 48th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,367 (-12%) | 23mo | $383,750 | $281 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-19,306
- Equity at exit
- $68,438
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $76,364
- Equity at exit
- $39,686
Cash invested: $128,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95820
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 16.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,608 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,407
- Tax from tax record
- −$296 /mo · $3,547/yr
- Insurance
- −$191
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$968
- Net cashflow
- $746
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,006 | -5% $876 | +0% $746 | +5% $617 | +10% $487 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $382 | -5% $564 | +0% $746 | +5% $928 | +10% $1,110 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $978 | -0.5pp $863 | base $746 | +0.5pp $627 | +1.0pp $506 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $4,608 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,304 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,304 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,608 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $114,750
- Closing costs
- $13,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3962 44th St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1081 | $2,550 | $2.36 | 8d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3962 44th St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1081 | $2,495 | $2.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4624 11th Ave Sacramento, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1643 | $3,200 | $1.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3400 44th St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1578 | $2,495 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4311 48th St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1313 | $2,150 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5017 10th Ave Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,600 | $1.86 | 17d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4204 51st St Unit A Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,450 | $2.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4204 51st St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,450 | $2.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3210 40th St Unit 1/2 Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,990 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5221 9th Ave Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1626 | $3,000 | $1.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4930 Bonniemae Way Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1289 | $2,500 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3042 53rd St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,225 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3900 38th St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $2,540 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5301 20th Ave Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $2,650 | $2.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3407 37th St Sacramento, CA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1371 | $1,845 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4200 35th St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4225 Y St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $4,450 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3402 7th Ave Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1139 | $1,950 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3480 22nd Ave Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1549 | $2,500 | $1.61 | 18d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3401 21st Ave Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 8d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5321 57th St Sacramento, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,399 | $1.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3675 T St Sacramento, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $4,060 | $4.16 | 3d | 9 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19price $459,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $479,950 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $479,950 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $479,950 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $479,950 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $479,950 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $479,950 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $479,950 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $479,950 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $479,950 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $479,950 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $479,950 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $479,950 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $479,950 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $479,950 Active 38 DOM
-
2016-02-24soldstatus $240,000
-
1982-05-10soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,547 · $296/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,547 · $296/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,711
- − Property taxes
- −$3,547
- − Insurance
- −$2,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,424
- − Management
- −$4,424
- − Depreciation
- −$13,353
- Taxable income
- $1,543
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$370
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,587/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sacramento City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633840
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,280
- Composite
- 34.86/100
- National rank
- #10000
- State rank
- #804 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Sacramento
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #6957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sacramento, CA
- County
- Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
- City population
- 761,410
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,410
- Household income
- $78,436
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1255.0
Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,660,763 people
- By 2030
- 1,732,990 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,855,755 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,941,335 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 2,046,162 · +23.2%
- By 2100
- 1,961,444 · +18.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% White 31% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 11% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Russian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -473.17%
- Current HPI
- 413.4424
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.62%
- Metro
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+352.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2016-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 1982-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,547 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…