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1214 Church Rd
B+ Composite 76.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$135,000

1214 Church Rd · Franklin, PA 17353
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,865 sqft · Other public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1950 0.41 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LARGER THAN YOU WOULD EXPECT! WELL KEPT HOME THAT BORDERS A NATIVE TROUT STREAM. FANTASTIC 21 X 29 FAMILY ROOM WITH MASTER BEDROOM LOFT, FORMAL DINING ROOM WITH FLORIDA TILE FLOOR, LIVING ROOM WITH WOOD FLOOR & WOOD BURNING FIREPLACE. SIX PERSON HOT TUB CONVEYS. 23 X 16 DECK. PELLET STOVE IN FAMILY ROOM & GAS FIREPLACE IN DINING ROOM. |

Key facts

  • Vaulted ceiling
  • Conewago creek
  • 0.41 acre lot

Tags

0.41 ACRE CLEARED LOTCONEWAGO CREEKBRAND NEW HVAC SYSTEMLARGE LIVING AND DINING AREAVAULTED CEILINGCLOSE TO MICHAUX STATE FOREST

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Private water; On-site septic; Electric available
  • Home design: Detached structure
  • Construction: Built (year source: Assessor); Foundation: Other; Roof: Unknown; Other structures above and below grade
  • Exterior features: Water view; Rural location; Directions: US-30 W from Gettysburg toward Chambersburg, turn onto Church Rd.

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on main level; 2 full bathrooms total
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Has fireplace (1); Basement present (other type)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#812 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Gettysburg Area SD (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #132 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Franklin Twp El Sch (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #313 of 1,518 statewide, top 24%, 369 students, 45% FRL); Gettysburg Area Ms (math 28% / reading 60%, grade D, #202 of 512 statewide, top 40%, 682 students, 43% FRL); Gettysburg Area Hs (math 80% / reading 24%, grade C-, #112 of 437 statewide, top 26%, 1,024 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,975 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
9.97%
Cash-on-cash
13.14%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.0%
Equity multiple
3.43×
Total profit
$92,040
Equity at exit
$121,619
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
7.80×
Total profit
$256,856
Equity at exit
$262,275

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17353

Home prices YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,769 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$219 /mo · $2,631/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$289

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,403
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $365 -5% $327 +0% $289 +5% $250 +10% $212
Rent -10% $149 -5% $219 +0% $289 +5% $358 +10% $428
Rate -1.0pp $357 -0.5pp $323 base $289 +0.5pp $254 +1.0pp $218

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $135,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,631 · $219/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,631 · $219/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone A · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,224
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,631
− Insurance
−$2,178
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,698
− Management
−$1,698
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,530
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$367
After-tax cash flow
$3,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gettysburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4210710
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$58,451
Composite
46.03/100
National rank
#2526
State rank
#132 of 539 in PA

Livability — Franklin

Score
69/100
State rank
#812
US rank
#8260

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,745

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,494 people
By 2030
101,890 · -0.6%
By 2040
98,417 · -4.0%
By 2050
92,014 · -10.2%
By 2075
76,128 · -25.7%
By 2100
58,931 · -42.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.28%
Current HPI
307.9862
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-07 Price Changed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-04 Price Changed $114,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-13 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-07 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-07 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $90,500 Public Records
  • 2000-12-29 Sold (MLS) $90,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-05-21 Listed $95,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,631 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…