13339 Rosebank Ln · Valley Park, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
An exceptional investment opening has arrived in unincorporated St. Louis County! Boasting a highly coveted Kirkwood zip code and placement within the premier Parkway South school district, this unique property offers a 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom all-electric residence resting on an expansive lot of nearly three-quarters of an acre. The true prize here is the acreage itself, which delivers a peaceful, rustic ambiance right in the center of the county and backs directly up to protected railroad woodlands, ensuring permanent backyard privacy. With nearby new constructions easily exceeding the $400K mark, the premium land value makes this a goldmine for developers looking to potentially subdivide f
Key facts
- Expansive lot
- Kirkwood zip code
- 0.64 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Owner-held/contract ownership
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity (single phase); Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block basement
- Exterior features: Gentle sloping lot; Lot dimensions approximately 150 x 200
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Wall/window air conditioning units; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace located in the basement; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $966 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 3.9% in Valley Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#118 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Parkway C-2 (suburban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #18 of 324 in MO (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Barretts Elem. (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #46 of 1,115 statewide, top 5%, 353 students, 7% FRL); South High (math 42% / reading 68%, grade C, #65 of 521 statewide, top 13%, 1,598 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($136k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.21%
- DSCR
- 3.46
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $487,085
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13110 Big Bend Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,692 (+6%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $83 | 60 |
| 2402 Saint Giles Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (+1%) | 3mo | $525,000 | $326 | 58 |
| 2463 Saint Giles Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,537 (-4%) | 5mo | $399,000 | $260 | 57 |
| 709 Cheviot Ct | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+0%) | 6mo | $489,900 | $306 | 57 |
| 760 Pebbleshire Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (+6%) | 1mo | $399,000 | $236 | 56 |
| 13264 Rosebank Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,784 (+12%) | 20mo | $595,000 | $334 | 53 |
| 2401 Saint Giles Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,649 (+3%) | 9mo | $649,900 | $394 | 49 |
| 774 Galway Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,589 (-0%) | 20mo | $450,000 | $283 | 47 |
| 2915 Ozark Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (-13%) | 10mo | $425,000 | $305 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.71×
- Total profit
- $56,906
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 64.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.72×
- Total profit
- $162,041
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63122
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 211
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,969 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,976/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $966
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1157 Timberbrook Dr Kirkwood, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1336 | $2,528 | $1.89 | 2d | 28 | 1.21mi |
| 885 Forest Ave #302 Valley Park, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 885 Forest Ave Valley Park, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 895 Forest Ave Valley Park, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1926 Hunting Lake Ct Kirkwood, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1951 Greenpoint Dr Kirkwood, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,650 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1943 Greenpoint Dr Kirkwood, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,595 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,976 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,976 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,626
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,976
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,890
- − Management
- −$1,890
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $11,112
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,667
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,927/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Parkway C-2
- NCES district ID
- 2923580
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,551
- Composite
- 50.5/100
- National rank
- #1851
- State rank
- #18 of 324 in MO
Livability — Valley Park
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #7284
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 8,423
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,634
- Household income
- $136,385
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 738.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -413.98%
- Current HPI
- 242.2782
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.63%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-46.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-28 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-07 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-29 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-12 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-31 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-18 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-14 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-26 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-02 Price Changed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-02 Price Changed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-28 Listed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-22 Listed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1989-07-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2022): $1,976 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…