🏷️ Likely Rental
402 Idaho Rd · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tenant occupied, do not disturb. Investor opportunity. Situated on a spacious lot, this home features modern flooring, refreshed interiors, and low-maintenance finishes, making it a convenient and efficient buy-and-hold opportunity. Steady monthly income is already in place, making it ideal for investors looking to expand their portfolio with an income-producing property. Photos were taken prior to current occupancy. Rent roll & lease details available upon request.
Key facts
- 0.42 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 35 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; Garage; 4 total parking spaces (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Public sewer; Water available; 110 volt electric service
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Located in Cambridge Estates
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Other; No fencing; No pool; No spa; View available
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Other; Separate dining room; Kitchen with white cabinets and tile countertops; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater; 220 volts in laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Elizabeth Fonde Elementary School (math 6% / reading 26%, grade F, #502 of 627 statewide, top 80%, 725 students, 87% FRL); Wp Davidson High School (math 36% / reading 41%, grade F, #37 of 305 statewide, top 12%, 1,535 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $71k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.15%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,125
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -20.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4129 Springdale Rd | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (+10%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $133 | 70 |
| 4061 Sallie Ct | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (+6%) | 2mo | $138,500 | $137 | 66 |
| 4156 Palmdale Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 984 (+3%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $122 | 64 |
| 4057 Gaylark Rd N | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+13%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $130 | 60 |
| 4107 Seabreeze Rd N | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,079 (+13%) | 8mo | $119,000 | $110 | 59 |
| 4017 Meadow Wood Curv | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+13%) | 3mo | $139,900 | $130 | 55 |
| 618 Wesley Ln E | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,045 (+10%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $129 | 54 |
| 4213 Malibar Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,032 (+8%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $82 | 50 |
| 502 Meadow Wood Curv E | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+13%) | 6mo | $139,000 | $129 | 50 |
| 4001 Sunnyvale Ln S | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+13%) | 3mo | $117,000 | $108 | 50 |
| 704 Raines Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+13%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $83 | 37 |
| 689 Tarawa Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,053 (+11%) | 8mo | $89,000 | $85 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $4,431
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $28,587
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36609
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,142 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,143/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $348 | -5% $323 | +0% $297 | +5% $272 | +10% $246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $207 | -5% $252 | +0% $297 | +5% $342 | +10% $387 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $342 | -0.5pp $320 | base $297 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $250 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4118 Seabreeze Rd N Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4057 Gaylark Rd N Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,275 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 550 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 552 Tamworth Ct Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 833 S University Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,190 | $1.39 | 14d | 12 | 0.46mi |
| 4213 Malibar Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,458 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 608 Azalea Rd Unit G-0701 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $875 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 608 Azalea Rd Unit E-0507 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $1,015 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 608 Azalea Rd Unit R-1807 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $995 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 608 Azalea Rd Unit M-1303 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $950 | $1.61 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 608 Azalea Rd Unit G-0705 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $950 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 608 Azalea Rd Unit E-0505 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $935 | $1.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 608 Azalea Rd Unit N-1407 Mobile, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $855 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4242 Marmora Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1053 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 701 S University Blvd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $1,093 | $1.58 | 22d | 10 | 0.73mi |
| 651 Azalea Rd Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 890 | $927 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 900 Downtowner Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1029 | $1,140 | $1.11 | 14d | 32 | 0.82mi |
| 3800 Michael Blvd Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $942 | $1.10 | 14d | 15 | 0.92mi |
| 561 Village Green Dr E Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,000 | $1.14 | 14d | 4 | 1.01mi |
| 1651 Knollwood Dr Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,247 | $1.49 | 14d | 16 | 1.31mi |
| 3600 Michael Blvd Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $949 | $1.27 | 14d | 3 | 1.33mi |
| 1030 Montlimar Dr Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 997 | $1,232 | $1.24 | 14d | 17 | 1.42mi |
| 3920 Berwyn Dr S Mobile, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1427 | $1,274 | $0.89 | 14d | 34 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $90,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$95,000 Active 474-char remark
-
2024-11-24historical $1,000
-
2024-10-30price $1,000
-
2024-09-25$1,050
-
2021-04-12soldstatus $71,000
-
2021-03-05soldstatus $57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,143 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,143 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,143
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,096
- − Management
- −$1,096
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,255
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$541
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,025/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,820
- Household income
- $49,830
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1379.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 42% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.06%
- Current HPI
- 200.0811
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.07%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+57.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $90,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-14 Listed $95,000 GCMLS AL
- 2024-11-24 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-30 Price Changed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-25 Listed for Rent $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2021-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,143 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…