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2116 Cedar Crest Dr
C Composite 58.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

2116 Cedar Crest Dr · Abilene, TX 79601
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,901 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1953 0.32 ac lot $126/sqft · 20% above area Est $200k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Opportunity near Hendricks and ACU. 4 bedroom 2 bath with a large eat-in kitchen and a den. Enclosed patio large backyard. Central Heat and Air.

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Built 1953
  • Listed 28 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.8% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, commute F.
  • Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+43.4%/yr); 195 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,045/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1240% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.82%
Cash-on-cash
12.61%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,469
List price
$240,000
Delta
19.72%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2116 Cedar Crest Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,901 (0%) 0mo $240,000 $126 100
541 E North 23rd St 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,892 (-0%) 2mo $239,900 $127 86
2469 Campus Ct 0.50mi 4/2.0 1,969 (+4%) 2mo $240,000 $122 69
2417 Campus Ct 0.47mi 4/2.0 1,854 (-2%) 11mo $229,000 $124 65
2565 Madison Ave 0.51mi 4/2.5 1,939 (+2%) 10mo $239,500 $124 63
2681 Garfield Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,864 (-2%) 1mo $235,000 $126 63
2489 Campus Ct 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,035 (+7%) 11mo $254,900 $125 51
633 E North 18th St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,679 (-12%) 11mo $245,000 $146 49
2633 Garfield Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,759 (-8%) 14mo $229,000 $130 42
2425 Campus Ct 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,145 (+13%) 14mo $199,900 $93 40
2572 Madison Ave 0.51mi 4/3.0 2,150 (+13%) 18mo $263,000 $122 36
2534 John C Stevens St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,142 (+13%) 15mo $365,000 $170 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$22,263
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$150,846
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79601

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Rents YoY
43.4%
Active inventory
195
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,045 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$340 /mo · $4,085/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$639
Net cashflow
$706

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,151
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $842 -5% $774 +0% $706 +5% $638 +10% $571
Rent -10% $466 -5% $586 +0% $706 +5% $827 +10% $947
Rate -1.0pp $827 -0.5pp $767 base $706 +0.5pp $644 +1.0pp $581

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2609 Madison Ave Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1788 $4,000 $2.24 14d 1 0.57mi
873 Cloverleaf Ln Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1541 $2,995 $1.94 14d 1 0.66mi
702 N 13th St Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1334 $2,200 $1.65 14d 1 0.83mi
758 E North 10th St Abilene, TX 4.0 2.0 2366 $2,300 $0.97 44d 1 0.92mi
825 Milford St Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 2068 $2,895 $1.40 44d 1 1.30mi
1638 Merchant St Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1328 $2,895 $2.18 14d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    historical Active Option Contract 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Investor Opportunity near Hendricks and ACU. 4 bedroom 2 bath with a large eat-in kitchen and a den. Enclosed patio large backyard. Central Heat and Air.

  2. 2026-05-01
    status Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Investor Opportunity near Hendricks and ACU. 4 bedroom 2 bath with a large eat-in kitchen and a den. Enclosed patio large backyard. Central Heat and Air.

  3. 2026-04-27
    historical Active Option Contract 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Investor Opportunity near Hendricks and ACU. 4 bedroom 2 bath with a large eat-in kitchen and a den. Enclosed patio large backyard. Central Heat and Air.

  4. 2026-04-22
    status Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Investor Opportunity near Hendricks and ACU. 4 bedroom 2 bath with a large eat-in kitchen and a den. Enclosed patio large backyard. Central Heat and Air.

  5. 2026-04-11
    listed $240,000 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Investor Opportunity near Hendricks and ACU. 4 bedroom 2 bath with a large eat-in kitchen and a den. Enclosed patio large backyard. Central Heat and Air.

  6. 2018-04-12
    soldstatus
  7. 2018-04-11
    soldstatus Sold 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! 4 bedroom 2 bath located only minutes from ACU. Large eat-in kitchen. All appliances stay. Range is gas but has electric hookup. Central Heat and Air. You will also find a den that could have multiple uses. enclosed porch. Large living area and formal dining. Lots of Sq Ft. Less than $65 per sq ft. Near HSU, Hendricks, Texas Tech, Restaurants and Shopping. Will Hair Park backs up to the house.

  8. 2018-03-30
    status Pending 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! 4 bedroom 2 bath located only minutes from ACU. Large eat-in kitchen. All appliances stay. Range is gas but has electric hookup. Central Heat and Air. You will also find a den that could have multiple uses. enclosed porch. Large living area and formal dining. Lots of Sq Ft. Less than $65 per sq ft. Near HSU, Hendricks, Texas Tech, Restaurants and Shopping. Will Hair Park backs up to the house.

