5108 Staples · Fort Smith, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with tons of potential! Featuring a cozy layout, spacious rooms, and a great yard, this property is ready for your personal touch. With a little vision, it can easily become the perfect place to call home sweet home.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 195 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family house; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($923 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harry C. Morrison Elem. School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #365 of 454 statewide, top 82%, 275 students, 91% FRL); Dora Kimmons Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 201 statewide, top 78%, 841 students, 91% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 64% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fort Smith School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $80k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.90%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,992
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Northwood Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-2%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $96 | 80 |
| 3605 Wilma Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (+1%) | 1mo | $157,000 | $155 | 67 |
| 4300 Mussett Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-3%) | 8mo | $72,000 | $73 | 62 |
| 3416 Santa Fe St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (-12%) | 21mo | $110,000 | $124 | 59 |
| 3514 Clayton Ct | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,154 (+14%) | 9mo | $157,500 | $136 | 51 |
| 3114 Oak Grove St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 920 (-9%) | 2mo | $139,500 | $152 | 48 |
| 3425 Short Wilma St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 943 (-6%) | 20mo | $141,000 | $150 | 45 |
| 3605 Northview Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 924 (-8%) | 23mo | $115,000 | $124 | 36 |
| 11 Woodland Pl | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (+14%) | 22mo | $75,000 | $65 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $2,344
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $21,682
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72904
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $923 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $431/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $241
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $286 | -5% $263 | +0% $241 | +5% $218 | +10% $195 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $168 | -5% $204 | +0% $241 | +5% $277 | +10% $314 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $281 | -0.5pp $261 | base $241 | +0.5pp $220 | +1.0pp $199 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4101 Walnut Park Dr Unit 4109 WP Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $825 | $0.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4114 N 54th St Unit A Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5201 Spradling Ave Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $780 | $0.95 | 3d | 4 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $80,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-07status Active
-
2026-03-25price $90,000
-
2025-12-26price $100,000
-
2025-11-13$110,000 Active
-
1989-03-30soldstatus $22,000
-
1981-02-09soldstatus $17,000
-
1979-09-10soldstatus $10,000
-
1979-02-26soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $431 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $512 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$81/yr (+$7/mo · 18.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$431
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$887
- − Management
- −$887
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,669
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$401
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,488/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Smith School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506330
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,066
- Composite
- 30.66/100
- National rank
- #6183
- State rank
- #106 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fort Smith
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #13185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Smith, AR
- County
- Sebastian County · 99,312 people
- City population
- 94,356
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,296
- Household income
- $41,909
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 851.0
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 31% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Asian 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.65%
- Current HPI
- 146.2281
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+800.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — WRVBOR
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — WRVBOR
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $90,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $100,000 WRVBOR
- 2025-11-13 Listed $110,000 WRVBOR
- 1989-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
- 1981-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 1979-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1979-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $431 · +8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…