2506 Jay St · Slidell, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for 1st time buyers or investors in Slidell's Ozone Woods subdivision. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a 50' x 143' lot, features a recently added 15.1' x 12.7' sunroom, and is priced to sell As-Is.
Key facts
- 7,117 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1988
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $845 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 5.9% in Slidell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Henry Mayfield Elementary School (math 35% / reading 45%, grade F, #221 of 646 statewide, top 34%, 832 students, 60% FRL); Slidell Junior High School (math 25% / reading 47%, grade F, #84 of 218 statewide, top 41%, 823 students, 60% FRL); Slidell High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #93 of 265 statewide, top 36%, 1,883 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 40% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 323 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 119d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 14 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.65%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,136
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -57.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2521 Robin St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,468 (-8%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $89 | 73 |
| 100 Woodridge Ct | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 1,645 (+4%) | 1mo | $211,000 | $128 | 72 |
| 2515 Pelican St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,405 (-12%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $167 | 66 |
| 2517 Pelican St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,367 (-14%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $176 | 63 |
| 2523 Robin St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,385 (-13%) | 10mo | $198,500 | $143 | 61 |
| 185 Lark St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 1,453 (-8%) | 15mo | $195,000 | $134 | 60 |
| 2402 Mallard St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,361 (-14%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $92 | 58 |
| 173 Lark St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,363 (-14%) | 6mo | $186,500 | $137 | 52 |
| 2207 Oriole St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,370 (-14%) | 8mo | $197,000 | $144 | 48 |
| 2034 Swan St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,413 (-11%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $57 | 47 |
| 2216 Pelican St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-15%) | 16mo | $223,000 | $165 | 40 |
| 2004 Pelican St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (+10%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $63 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $45,817
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 50.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.65×
- Total profit
- $134,266
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 15 active · 15 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.3 mo (19%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $199,900 ($137/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 62 d
- This list price
- 7% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -7.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 70460
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,890 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,010/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $845
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $893 | -5% $869 | +0% $845 | +5% $821 | +10% $797 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $696 | -5% $770 | +0% $845 | +5% $920 | +10% $994 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $888 | -0.5pp $867 | base $845 | +0.5pp $823 | +1.0pp $801 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2402 Pelican St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 119d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2519 Crane St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 119d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2316 Robin St Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,700 | $0.97 | 67d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2322 Mallard St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 139d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2022 Jay St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 34081 Stanley St Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1832 | $1,850 | $1.01 | 76d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway
- Utilities
- Public waterSeptic tank
- Home design
- Single-story homeRaised foundationVinyl sidingMetal roofAverage condition
- Construction
- Built with vinyl sidingMetal roofRaised foundation
- Exterior features
- Permeable pavingCity lotRectangular lotLot dimensions approximately 50 x 143
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveOvenRange
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingWindow unit heatingCentral air conditioningWindow unit air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansPantry
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupDryer hookup
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $84,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-09-21pricedays on market $84,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $99,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-08-15pricedays on market $99,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $115,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $115,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $115,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $115,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $115,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $115,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $115,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $115,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $115,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $115,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $115,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $115,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $115,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $115,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $115,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $115,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $115,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $115,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $115,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $115,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $115,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $115,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $115,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $115,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $115,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $115,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $115,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $115,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $115,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $115,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $115,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $115,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $115,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $115,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,900 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,010 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,010 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,679
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$2,010
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,814
- − Management
- −$1,814
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $9,390
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,254
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,885/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This home requires moderate renovations, including kitchen and bathroom updates, to improve its condition and value. The property has a good roof and a decent lot, but the interior and exterior need significant attention.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $10,500–$32,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
- Major Windows (windows) — Windows appear to be old and possibly not sealed properly, indicating potential air leakage and energy inefficiency.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Cabinets are visibly worn and need replacement or repair.
- Major Kitchen countertops — Countertops are outdated and need replacement.
- Major Kitchen appliances — Appliances appear old and need replacement.
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Fixtures are dated and need replacement.
- Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration and minor damage present.
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown and needs trimming.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets will improve the kitchen's functionality and aesthetics, benefiting both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen countertops — Modern countertops will enhance the kitchen's functionality and appeal, benefiting both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Up-to-date appliances will make the kitchen more functional and attractive, benefiting both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures will improve the bathroom's functionality and aesthetics, benefiting both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Slidell
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #7673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 286,725 people
- City population
- 95,511
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,669
- Household income
- $62,565
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 29% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.87%
- Current HPI
- 130.56
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.91%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-08-13 Listed $99,900 GSREIN
- 2026-08-13 Listed $99,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-12 Listed $115,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $129,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $149,900 GSREIN
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $159,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $159,900 GSREIN
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $171,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $171,000 GSREIN
- 2025-10-20 Listed $117,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $118,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $118,900 GSREIN
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $125,000 GSREIN
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $131,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $131,500 GSREIN
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $137,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $137,900 GSREIN
- 2025-03-28 Listed $144,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-21 Sold (MLS) $145,000 GSREIN
- 2021-05-19 Pending — GSREIN
- 2021-05-13 Listed $150,000 GSREIN
- 2021-05-13 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2018-07-05 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2018-06-27 Listed $115,000 GSREIN
- 2018-06-27 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-11-02 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2015-10-12 Listed $124,900 GSREIN
- 2015-10-12 Listed $124,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-08-24 Listed $124,900 GSREIN
- 2010-08-24 Listed $124,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,010 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…