CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
19588 Bert Diamond Rd
B Composite 73.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$69,000

19588 Bert Diamond Rd · Carolina, AL 36421
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Manufactured · 130 Days on market
Built 2004 Average condition 0.49 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-kept 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home offering comfortable and affordable living. This home features a functional floor plan with a large living area, eat-in kitchen, and split floor plan. Located off of Brooklyn Road in the Pleasant Home school district. This property has two nice covered decks one on the front and one off the back. Large storage building and carport. Fenced in backyard.

Key facts

  • Covered decks
  • Large living area
  • Fenced in backyard

Tags

FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANLARGE LIVING AREAEAT-IN KITCHENCOVERED DECKSFENCED IN BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($910 rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#356 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, employment D+.
  • Covington County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #32 of 129 in AL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.51%
Cash-on-cash
15.06%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$30,138
Equity at exit
$37,807
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
5.06×
Total profit
$78,397
Equity at exit
$64,203

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36421

Home prices YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$910 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$191
Net cashflow
$242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,000 Active 130 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 129 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 128 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 127 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,000 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $69,000 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 113 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 112 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 111 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 110 DOM
  17. 2026-02-09
    listed $69,000 Active 397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    Well-kept 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home offering comfortable and affordable living. This home features a functional floor plan with a large living area, eat-in kitchen, and split floor plan. Located off of Brooklyn Road in the Pleasant Home school district. This property has two nice covered decks one on the front and one off the back. Large storage building and carport. Fenced in backyard.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,925
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$874
− Management
−$874
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$1,925
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$462
After-tax cash flow
$2,447/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home offers a functional floor plan with a large living area and split floor plan. It requires minor repairs and maintenance to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Deck railings — Slight wear on the wooden railings.
  • Minor Shed door — Door is slightly warped and may need adjustment.
  • Minor Carport roof — Roof appears intact but not inspected for damage.
  • Minor Landscaping — Minimal landscaping could be improved with some plants and mulch.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace worn railings — New railings improve safety and appearance.
  • Both Landscaping upgrade — Enhanced landscaping increases curb appeal and property value.
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Regular maintenance ensures efficient operation and reduces energy costs.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Deck railings · Slight wear on the wooden railings. Minor $500–3,000
Shed door · Door is slightly warped and may need adjustment. Minor $500–3,000
Carport roof · Roof appears intact but not inspected for damage. Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Minimal landscaping could be improved with some plants and mulch. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $2,000–12,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace worn railings — New railings improve safety and appearance.
  • Both Landscaping upgrade — Enhanced landscaping increases curb appeal and property value.
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Regular maintenance ensures efficient operation and reduces energy costs.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Covington County
NCES district ID
0100930
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,213
Composite
32.13/100
National rank
#5797
State rank
#32 of 129 in AL

Livability — Carolina

Score
58/100
State rank
#356
US rank
#20976

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing C Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,861

Population outlook (Covington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,007 people
By 2030
36,401 · -1.6%
By 2040
34,983 · -5.5%
By 2050
33,437 · -9.6%
By 2075
29,753 · -19.6%
By 2100
25,109 · -32.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 11% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Covington

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.4) · D 13.6% · R 86.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.3pp · 2024: -72.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.4 2020: R+68.1 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+58.3 2008: R+58.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.69%
Current HPI
184.14
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $69,000 CAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…