720 New York St · Dalhart, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for investors or those looking for a great deal and a shop. This property features a home that need TLC due to fire damage, offering a blank canvas to make it your own. The large shop on the property is full of potential, complete with a bedroom and a bathroom. Bring your vision and turn this property into something special. Selling as- is.
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1953
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#300 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Dalhart ISD (town): math 42% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #452 of 826 in TX (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Dallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallam County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.02%
- DSCR
- 2.56
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $17,947
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 37.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.52×
- Total profit
- $49,237
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79022
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $974 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $937/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $409
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $50,000 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Great opportunity for investors or those looking for a great deal and a shop. This property features a home that need TLC due to fire damage, offering a blank canvas to make it your own. The large shop on the property is full of potential, complete with a bedroom and a bathroom. Bring your vision and turn this property into something special. Selling as- is.
-
2026-04-08$60,000 Active 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Great opportunity for investors or those looking for a great deal and a shop. This property features a home that need TLC due to fire damage, offering a blank canvas to make it your own. The large shop on the property is full of potential, complete with a bedroom and a bathroom. Bring your vision and turn this property into something special. Selling as- is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,692
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$937
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$935
- − Management
- −$935
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $4,379
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,051
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,852/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dalhart ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816200
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,829
- Composite
- 32.54/100
- National rank
- #5697
- State rank
- #452 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dalhart
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #6830
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dalhart, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,764
Population outlook (Dallam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,757 people
- By 2030
- 8,163 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 9,047 · +16.6%
- By 2050
- 9,990 · +28.8%
- By 2075
- 12,383 · +59.6%
- By 2100
- 13,555 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 45% Two or more races 22% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Polish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 32% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+78.3) · D 10.5% · R 88.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: -60.9pp · 2024: -78.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+78.3 2020: R+74.1 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+65.0 2008: R+60.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.60%
- Current HPI
- 174.8462
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-16.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $50,000 AARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $60,000 AARMLS
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $937 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…