8238 Dunellen Ln · Riverdale, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home offers 1,128 sq ft of comfortable living space on a quiet street in the sought-after Marlborough neighborhood of Clayton County. The functional floor plan provides a great foundation for buyers looking to add their personal touch and build instant equity. Situated on a generous lot with mature trees, the property offers natural shade, curb appeal, and room to enjoy the outdoors. Commuters will love the convenient access to Hwy 54 and proximity to I-75, putting downtown Atlanta, Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, and surrounding employment centers within easy reach. Everyday conveniences including shopping, dining, and local schools are all just minutes away. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to plant roots in an established community, this is an incredible opportunity to own in Jonesboro at an accessible price point.
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Curb appeal
- Natural shade
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer: other; 220 volts electrical service; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: One level; Vinyl siding; Raised block foundation; Composition/shingle roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block raised foundation; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Lighting; Rain gutters; Deck; Patio; Rear porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Stained cabinets; Laminate countertops; Dining L area
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Master bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom with tub/shower combo; Two main-level bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air, natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: No shared/common walls; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in hall laundry closet; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.5% in Riverdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#100 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Swint Elementary School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #988 of 1,228 statewide, top 81%, 582 students, 90% FRL); Pointe South Middle School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #399 of 470 statewide, top 86%, 760 students, 90% FRL); Mundy'S Mill High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 1,629 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.50%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $188,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Darwin Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-8%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $216 | 79 |
| 8317 Marlborough Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,127 (-0%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $204 | 79 |
| 8207 Dunellen Ln | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-8%) | 3mo | $137,000 | $132 | 78 |
| 8117 Attleboro Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-8%) | 4mo | $162,000 | $156 | 74 |
| 55 Royce Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-8%) | 2mo | $134,000 | $129 | 72 |
| 38 Royce Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-8%) | 9mo | $207,500 | $200 | 72 |
| 92 Oriole Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,094 (-3%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $119 | 69 |
| 22 Cardinal Ln | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,084 (-4%) | 12mo | $198,000 | $183 | 66 |
| 8399 Attleboro Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-8%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $91 | 62 |
| 8344 Attleboro Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+13%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $153 | 59 |
| 183 Peachtree Ct | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,028 (-9%) | 10mo | $222,000 | $216 | 47 |
| 213 Peartree Ln | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,201 (+6%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $167 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-6,488
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $11,118
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30238
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 259
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,654 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $357 | -5% $317 | +0% $277 | +5% $238 | +10% $198 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $147 | -5% $212 | +0% $277 | +5% $343 | +10% $408 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $348 | -0.5pp $313 | base $277 | +0.5pp $241 | +1.0pp $204 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8225 Attleboro Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 8268 Dunellen Ln Jonesboro, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,805 | $1.34 | 46d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 8202 Attleboro Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,295 | $1.52 | 26d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 8202 Attleboro Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,295 | $1.52 | 1d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 66 Darwin Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 6d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 8147 Mountain Pass Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,935 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 8206 Huntington Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,520 | $1.19 | 1d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 102 Palisades Pointe Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1224 | $1,673 | $1.37 | 6d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 53 Skylark Ln Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,595 | $1.36 | 26d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 8150 Flamingo Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,615 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8238 Canyon Forge Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1246 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 6d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14 Cardinal Ln Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,446 | $1.29 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 8038 Flamingo Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,553 | $1.32 | 26d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 8194 Canyon Forge Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,555 | $1.05 | 6d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 8154 Huntington Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,661 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 8542 Taylor Rd Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,435 | $1.28 | 7d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8437 Pineland Dr Jonesboro, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1031 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8050 Taylor Rd Riverdale, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $1,319 | $1.40 | 1d | 12 | 0.60mi |
| 8066 Woodlake Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $1,505 | $1.18 | 6d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 222 Peartree Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1028 | $1,480 | $1.44 | 26d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 69 Flint River Rd Unit 1UNIT 16 A Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1274 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 46d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8078 Woodlake Dr Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $1,445 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 100 Riverview Pl Jonesboro, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1153 | $2,002 | $1.74 | 1d | 15 | 0.84mi |
| 7799 Park Ln Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1112 | $1,500 | $1.35 | 6d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 568 Dixon Rd Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,966 | $1.40 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8062 Creekstone Way Riverdale, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1232 | $1,286 | $1.04 | 46d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7943 Taylor Cir Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,665 | $1.24 | 46d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7800 Park Ln Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1036 | $1,723 | $1.66 | 46d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 8141 Hynds Springs Ln Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,715 | $1.26 | 46d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 240 Flint River Rd Jonesboro, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $1,695 | $1.85 | 1d | 65 | 0.97mi |
| 7767 Park Ln Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,660 | $1.56 | 46d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 164 Meadowlark Ln Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,630 | $1.54 | 1d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1 Magnolia Cir Jonesboro, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,621 | $1.75 | 1d | 14 | 1.10mi |
| 8837 Freedom Way Unit 8839 Jonesboro, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,450 | $1.14 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8443 Cedar Creek Rdg Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $1,735 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 269 Highway 138 SW Riverdale, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,405 | $1.41 | 1d | 37 | 1.17mi |
| 8104 Webb Rd Riverdale, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $1,481 | $1.66 | 0d | 18 | 1.19mi |
| 703 Hynds Springs Dr Jonesboro, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,795 | $1.32 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 657 Robert E Lee Pkwy Jonesboro, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,680 | $1.75 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8584 Guthrie Dr Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-07status $139,900 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-05-31$139,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,848 · $237/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,848 · $237/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,848
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,848
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,588
- − Management
- −$1,588
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $1,219
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$292
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clayton County
- NCES district ID
- 1301230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,266
- Composite
- 13.41/100
- National rank
- #9527
- State rank
- #155 of 174 in GA
Livability — Riverdale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #100
- US rank
- #7907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clayton County · 230,153 people
- City population
- 61,126
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,191
- Household income
- $62,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1992.0
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 310,777 people
- By 2030
- 329,762 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 368,052 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 401,196 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 472,488 · +52.0%
- By 2100
- 500,446 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.48%
- Current HPI
- 211.6309
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.06%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+206.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $139,900 GAMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed $139,900 FMLS
- 2021-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $4,573,036 Public Records
- 1999-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $72,900 Public Records
- 1983-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $45,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,848 · +53.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…