19588 Bert Diamond Rd · Carolina, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-kept 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home offering comfortable and affordable living. This home features a functional floor plan with a large living area, eat-in kitchen, and split floor plan. Located off of Brooklyn Road in the Pleasant Home school district. This property has two nice covered decks one on the front and one off the back. Large storage building and carport. Fenced in backyard.
Key facts
- Covered decks
- Large living area
- Fenced in backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($910 rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#356 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, employment D+.
- Covington County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #32 of 129 in AL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.06%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $30,138
- Equity at exit
- $37,807
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.06×
- Total profit
- $78,397
- Equity at exit
- $64,203
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36421
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $910 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-02-09$69,000 Active 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
Well-kept 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom mobile home offering comfortable and affordable living. This home features a functional floor plan with a large living area, eat-in kitchen, and split floor plan. Located off of Brooklyn Road in the Pleasant Home school district. This property has two nice covered decks one on the front and one off the back. Large storage building and carport. Fenced in backyard.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,925
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$874
- − Management
- −$874
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $1,925
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$462
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained mobile home offers a functional floor plan with a large living area and split floor plan. It requires minor repairs and maintenance to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Deck railings — Slight wear on the wooden railings.
- Minor Shed door — Door is slightly warped and may need adjustment.
- Minor Carport roof — Roof appears intact but not inspected for damage.
- Minor Landscaping — Minimal landscaping could be improved with some plants and mulch.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace worn railings — New railings improve safety and appearance.
- Both Landscaping upgrade — Enhanced landscaping increases curb appeal and property value.
- Both HVAC maintenance — Regular maintenance ensures efficient operation and reduces energy costs.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Deck railings · Slight wear on the wooden railings. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Shed door · Door is slightly warped and may need adjustment. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Carport roof · Roof appears intact but not inspected for damage. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Minimal landscaping could be improved with some plants and mulch. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace worn railings — New railings improve safety and appearance. ↑
- Both Landscaping upgrade — Enhanced landscaping increases curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Regular maintenance ensures efficient operation and reduces energy costs. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covington County
- NCES district ID
- 0100930
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,213
- Composite
- 32.13/100
- National rank
- #5797
- State rank
- #32 of 129 in AL
Livability — Carolina
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #356
- US rank
- #20976
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,861
Population outlook (Covington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,007 people
- By 2030
- 36,401 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 34,983 · -5.5%
- By 2050
- 33,437 · -9.6%
- By 2075
- 29,753 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 25,109 · -32.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 11% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Covington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.4) · D 13.6% · R 86.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.3pp · 2024: -72.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.4 2020: R+68.1 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+58.3 2008: R+58.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Current HPI
- 184.14
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Listed $69,000 CAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…