2506 Jay St · Slidell, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.57%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for 1st time buyers or investors in Slidell's Ozone Woods subdivision. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a 50' x 143' lot, features a recently added 15.1' x 12.7' sunroom, and is priced to sell As-Is.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1988
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Central heating and central air; Window unit heating and cooling available
- Home design: Single-story; Raised foundation; Average condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built on a raised foundation
- Exterior features: Permeable paving; City lot; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 143
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 10
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 5.9% in Slidell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 489 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $801 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 13 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.28%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,085
- List price
- $115,900
- Delta
- -39.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2521 Robin St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,468 (-8%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $89 | 76 |
| 2515 Pelican St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,405 (-12%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $167 | 69 |
| 2517 Pelican St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,367 (-14%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $176 | 66 |
| 2523 Robin St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,385 (-13%) | 7mo | $198,500 | $143 | 64 |
| 185 Lark St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 1,453 (-8%) | 12mo | $195,000 | $134 | 62 |
| 2402 Mallard St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,361 (-14%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $92 | 60 |
| 173 Lark St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,363 (-14%) | 3mo | $186,500 | $137 | 54 |
| 2207 Oriole St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,370 (-14%) | 5mo | $197,000 | $144 | 51 |
| 204 Sarah Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,510 (-5%) | 14mo | $240,000 | $159 | 50 |
| 2216 Pelican St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-15%) | 13mo | $223,000 | $165 | 43 |
| 2004 Pelican St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+10%) | 14mo | $110,000 | $63 | 36 |
| 2111 Mallard St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,365 (-14%) | 16mo | $205,000 | $150 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $16,895
- Equity at exit
- $17,281
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $53,396
- Equity at exit
- $10,021
Cash invested: $32,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70458
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 489
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,805 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$608
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,010/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $602
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $668 | -5% $635 | +0% $602 | +5% $570 | +10% $537 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $460 | -5% $531 | +0% $602 | +5% $674 | +10% $745 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $661 | -0.5pp $632 | base $602 | +0.5pp $572 | +1.0pp $542 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,975
- Closing costs
- $3,477
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2402 Pelican St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2519 Crane St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2322 Mallard St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 34081 Stanley St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1832 | $1,950 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $115,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-03-27$129,900 Active 220-char remark
-
2026-03-27$129,900 Active 220-char remark
-
2026-01-16price $149,900
-
2026-01-16price $149,900
-
2025-12-18price $159,900
-
2025-12-18price $159,900
-
2025-10-21price $171,000
-
2025-10-21price $171,000
-
2025-10-20$117,000 Active
-
2025-08-07price $118,900
-
2025-08-07price $118,900
-
2025-07-03price $125,000
-
2025-07-03price $125,000
-
2025-06-25price $131,500
-
2025-05-28price $131,500
-
2025-04-29price $137,900
-
2025-04-29price $137,900
-
2025-03-28$144,900 Active
-
2021-06-22soldstatus $145,000
-
2021-06-21soldstatus $145,000 Closed
-
2021-05-19status Pending
-
2021-05-13$150,000
-
2021-05-13$150,000 Active
-
2018-07-05historical
-
2018-06-27$115,000
-
2018-06-27$115,000 Active
-
2015-11-02historical
-
2015-10-12$124,900 Active
-
2015-10-12$124,900
-
2010-08-24$124,900
-
2010-08-24$124,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,010 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,010 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 57% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,492
- − Property taxes
- −$2,010
- − Insurance
- −$580
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,733
- − Management
- −$1,733
- − Depreciation
- −$3,372
- Taxable income
- $5,742
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,378
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Slidell
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #7673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 95,511
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,034
- Household income
- $72,843
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1331.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.60%
- Current HPI
- 147.4749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.47%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-7.2% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $115,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $115,900 GSREIN
- 2026-03-27 Listed $129,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $149,900 GSREIN
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $159,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $159,900 GSREIN
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $171,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $171,000 GSREIN
- 2025-10-20 Listed $117,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $118,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $118,900 GSREIN
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $125,000 GSREIN
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $131,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $131,500 GSREIN
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $137,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $137,900 GSREIN
- 2025-03-28 Listed $144,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-21 Sold (MLS) $145,000 GSREIN
- 2021-05-19 Pending — GSREIN
- 2021-05-13 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-05-13 Listed $150,000 GSREIN
- 2018-07-05 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2018-06-27 Listed $115,000 GSREIN
- 2018-06-27 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-11-02 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2015-10-12 Listed $124,900 GSREIN
- 2015-10-12 Listed $124,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-08-24 Listed $124,900 GSREIN
- 2010-08-24 Listed $124,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,010 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…