  9. 2018-03-30
    status Active 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! 4 bedroom 2 bath located only minutes from ACU. Large eat-in kitchen. All appliances stay. Range is gas but has electric hookup. Central Heat and Air. You will also find a den that could have multiple uses. enclosed porch. Large living area and formal dining. Lots of Sq Ft. Less than $65 per sq ft. Near HSU, Hendricks, Texas Tech, Restaurants and Shopping. Will Hair Park backs up to the house.

  10. 2018-03-26
    status Pending 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! 4 bedroom 2 bath located only minutes from ACU. Large eat-in kitchen. All appliances stay. Range is gas but has electric hookup. Central Heat and Air. You will also find a den that could have multiple uses. enclosed porch. Large living area and formal dining. Lots of Sq Ft. Less than $65 per sq ft. Near HSU, Hendricks, Texas Tech, Restaurants and Shopping. Will Hair Park backs up to the house.

  11. 2018-03-13
    historical Active Option Contract 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! 4 bedroom 2 bath located only minutes from ACU. Large eat-in kitchen. All appliances stay. Range is gas but has electric hookup. Central Heat and Air. You will also find a den that could have multiple uses. enclosed porch. Large living area and formal dining. Lots of Sq Ft. Less than $65 per sq ft. Near HSU, Hendricks, Texas Tech, Restaurants and Shopping. Will Hair Park backs up to the house.

  12. 2018-03-10
    price $119,900 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! 4 bedroom 2 bath located only minutes from ACU. Large eat-in kitchen. All appliances stay. Range is gas but has electric hookup. Central Heat and Air. You will also find a den that could have multiple uses. enclosed porch. Large living area and formal dining. Lots of Sq Ft. Less than $65 per sq ft. Near HSU, Hendricks, Texas Tech, Restaurants and Shopping. Will Hair Park backs up to the house.

  13. 2018-02-13
    price $124,900 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! 4 bedroom 2 bath located only minutes from ACU. Large eat-in kitchen. All appliances stay. Range is gas but has electric hookup. Central Heat and Air. You will also find a den that could have multiple uses. enclosed porch. Large living area and formal dining. Lots of Sq Ft. Less than $65 per sq ft. Near HSU, Hendricks, Texas Tech, Restaurants and Shopping. Will Hair Park backs up to the house.

  14. 2018-01-25
    price $134,900 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! 4 bedroom 2 bath located only minutes from ACU. Large eat-in kitchen. All appliances stay. Range is gas but has electric hookup. Central Heat and Air. You will also find a den that could have multiple uses. enclosed porch. Large living area and formal dining. Lots of Sq Ft. Less than $65 per sq ft. Near HSU, Hendricks, Texas Tech, Restaurants and Shopping. Will Hair Park backs up to the house.

  15. 2018-01-11
    listed $144,900 Active 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    Investor Opportunity! 4 bedroom 2 bath located only minutes from ACU. Large eat-in kitchen. All appliances stay. Range is gas but has electric hookup. Central Heat and Air. You will also find a den that could have multiple uses. enclosed porch. Large living area and formal dining. Lots of Sq Ft. Less than $65 per sq ft. Near HSU, Hendricks, Texas Tech, Restaurants and Shopping. Will Hair Park backs up to the house.

  16. 2006-09-27
    soldstatus
  17. 1994-08-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,085 · $340/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,392 · $366/mo
Expected delta
+$307/yr (+$26/mo · 7.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,538
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$4,085
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,923
− Management
−$2,923
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable income
$4,981
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,196
After-tax cash flow
$7,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Abilene ISD
NCES district ID
4807440
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,782
Composite
27.71/100
National rank
#6909
State rank
#575 of 826 in TX

Livability — Abilene

Score
75/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#4037

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Abilene, TX
County
Taylor County · 136,672 people
City population
136,672
Metro
Abilene, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,050
Household income
$53,631
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1240.0

Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,270 people
By 2030
150,050 · +3.3%
By 2040
159,417 · +9.7%
By 2050
168,883 · +16.3%
By 2075
194,436 · +33.8%
By 2100
203,163 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Taylor

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.17%
Current HPI
214.4372
Rent YoY
▲ 43.38%
Metro
Abilene, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+65.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $240,000 NTREIS
  • 2018-04-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-04-11 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2018-03-30 Pending NTREIS
  • 2018-03-30 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2018-03-26 Pending NTREIS
  • 2018-03-13 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2018-03-10 Price Changed $119,900 NTREIS
  • 2018-02-13 Price Changed $124,900 NTREIS
  • 2018-01-25 Price Changed $134,900 NTREIS
  • 2018-01-11 Listed $144,900 NTREIS
  • 2006-09-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-08-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,085 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…