1949 Chimneywood Ct · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ESTABLISHED CHIMNEYWOOD NEIGHBORHOOD ready for new owner to come relax & enjoy. Large living area with beautiful fireplace & vaulted ceiling, fresh paint & crown molding. Updated kitchen with stainless appliances, granite countertops, new backsplash, sink & faucet, freshly painted, refrigerator stays. Large master bedroom with walk in closet. Bathrooms are updated with granite countertops, fixtures & tile shower. The backyard has an extended patio for entertaining. New windows added in front of house. New privacy fence on the northside of the house.
Key facts
- Cul-de-sac
- Solar panels
- Crown molding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Exclusions: refrigerator, washer, dryer, furniture, personal items and grill; Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car attached garage; Driveway; Garage faces front
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Property not attached; Subdivision: Chimney Wood Add
- Construction: Built in 1981; Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Gutters; Wood fencing; Cul-de-sac lot; Few trees; Landscaped; Located in a subdivision
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Vented exhaust fan; Plumbed for gas in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 1 (16 x 14); Bedroom on level 1 (13 x 11); Bedroom on level 1 (11 x 13)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Wood-burning fireplace with brick surround
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Cable TV available; Flat screen wiring; High-speed internet available; 6 total rooms; 1 living area; 1 dining area; 1 story (one level)
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Utility room; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-54/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (0.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $248k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+33.5%/yr); 374 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.07%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $219,912
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1949 Chimneywood Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,617 (0%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $170 | 100 |
| 3134 Vine St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (-3%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $159 | 84 |
| 3526 Rhonni Ct | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,712 (+6%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $181 | 80 |
| 1925 Davids Ct | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,785 (+10%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $134 | 74 |
| 2618 S 38th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (+0%) | 1mo | $256,000 | $158 | 73 |
| 2409 S 38th St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,686 (+4%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $113 | 70 |
| 2410 S 38th St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,763 (+9%) | 5mo | $239,900 | $136 | 60 |
| 1918 Edgemont Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,818 (+12%) | 8mo | $219,900 | $121 | 55 |
| 2526 Edgemont Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (-13%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $135 | 52 |
| 2302 Vine St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-6%) | 6mo | $229,000 | $150 | 51 |
| 2701 S 27th St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-11%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $115 | 50 |
| 2509 S 41st St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,386 (-14%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $105 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-31,677
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $31,949
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Rents YoY
- 33.5%
- Active inventory
- 374
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,478 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$405 /mo · $4,861/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$520
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $151 | -5% $73 | +0% $-4 | +5% $-82 | +10% $-160 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-200 | -5% $-102 | +0% $-4 | +5% $93 | +10% $191 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $134 | -0.5pp $65 | base $-4 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-148 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2601 Edgemont Dr Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $2,495 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2701 S 40th St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2402 S 20th St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2040 | $1,400 | $0.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1934 Portland Ave Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,900 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3409 High Meadows Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1987 | $2,995 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2510 Gilmer Ave Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1974 | $2,995 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 108 Dotty Lou St Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $4,800 | $3.43 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3373 S 27th St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-05-04status Active
-
2026-04-21historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-04-18price $275,000
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2026-04-02$265,000 Active
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2020-07-31soldstatus
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2020-07-30soldstatus Sold 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
ESTABLISHED CHIMNEYWOOD NEIGHBORHOOD ready for new owner to come relax & enjoy. Large living area with beautiful fireplace & vaulted ceiling, fresh paint & crown molding. Updated kitchen with stainless appliances, granite countertops, new backsplash, sink & faucet, freshly painted, refrigerator stays. Large master bedroom with walk in closet. Bathrooms are updated with granite countertops, fixtures & tile shower. The backyard has an extended patio for entertaining. New windows added in front of house. New privacy fence on the northside of the house.
-
2020-07-05status Pending 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
ESTABLISHED CHIMNEYWOOD NEIGHBORHOOD ready for new owner to come relax & enjoy. Large living area with beautiful fireplace & vaulted ceiling, fresh paint & crown molding. Updated kitchen with stainless appliances, granite countertops, new backsplash, sink & faucet, freshly painted, refrigerator stays. Large master bedroom with walk in closet. Bathrooms are updated with granite countertops, fixtures & tile shower. The backyard has an extended patio for entertaining. New windows added in front of house. New privacy fence on the northside of the house.
