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452/450 W Main St
C Composite 57.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

452/450 W Main St · Ashland, OH 44805
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,304 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1910 3,485 sqft lot Est $163k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

For one price you will get 2 single family homes. 450 W Main St - 36x100 lot, 1304 sq ft, built in 1910, 3 beds 1 bath, Shingle roof, wood sided, pantry. The garage is shared and a wall separates each side. Properties are in the flood zone. There is a lot 44x113 next to 450 W Main that is included. Cash buyers only please. TOTAL TAXES FOR ALL 3 LOTS $1069.56

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1910

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Pantry; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (8.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.8% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Ashland City (town): math 70% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #165 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $145k implies a 651% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,231 (8.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.19%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
605 Evergreen St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,276 (-2%) 2mo $160,000 $125 84
122 Lindale Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,316 (+1%) 2mo $125,000 $95 82
410 Ohio St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-1%) 6mo $150,000 $116 74
857 Sandusky St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-1%) 4mo $204,000 $157 64
803 Myers Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,414 (+8%) 4mo $151,000 $107 63
120 High St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,346 (+3%) 3mo $177,500 $132 62
1110 Southview Dr 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,248 (-4%) 3mo $222,000 $178 58
1022 Union St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,248 (-4%) 7mo $152,000 $122 55
1407 Cottage St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,368 (+5%) 1mo $50,000 $37 55
846 Sandusky St 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,482 (+14%) 3mo $219,900 $148 46
347 East 4th St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,442 (+11%) 5mo $100,000 $69 45
255 E 9th St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,112 (-15%) 6mo $145,000 $130 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.07% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-8,875
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$28,884
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44805

Rents YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,322 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $985/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
200 Race St Unit 200 Ashland, OH 2.0 1.0 1532 $735 $0.48 43d 1 0.07mi
510 Broad St Ashland, OH 3.0 1.0 1681 $1,650 $0.98 44d 1 0.22mi
222 E Walnut St Unit 212 Ashland, OH 2.0 1.0 970 $900 $0.93 43d 1 0.65mi
917 Birch St Ashland, OH 3.0 1.0 1116 $1,175 $1.05 43d 1 0.77mi
606 Edgehill Ave Ashland, OH 4.0 2.0 1858 $1,850 $1.00 43d 1 0.92mi
1440 Hiner Ave Ashland, OH 2.0 1.0–1.5 867 $920 $1.06 43d 1 1.15mi
332 Sloan Ave Ashland, OH 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,300 $1.16 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $145,000 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 360-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $145,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$985 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,624 · $135/mo
Expected delta
+$638/yr (+$53/mo · 64.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,868
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$985
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,269
− Management
−$1,269
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$722
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$173
After-tax cash flow
$1,874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ashland City
NCES district ID
3904350
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,164
Composite
58.31/100
National rank
#1015
State rank
#165 of 656 in OH

Livability — Ashland

Score
72/100
State rank
#373
US rank
#6095

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashland, OH
County
Ashland County · 30,805 people
City population
30,805
Metro
Ashland, OH
Population (ZIP)
30,805
Household income
$68,299
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
706.0

Population outlook (Ashland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,732 people
By 2030
51,728 · -1.9%
By 2040
48,956 · -7.2%
By 2050
46,070 · -12.6%
By 2075
38,945 · -26.1%
By 2100
30,883 · -41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashland

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.5% · R 74.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+48.7 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+30.0 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -196.79%
Current HPI
201.96
Rent YoY
▲ 7.07%
Metro
Ashland, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+651.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $145,000 ABOR
  • 1975-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $19,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $985 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…