1913 Franklin Dr · Longview, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in an established neighborhood in a desirable area of town, this move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers flexible living spaces to fit your lifestyle. With the option for two or even three living and/or dining areas, there’s plenty of room to entertain, work from home, or simply relax. Fresh interior paint gives the home a bright, updated feel, while the new stove, new garage door, and new garage door opener add extra value and convenience. The garage also features a dedicated storage room with cabinetry—perfect for keeping everything organized. Come see all this home has to offer and imagine making it yours!
Key facts
- New stove
- Two living areas
- New garage door
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (12.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (16.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#213 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Longview ISD (urban): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #244 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: J L Everhart Magnet El (math 55% / reading 50%, grade C-, #720 of 4,322 statewide, top 17%, 449 students, 90% FRL, charter); Forest Park Magnet School (math 42% / reading 40%, grade F, #613 of 1,662 statewide, top 38%, 453 students, 96% FRL, charter); Longview H S (math 61% / reading 52%, grade C, #357 of 1,632 statewide, top 22%, 2,170 students, 82% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 66% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.96%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $269,883
- List price
- $219,999
- Delta
- -18.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1705 Hyacinth Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 2,084 (-1%) | 6mo | $185,300 | $89 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-44,710
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-48,875
- Equity at exit
- $19,021
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75601
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,827 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$350 /mo · $4,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $-152
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-27 | -5% $-90 | +0% $-152 | +5% $-214 | +10% $-276 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-296 | -5% $-224 | +0% $-152 | +5% $-80 | +10% $-7 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-41 | -0.5pp $-96 | base $-152 | +0.5pp $-209 | +1.0pp $-267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1912 Sunshine Sq Longview, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1927 | $1,750 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1609 Everwood Ct Longview, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1505 | $2,495 | $1.66 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2802 Tryon Rd Longview, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,195 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2820 4th St Longview, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2121 | $1,700 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2820 4th St Longview, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $1,695 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-24price $219,999 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Located in an established neighborhood in a desirable area of town, this move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers flexible living spaces to fit your lifestyle. With the option for two or even three living and/or dining areas, there’s plenty of room to entertain, work from home, or simply relax. Fresh interior paint gives the home a bright, updated feel, while the new stove, new garage door, and new garage door opener add extra value and convenience. The garage also features a dedicated storage room with cabinetry—perfect for keeping everything organized. Come see all this home has to offer and imagine making it yours!
-
2026-03-29price $224,000 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Located in an established neighborhood in a desirable area of town, this move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers flexible living spaces to fit your lifestyle. With the option for two or even three living and/or dining areas, there’s plenty of room to entertain, work from home, or simply relax. Fresh interior paint gives the home a bright, updated feel, while the new stove, new garage door, and new garage door opener add extra value and convenience. The garage also features a dedicated storage room with cabinetry—perfect for keeping everything organized. Come see all this home has to offer and imagine making it yours!
-
2026-02-23$234,900 Active 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Located in an established neighborhood in a desirable area of town, this move-in ready 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers flexible living spaces to fit your lifestyle. With the option for two or even three living and/or dining areas, there’s plenty of room to entertain, work from home, or simply relax. Fresh interior paint gives the home a bright, updated feel, while the new stove, new garage door, and new garage door opener add extra value and convenience. The garage also features a dedicated storage room with cabinetry—perfect for keeping everything organized. Come see all this home has to offer and imagine making it yours!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,201 · $350/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,201 · $350/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,929
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$4,201
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,754
- − Management
- −$1,754
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$5,604
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,345
- After-tax cash flow
- $-477/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Longview ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828110
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,837
- Composite
- 39.76/100
- National rank
- #3889
- State rank
- #244 of 826 in TX
Livability — Longview
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #5287
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Longview, TX
- County
- Gregg County · 128,826 people
- City population
- 103,792
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,780
- Household income
- $65,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 761.0
Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 125,947 people
- By 2030
- 126,542 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 127,311 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 127,289 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 124,954 · -0.8%
- By 2100
- 113,737 · -9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gregg
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.73%
- Current HPI
- 252.0752
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- Metro
- Longview, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-6.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $219,999 LAAR
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $224,000 LAAR
- 2026-02-23 Listed $234,900 LAAR
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,201 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…