Triplex
733 81st St · Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$915,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Unapproved Short Sale . . Great Investment Triplex + 2 Efficiencies. Income $9,650 per month - 3 of the units include light. 2/1.5 unit is remodeled. Building needs new roof and TLC. Property is in North Miami Beach, walking distance from buses, parks and the beach. Property has 4 code violations. Amounts owed to City of Miami Beach for violations exceed $250,000. Property sold "As is" Buyer to assume the violations.
Key facts
- Triplex
- 4 parking spots
- Built 1950
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.5ba + 2×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $915k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive. Per door: $905/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $915k).
- Recommended offer: $805k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 644 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,101/mo this rent would consume 211% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($805k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 16% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $562k; list at $915k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.72%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-5,206
- Equity at exit
- $136,429
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $101,732
- Equity at exit
- $79,112
Cash invested: $256,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33141
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 644
- Price-to-rent
- 18.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,101 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,798
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,238 /mo · $14,857/yr
- Insurance
- −$381
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,541
- Net cashflow
- $2,716
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,234 | -5% $2,975 | +0% $2,716 | +5% $2,457 | +10% $2,198 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,760 | -5% $2,238 | +0% $2,716 | +5% $3,194 | +10% $3,672 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,176 | -0.5pp $2,948 | base $2,716 | +0.5pp $2,478 | +1.0pp $2,237 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1.5 | $4,118 |
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $7,984 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $3,992 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $3,992 |
| Total (3 units) | $12,101 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $228,750
- Closing costs
- $27,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7811 Carlyle Ave Miami Beach, FL | 6.0 | 5.5 | 3405 | $50,000 | $14.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1131 Stillwater Dr Unit SFH Miami Beach, FL | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3980 | $19,000 | $4.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1151 Stillwater Dr Miami Beach, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3237 | $18,000 | $5.56 | 17d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1249 Biscaya Dr Surfside, FL | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4486 | $26,900 | $6.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1625 Daytonia Rd Miami Beach, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2690 | $18,000 | $6.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7972 Biscayne Point Cir Miami Beach, FL | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3989 | $60,000 | $15.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2025-08-15status Pending
-
2025-02-19historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-02-19price $915,000
-
2024-12-13$790,000 Active
-
2022-04-01soldstatus $562,500
-
2021-08-01historical
-
2021-07-30status Active
-
2021-07-27status Pending
-
2021-04-21$850,000 Active
-
2021-03-31historical
-
2021-01-28$750,000 Active
-
2021-01-14status Active
-
2020-12-12historical
-
2020-10-23status Pending
-
2019-12-13status Active
-
2019-12-13price $750,000
-
2019-12-12historical
-
2019-07-21price $780,000
-
2018-12-13$795,000 Active
-
2002-05-02soldstatus $170,000
-
1971-06-01soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $14,857 · $1,238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,857 · $1,238/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $145,212
- − Mortgage interest
- −$51,254
- − Property taxes
- −$14,857
- − Insurance
- −$9,694
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,617
- − Management
- −$11,617
- − Depreciation
- −$26,618
- Taxable income
- $19,555
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,693
- After-tax cash flow
- $27,893/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #1672
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,533
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,438
- Household income
- $68,738
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3521.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 27% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 62% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -472.71%
- Current HPI
- 336.7298
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1806.2% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-15 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-02-19 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2025-02-19 Price Changed $915,000 MARMLS
- 2024-12-13 Listed $790,000 MARMLS
- 2022-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $562,500 Public Records
- 2021-08-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-07-30 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2021-07-27 Pending — MARMLS
- 2021-04-21 Listed $850,000 MARMLS
- 2021-03-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-01-28 Listed $750,000 MARMLS
- 2021-01-14 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2020-12-12 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-10-23 Pending — MARMLS
- 2019-12-13 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2019-12-13 Price Changed $750,000 MARMLS
- 2019-12-12 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2019-07-21 Price Changed $780,000 MARMLS
- 2018-12-13 Listed $795,000 MARMLS
- 2002-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 1971-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.3%/yrLatest (2025): $14,857 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…