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224 Shellwood Dr
C- Composite 54.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$106,000

224 Shellwood Dr · Wake Village, TX 75501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1962 8,276 sqft lot $93/sqft · 24% above area Est $86k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move-in ready, and already listed at $990-mo in Wake Village — one of East Texas's most reliable rental communities. This clean, move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home is priced at the portfolio's entry point and delivers a return that punches well above its weight. Tile flooring throughout for low-maintenance living, spacious living area filled with natural light, practical layout designed for everyday comfort, kitchen with generous cabinet storage and ample counter space, and a large covered back patio best for relaxing or entertaining, plus a private yard, washer-dryer, extra storage, and outdoor parking. Everything a tenant needs, nothing that needs work. FOR HOMEOWNERS Move straight into a clean, comfortable home with a covered back patio and private yard in Wake Village — where tree-lined streets, Texarkana ISD schools, and easy access to shopping, dining, and Interstate 369 make everyday life genuinely easy. In a suburb where people actively choose to live, this is one of the best value opportunities in the market right now. FOR INVESTORS Move-in ready, already listed at market, zero make-ready costs, and zero downtime between closing and CF. Tile flooring, a covered patio, and a private yard attract low-maintenance, long-term tenants in a suburb with strong, consistent rental demand from working families, healthcare workers, and military personnel near Red River Army Depot. At $110K in Wake Village, the numbers and the location both work. Part of a 20-property SFR portfolio across Texarkana and Nash. Buy one or scale into multiple.

Key facts

  • Cozy dining area
  • Lush backyard
  • Modern appliances

Tags

SPACIOUS LAYOUTMODERN APPLIANCESCOZY DINING AREALUSH BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#51 in TX, #2,068 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F.
  • Texarkana ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #472 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 10607% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,640 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.08%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,682
List price
$106,000
Delta
23.71%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1029 Mariana Ave 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,044 (-9%) 14mo $150,000 $144 61
400 Redwater Rd 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,162 (+2%) 23mo $101,000 $87 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,457
Equity at exit
$15,805
10-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$14,298
Equity at exit
$9,165

Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75501

Home prices YoY
-34.9%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
320
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,293 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$556
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,770/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $946
Max offer price $106,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,500
Closing costs
$3,180
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
411 Redwater Rd Wake Village, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.58mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $106,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $106,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $106,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $106,000 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $108,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $108,000 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $108,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $108,000 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $108,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $108,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $108,000 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $108,000 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $108,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $108,000 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $108,000 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $108,000 Active 65 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $108,000 Active 64 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    listed $990
  19. 2026-04-24
    historical $990
  20. 2026-03-27
    listed $110,000 Active 1587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1587 chars)

    Move-in ready, and already listed at $990-mo in Wake Village — one of East Texas's most reliable rental communities. This clean, move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home is priced at the portfolio's entry point and delivers a return that punches well above its weight. Tile flooring throughout for low-maintenance living, spacious living area filled with natural light, practical layout designed for everyday comfort, kitchen with generous cabinet storage and ample counter space, and a large covered back patio best for relaxing or entertaining, plus a private yard, washer-dryer, extra storage, and outdoor parking. Everything a tenant needs, nothing that needs work. FOR HOMEOWNERS Move straight into a clean, comfortable home with a covered back patio and private yard in Wake Village — where tree-lined streets, Texarkana ISD schools, and easy access to shopping, dining, and Interstate 369 make everyday life genuinely easy. In a suburb where people actively choose to live, this is one of the best value opportunities in the market right now. FOR INVESTORS Move-in ready, already listed at market, zero make-ready costs, and zero downtime between closing and CF. Tile flooring, a covered patio, and a private yard attract low-maintenance, long-term tenants in a suburb with strong, consistent rental demand from working families, healthcare workers, and military personnel near Red River Army Depot. At $110K in Wake Village, the numbers and the location both work. Part of a 20-property SFR portfolio across Texarkana and Nash. Buy one or scale into multiple.

  21. 2026-02-19
    listed $990
  22. 2025-07-24
    soldstatus
  23. 1998-09-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,770 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,940 · $162/mo
Expected delta
+$170/yr (+$14/mo · 9.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,516
− Mortgage interest
−$5,938
− Property taxes
−$1,770
− Insurance
−$530
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,241
− Management
−$1,241
− Depreciation
−$3,084
Taxable income
$1,713
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$411
After-tax cash flow
$2,877/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Texarkana ISD
NCES district ID
4842480
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,692
Composite
31.87/100
National rank
#5867
State rank
#472 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wake Village

Score
79/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#2068

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wake Village, TX
County
Bowie County · 61,238 people
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
Population (ZIP)
34,866
Household income
$45,995
Rent vs Own
42.9% rent · 57.1% own
Severe rent burden
1289.0

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.14%
Current HPI
147.9402
Rent YoY
▲ 1.63%
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed for Rent $990 Avail
  • 2026-04-24 Rental Removed $990 Avail
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $110,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-19 Listed for Rent $990 Avail
  • 2025-07-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1998-09-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,770 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…