-
2020-06-23historical Active Option Contract 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
ESTABLISHED CHIMNEYWOOD NEIGHBORHOOD ready for new owner to come relax & enjoy. Large living area with beautiful fireplace & vaulted ceiling, fresh paint & crown molding. Updated kitchen with stainless appliances, granite countertops, new backsplash, sink & faucet, freshly painted, refrigerator stays. Large master bedroom with walk in closet. Bathrooms are updated with granite countertops, fixtures & tile shower. The backyard has an extended patio for entertaining. New windows added in front of house. New privacy fence on the northside of the house.
-
2020-06-23status Active 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
ESTABLISHED CHIMNEYWOOD NEIGHBORHOOD ready for new owner to come relax & enjoy. Large living area with beautiful fireplace & vaulted ceiling, fresh paint & crown molding. Updated kitchen with stainless appliances, granite countertops, new backsplash, sink & faucet, freshly painted, refrigerator stays. Large master bedroom with walk in closet. Bathrooms are updated with granite countertops, fixtures & tile shower. The backyard has an extended patio for entertaining. New windows added in front of house. New privacy fence on the northside of the house.
-
2020-06-19historical Active Option Contract 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
ESTABLISHED CHIMNEYWOOD NEIGHBORHOOD ready for new owner to come relax & enjoy. Large living area with beautiful fireplace & vaulted ceiling, fresh paint & crown molding. Updated kitchen with stainless appliances, granite countertops, new backsplash, sink & faucet, freshly painted, refrigerator stays. Large master bedroom with walk in closet. Bathrooms are updated with granite countertops, fixtures & tile shower. The backyard has an extended patio for entertaining. New windows added in front of house. New privacy fence on the northside of the house.
-
2020-06-10$184,900 Active 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
ESTABLISHED CHIMNEYWOOD NEIGHBORHOOD ready for new owner to come relax & enjoy. Large living area with beautiful fireplace & vaulted ceiling, fresh paint & crown molding. Updated kitchen with stainless appliances, granite countertops, new backsplash, sink & faucet, freshly painted, refrigerator stays. Large master bedroom with walk in closet. Bathrooms are updated with granite countertops, fixtures & tile shower. The backyard has an extended patio for entertaining. New windows added in front of house. New privacy fence on the northside of the house.
-
2015-12-02soldstatus
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2015-12-01soldstatus Sold 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
3bdrm, 2 bath home looking for a new family. Walking distance to Cooper High School. Tucked away on a cul-de-sac in a small subdivision. $5,000 Buyer's Allowance included! Large family room with fireplace!
-
2015-11-02status Pending 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
3bdrm, 2 bath home looking for a new family. Walking distance to Cooper High School. Tucked away on a cul-de-sac in a small subdivision. $5,000 Buyer's Allowance included! Large family room with fireplace!
-
2015-10-22historical Active Option Contract 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
3bdrm, 2 bath home looking for a new family. Walking distance to Cooper High School. Tucked away on a cul-de-sac in a small subdivision. $5,000 Buyer's Allowance included! Large family room with fireplace!
-
2015-10-20$148,000 Active 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
3bdrm, 2 bath home looking for a new family. Walking distance to Cooper High School. Tucked away on a cul-de-sac in a small subdivision. $5,000 Buyer's Allowance included! Large family room with fireplace!
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2011-11-30soldstatus
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2011-11-29soldstatus
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2011-11-08historical
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2011-10-25$119,900
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2004-02-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,861 · $405/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,032 · $419/mo
- Expected delta
- +$172/yr (+$14/mo · 3.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,731
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,861
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,378
- − Management
- −$2,378
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$4,666
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,120
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,425
- Household income
- $89,551
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 338.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 189.3098
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 33.46%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+129.4% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $275,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $265,000 NTREIS
- 2020-07-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-07-30 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2020-07-05 Pending — NTREIS
- 2020-06-23 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2020-06-23 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2020-06-19 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2020-06-10 Listed $184,900 NTREIS
- 2015-12-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-12-01 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2015-11-02 Pending — NTREIS
- 2015-10-22 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2015-10-20 Listed $148,000 NTREIS
- 2011-11-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-11-29 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2011-11-08 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2011-10-25 Listed $119,900 NTREIS
- 2004-02-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,861 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…