11377 Township Road 266 #34 · Chippewa Park, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.1/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$56,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring all the kids! This expansive park model is designed to accommodate large families with ease. Featuring a cleverly divided living room area and a double loft, there's plenty of room for everyone to relax and unwind. Located in a serene park with abundant shade tress, you'll find yourself just steps away from the pool and nine-hole putt-putt course. The large, covered deck provides and ideal spot for outdoor cookouts and dining. Fully furnished and move in ready, this home includes a walk-in shower with seat for added convenience. The park offers additional amenities such as shuffleboard, a shelter house and playground area. Don't miss this opportunity to own a family friendly retreat in a peaceful amenity-rich community!
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Double loft
- Expansive park model
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $580 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 4.1% in Chippewa Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,173 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.39%
- DSCR
- 2.98
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,078
- List price
- $56,000
- Delta
- 16.48%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11377 Township Road 266 #77 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 432 (0%) | 8mo | $57,000 | $132 | 89 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #61 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 432 (0%) | 9mo | $56,000 | $130 | 87 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #15 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 432 (0%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $104 | 87 |
| 11377 Township Rd 266 #66 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 396 (-8%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $189 | 84 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #30 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 396 (-8%) | 5mo | $40,000 | $101 | 82 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #75 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 396 (-8%) | 7mo | $79,000 | $199 | 80 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #28 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 396 (-8%) | 2mo | $77,500 | $196 | 80 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #70 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 396 (-8%) | 9mo | $97,500 | $246 | 78 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #98 | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 396 (-8%) | 7mo | $102,000 | $258 | 77 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #57 | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 396 (-8%) | 8mo | $45,000 | $114 | 77 |
| 11377 Township Road 266 #3 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 396 (-8%) | 7mo | $45,500 | $115 | 75 |
| 11377 TR 266 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 367 (-15%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $163 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $27,889
- Equity at exit
- $8,350
- IRR
- 47.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.59×
- Total profit
- $71,934
- Equity at exit
- $4,842
Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43331
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,224 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$294
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$70 /mo · $840/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $580
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $619 | -5% $599 | +0% $580 | +5% $561 | +10% $541 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $483 | -5% $532 | +0% $580 | +5% $628 | +10% $677 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $608 | -0.5pp $594 | base $580 | +0.5pp $566 | +1.0pp $551 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,000
- Closing costs
- $1,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $56,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $56,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $56,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $56,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $56,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $56,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $56,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $56,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $56,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $56,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $56,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $56,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $56,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $56,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $56,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-04-27status Active 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Bring all the kids! This expansive park model is designed to accommodate large families with ease. Featuring a cleverly divided living room area and a double loft, there's plenty of room for everyone to relax and unwind. Located in a serene park with abundant shade tress, you'll find yourself just steps away from the pool and nine-hole putt-putt course. The large, covered deck provides and ideal spot for outdoor cookouts and dining. Fully furnished and move in ready, this home includes a walk-in shower with seat for added convenience. The park offers additional amenities such as shuffleboard, a shelter house and playground area. Don't miss this opportunity to own a family friendly retreat in a peaceful amenity-rich community!
-
2026-04-24historical 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Bring all the kids! This expansive park model is designed to accommodate large families with ease. Featuring a cleverly divided living room area and a double loft, there's plenty of room for everyone to relax and unwind. Located in a serene park with abundant shade tress, you'll find yourself just steps away from the pool and nine-hole putt-putt course. The large, covered deck provides and ideal spot for outdoor cookouts and dining. Fully furnished and move in ready, this home includes a walk-in shower with seat for added convenience. The park offers additional amenities such as shuffleboard, a shelter house and playground area. Don't miss this opportunity to own a family friendly retreat in a peaceful amenity-rich community!
-
2025-10-27price $56,000 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Bring all the kids! This expansive park model is designed to accommodate large families with ease. Featuring a cleverly divided living room area and a double loft, there's plenty of room for everyone to relax and unwind. Located in a serene park with abundant shade tress, you'll find yourself just steps away from the pool and nine-hole putt-putt course. The large, covered deck provides and ideal spot for outdoor cookouts and dining. Fully furnished and move in ready, this home includes a walk-in shower with seat for added convenience. The park offers additional amenities such as shuffleboard, a shelter house and playground area. Don't miss this opportunity to own a family friendly retreat in a peaceful amenity-rich community!
-
2025-09-30price $62,000 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Bring all the kids! This expansive park model is designed to accommodate large families with ease. Featuring a cleverly divided living room area and a double loft, there's plenty of room for everyone to relax and unwind. Located in a serene park with abundant shade tress, you'll find yourself just steps away from the pool and nine-hole putt-putt course. The large, covered deck provides and ideal spot for outdoor cookouts and dining. Fully furnished and move in ready, this home includes a walk-in shower with seat for added convenience. The park offers additional amenities such as shuffleboard, a shelter house and playground area. Don't miss this opportunity to own a family friendly retreat in a peaceful amenity-rich community!
-
2025-08-14$65,000 Active 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Bring all the kids! This expansive park model is designed to accommodate large families with ease. Featuring a cleverly divided living room area and a double loft, there's plenty of room for everyone to relax and unwind. Located in a serene park with abundant shade tress, you'll find yourself just steps away from the pool and nine-hole putt-putt course. The large, covered deck provides and ideal spot for outdoor cookouts and dining. Fully furnished and move in ready, this home includes a walk-in shower with seat for added convenience. The park offers additional amenities such as shuffleboard, a shelter house and playground area. Don't miss this opportunity to own a family friendly retreat in a peaceful amenity-rich community!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,690
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,137
- − Property taxes
- −$840
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,175
- − Management
- −$1,175
- − Depreciation
- −$1,629
- Taxable income
- $6,453
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,549
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,412/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This park model is move-in ready with good condition and ample space, ideal for families. Minor updates can further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace worn-out carpet — Improves comfort and appearance
- Both Install new window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and privacy
- Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace worn-out carpet — Improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Install new window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and privacy ↑
- Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian Lake Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904808
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,496
- Composite
- 52.6/100
- National rank
- #1559
- State rank
- #261 of 656 in OH
Livability — Chippewa Park
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1173
- US rank
- #25758
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Logan · 47,256 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,012
- Household income
- $60,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16.1
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,240 people
- By 2030
- 43,166 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 40,495 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 37,511 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 30,453 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 23,081 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.75%
- Current HPI
- 256.2406
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-13.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — WRIST
- 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $56,000 WRIST
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $62,000 WRIST
- 2025-08-14 Listed $65,000 WRIST
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…