Concept 2915 Plan · Gunter, TX 75058

$673,990

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,915 sqft · SingleFamily · 863 Days on market

Excellent condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.5/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.8/10.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• DSCR +4.1/10.0
• 1% rule +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

This stunning home offers room for everyone to spread out and relax along with gorgeous entertaining spaces where you can gather with loved ones. There are numerous options ensuring you can transform this home to fit your lifestyle. A covered porch welcomes you to the foyer from the exterior featuring one of six elevations, three that include beautiful stone details. The formal dining room with a boxed ceiling is set just off the entry. If you would prefer, you can convert this space into a study with French doors or move the formal dining room to the opposite side of the entry, replacing bedroom four. Day-to-day life is sure to revolve around the spacious, light-filled, and open-concept family room, kitchen, and breakfast nook. A corner fireplace adds comfort in addition to the wall of windows that frame views over the backyard and draw in warm natural light. Whether you're a passionate cook or simply prepare meals as part of your routine, you'll enjoy the designer kitchen with granite countertops, an island with room for seating, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter and cabinet space. Access to the optional rear covered patio is through the breakfast nook. The master suite boasts an enormous walk-in closet that opens to the utility room. Separated by double doors, the master bath features dual vanities, a separate shower with a seat, and a garden tub or you could opt for the luxury bath offering a freestanding tub and a larger walk-in shower. Three additional bedrooms ha

Key facts

• 3 garage spots
• Listed 862 days

🏗️ New construction. The $673,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $773,211.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $674k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($342/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $674k).
• Recommended offer: $593k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 1.9% in Gunter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#236 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Gunter ISD (rural): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #103 of 826 in TX (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $83k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $77k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $216k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$133k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 863 days — a 12% lower offer ($593k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $593,111 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 863 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.88% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.16%
• DSCR: 1.01
• GRM: 9.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $773,211
• List price: $673,990
• Delta: -12.83%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
335 Waterview Dr	0.08mi	4/3.0	3,014 (+3%)	2mo	$800,199	$265	87
160 Waterview Dr	0.29mi	4/2.5	2,862 (-2%)	2mo	$684,999	$239	82
300 Waterview Dr	0.19mi	4/3.0	2,784 (-4%)	1mo	$700,000	$251	81
150 Waterview Dr	0.29mi	4/3.0	3,021 (+4%)	2mo	$774,789	$256	76
105 Meadow Ln	0.23mi	4/2.5	2,798 (-4%)	12mo	$727,888	$260	72
170 Waterview Dr	0.37mi	4/3.0	3,009 (+3%)	11mo	$749,888	$249	66
145 Knoll Trl	0.22mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,623 (-10%)	3mo	$674,999	$257	66
154 Whispering Winds Dr	0.33mi	4/2.0	2,559 (-12%)	0mo	$395,000	$154	62
115 Knoll Trl	0.41mi	4/3.5	3,132 (+7%)	3mo	$849,900	$271	62
686 Cypress Point Dr	0.67mi	3/2.5 (-1)	2,767 (-5%)	1mo	$729,000	$263	54
1264 Mackey Rd	0.68mi	5/3.0 (+1)	3,009 (+3%)	3mo	$2,475,000	$823	53
139 Parkside Ct	0.56mi	4/3.0	3,275 (+12%)	4mo	$900,000	$275	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 24.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.95×
• Total profit: $423,030
• Equity at exit: $696,570

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.75×
• Total profit: $1,244,529
• Equity at exit: $1,502,179

Cash invested: $216,499 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75058

• Home prices YoY: 6.4%
• Active inventory: 201
• Price-to-rent: 8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $6,800 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,055
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$967 /mo · $11,598/yr
• Insurance: −$322
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,428
• Net cashflow: $29

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,764

Max offer price $773,211

Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $193,303
• Closing costs: $23,196
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
300 Waterview Dr Gunter, TX	4.0	3.0	2784	$6,800	$2.44	15d	1	0.19mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $673,990 Active 863 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $673,990 Active 862 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $673,990 Active 861 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $673,990 Active 860 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $673,990 Active 858 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $673,990 Active 854 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $673,990 Active 853 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $673,990 Active 852 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $673,990 Active 849 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $673,990 Active 848 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $673,990 Active 847 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $673,990 Active 846 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $673,990 Active 845 DOM
14. 2024-02-06
    listed $673,990 Active 1506-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1506 chars)

    This stunning home offers room for everyone to spread out and relax along with gorgeous entertaining spaces where you can gather with loved ones. There are numerous options ensuring you can transform this home to fit your lifestyle. A covered porch welcomes you to the foyer from the exterior featuring one of six elevations, three that include beautiful stone details. The formal dining room with a boxed ceiling is set just off the entry. If you would prefer, you can convert this space into a study with French doors or move the formal dining room to the opposite side of the entry, replacing bedroom four. Day-to-day life is sure to revolve around the spacious, light-filled, and open-concept family room, kitchen, and breakfast nook. A corner fireplace adds comfort in addition to the wall of windows that frame views over the backyard and draw in warm natural light. Whether you're a passionate cook or simply prepare meals as part of your routine, you'll enjoy the designer kitchen with granite countertops, an island with room for seating, stainless steel appliances, and ample counter and cabinet space. Access to the optional rear covered patio is through the breakfast nook. The master suite boasts an enormous walk-in closet that opens to the utility room. Separated by double doors, the master bath features dual vanities, a separate shower with a seat, and a garden tub or you could opt for the luxury bath offering a freestanding tub and a larger walk-in shower. Three additional bedrooms ha

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $81,600
• − Mortgage interest: −$43,312
• − Property taxes: −$11,598
• − Insurance: −$3,866
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$6,528
• − Management: −$6,528
• − Depreciation: −$22,493
• Taxable loss: −$12,725
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,054
• After-tax cash flow: $3,396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This stunning home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a great opportunity for a potential buyer or renter looking for a move-in-ready property with room for growth and updates.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior brick and stone — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value
• Both Install smart home automation — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental value
• Both Add outdoor lighting — Enhances curb appeal and safety
• Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can boost resale value
• Both Install smart thermostat — Energy-efficient systems can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint exterior brick and stone — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value ↑
• Both Install smart home automation — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental value ↑
• Both Add outdoor lighting — Enhances curb appeal and safety ↑
• Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can boost resale value ↑
• Both Install smart thermostat — Energy-efficient systems can increase both resale and rental value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gunter ISD
• NCES district ID: 4821960
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 58% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $79,375
• Composite: 47.63/100
• National rank: #2254
• State rank: #103 of 826 in TX

Livability — Gunter

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #236
• US rank: #5729

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Gunter, TX
• Population (ZIP): 3,614

Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 134,540 people
• By 2030: 138,653 · +3.1%
• By 2040: 145,958 · +8.5%
• By 2050: 151,218 · +12.4%
• By 2075: 161,802 · +20.3%
• By 2100: 159,036 · +18.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 18% Black 1% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Grayson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 18.56%
• Current HPI: 309.3751
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2024-02-06 Listed $673,990 Zillow