1214 Church Rd · Franklin, PA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LARGER THAN YOU WOULD EXPECT! WELL KEPT HOME THAT BORDERS A NATIVE TROUT STREAM. FANTASTIC 21 X 29 FAMILY ROOM WITH MASTER BEDROOM LOFT, FORMAL DINING ROOM WITH FLORIDA TILE FLOOR, LIVING ROOM WITH WOOD FLOOR & WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE. SIX PERSON HOT TUB CONVEYS. 23 X 16 DECK. PELLET STOVE IN FAMILY ROOM & GAS FIREPLACE IN DINING ROOM. |
Key facts
- Vaulted ceiling
- Conewago creek
- 0.41 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Private water; On-site septic; Electric available
- Home design: Detached structure
- Construction: Built (year source: Assessor); Foundation: Other; Roof: Unknown; Other structures above and below grade
- Exterior features: Water view; Rural location; Directions: US-30 W from Gettysburg toward Chambersburg, turn onto Church Rd.
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on main level; 2 full bathrooms total
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Has fireplace (1); Basement present (other type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#812 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Gettysburg Area SD (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #132 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Franklin Twp El Sch (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #313 of 1,518 statewide, top 24%, 369 students, 45% FRL); Gettysburg Area Ms (math 28% / reading 60%, grade D, #202 of 512 statewide, top 40%, 682 students, 43% FRL); Gettysburg Area Hs (math 80% / reading 24%, grade C-, #112 of 437 statewide, top 26%, 1,024 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.14%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $92,040
- Equity at exit
- $121,619
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.80×
- Total profit
- $256,856
- Equity at exit
- $262,275
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17353
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,769 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,631/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $289
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $365 | -5% $327 | +0% $289 | +5% $250 | +10% $212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $149 | -5% $219 | +0% $289 | +5% $358 | +10% $428 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $357 | -0.5pp $323 | base $289 | +0.5pp $254 | +1.0pp $218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$135,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,631 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,631 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,631
- − Insurance
- −$2,178
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,698
- − Management
- −$1,698
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,530
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$367
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,096/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gettysburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210710
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,451
- Composite
- 46.03/100
- National rank
- #2526
- State rank
- #132 of 539 in PA
Livability — Franklin
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #812
- US rank
- #8260
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,745
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,494 people
- By 2030
- 101,890 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 98,417 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 92,014 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 76,128 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 58,931 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.28%
- Current HPI
- 307.9862
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+40.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-07 Price Changed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $114,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-13 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-07 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2001-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $90,500 Public Records
- 2000-12-29 Sold (MLS) $90,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-05-21 Listed $95,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $2,631 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…