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13339 Rosebank Ln
B Composite 72.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

13339 Rosebank Ln · Valley Park, MO 63122
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,597 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1946 0.64 ac lot ↓ 46% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

An exceptional investment opening has arrived in unincorporated St. Louis County! Boasting a highly coveted Kirkwood zip code and placement within the premier Parkway South school district, this unique property offers a 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom all-electric residence resting on an expansive lot of nearly three-quarters of an acre. The true prize here is the acreage itself, which delivers a peaceful, rustic ambiance right in the center of the county and backs directly up to protected railroad woodlands, ensuring permanent backyard privacy. With nearby new constructions easily exceeding the $400K mark, the premium land value makes this a goldmine for developers looking to potentially subdivide f

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • Kirkwood zip code
  • 0.64 acre lot

Tags

KIRKWOOD ZIP CODEPARKWAY SOUTH SCHOOL DISTRICTEXPANSIVE LOTPROTECTED RAILROAD WOODLANDSPERMANENT BACKYARD PRIVACYPRIVATE SEPTIC SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Owner-held/contract ownership
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity (single phase); Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block basement
  • Exterior features: Gentle sloping lot; Lot dimensions approximately 150 x 200

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Wall/window air conditioning units; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace located in the basement; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $966 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 3.9% in Valley Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#118 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Parkway C-2 (suburban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #18 of 324 in MO (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Barretts Elem. (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #46 of 1,115 statewide, top 5%, 353 students, 7% FRL); South High (math 42% / reading 68%, grade C, #65 of 521 statewide, top 13%, 1,598 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($136k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.63%
Cap rate
21.75%
Cash-on-cash
55.21%
DSCR
3.46
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$487,085
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13110 Big Bend Rd 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,692 (+6%) 8mo $140,000 $83 60
2402 Saint Giles Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,608 (+1%) 3mo $525,000 $326 58
2463 Saint Giles Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,537 (-4%) 5mo $399,000 $260 57
709 Cheviot Ct 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+0%) 6mo $489,900 $306 57
760 Pebbleshire Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,694 (+6%) 1mo $399,000 $236 56
13264 Rosebank Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,784 (+12%) 20mo $595,000 $334 53
2401 Saint Giles Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,649 (+3%) 9mo $649,900 $394 49
774 Galway Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,589 (-0%) 20mo $450,000 $283 47
2915 Ozark Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,392 (-13%) 10mo $425,000 $305 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.8%
Equity multiple
3.71×
Total profit
$56,906
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
64.0%
Equity multiple
8.72×
Total profit
$162,041
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63122

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
211
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,969 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,976/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$413
Net cashflow
$966

Break-even live

Break-even rent $746
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1157 Timberbrook Dr Kirkwood, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1336 $2,528 $1.89 2d 28 1.21mi
885 Forest Ave #302 Valley Park, MO 2.0 2.0 1085 $1,450 $1.34 24d 1 1.22mi
885 Forest Ave Valley Park, MO 2.0 2.0 1085 $1,450 $1.34 44d 1 1.22mi
895 Forest Ave Valley Park, MO 2.0 2.0 1085 $1,450 $1.34 15d 1 1.23mi
1926 Hunting Lake Ct Kirkwood, MO 3.0 2.0 1216 $2,000 $1.64 2d 1 1.41mi
1951 Greenpoint Dr Kirkwood, MO 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,650 $1.36 19d 1 1.43mi
1943 Greenpoint Dr Kirkwood, MO 2.0 2.0 1216 $1,595 $1.31 7d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,976 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,976 · $165/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,626
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,976
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,890
− Management
−$1,890
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$11,112
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,667
After-tax cash flow
$8,927/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Parkway C-2
NCES district ID
2923580
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$83,551
Composite
50.5/100
National rank
#1851
State rank
#18 of 324 in MO

Livability — Valley Park

Score
71/100
State rank
#118
US rank
#7284

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
8,423
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
41,634
Household income
$136,385
Rent vs Own
18.1% rent · 81.9% own
Severe rent burden
738.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -413.98%
Current HPI
242.2782
Rent YoY
▲ 6.63%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-46.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-28 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-07 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-29 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-12 Price Changed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-12 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-31 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-18 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-14 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-26 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-02 Price Changed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-02 Price Changed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-28 Listed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-22 Listed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1989-07-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,976 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…