CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1149 West Camellia Dr
C+ Composite 62.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

1149 West Camellia Dr · Thibodaux, LA 70301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,711 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1978 7,405 sqft lot $102/sqft · 15% below area Est $198k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1149 West Camellia in Thibodaux! This well maintained 3 bed, 2 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout perfect for everyday life. Inside, you'll find a spacious living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Also, this home has an extra room that can be used as an office. Step outside to enjoy the covered patio ideal for relaxing evenings, entertaining guests, or weekend cookouts. The carport provides convenient covered parking and added storage options. Situated in a desirable location, this home offers both comfort and practicality at a great value. Don't miss your chance to make it yours, schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Desirable location
  • Extra room
  • Carport

Tags

EXTRA ROOMCOVERED PATIOCARPORTDESIRABLE LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.8% in Thibodaux — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in LA, #723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
  • Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bayou Community Academy Charter School (math 63% / reading 79%, grade A-, #23 of 646 statewide, top 4%, 515 students, 30% FRL, charter); West Thibodaux Middle School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #141 of 218 statewide, top 65%, 430 students, 74% FRL); Thibodaux High School (math 26% / reading 45%, grade F, #104 of 265 statewide, top 39%, 1,454 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.55%
Cash-on-cash
8.06%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,500
List price
$175,000
Delta
-11.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1221 Renee Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,784 (+4%) 1mo $266,000 $149 85
1206 Tina St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,659 (-3%) 1mo $261,930 $158 76
225 Cottage Way 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,689 (-1%) 1mo $249,000 $147 75
1410 Tina St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,659 (-3%) 1mo $254,415 $153 73
1208 Tina St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,629 (-5%) 1mo $256,270 $157 73
187 Carriage Way 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,657 (-3%) 1mo $257,500 $155 67
2000 Saint Bernard St 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,463 (-14%) 0mo $215,000 $147 67
1409 Tina St 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,568 (-8%) 1mo $244,800 $156 59
1414 Tina St 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,568 (-8%) 0mo $245,065 $156 59
322 Tregre Ln 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,498 (-12%) 0mo $235,150 $157 52
305 Wisteria St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,508 (-12%) 0mo $217,500 $144 47
1320 Tiger Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,455 (-15%) 1mo $198,000 $136 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-7,613
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$19,438
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70301

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
515
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,788 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,114/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$329

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,371
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $428 -5% $379 +0% $329 +5% $280 +10% $230
Rent -10% $188 -5% $259 +0% $329 +5% $400 +10% $471
Rate -1.0pp $417 -0.5pp $374 base $329 +0.5pp $284 +1.0pp $238

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
208 Diplomat Way Thibodaux, LA 3.0 2.0 1892 $2,000 $1.06 45d 1 0.98mi
304 Bradford St Thibodaux, LA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,150 $0.82 45d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Active 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (730 chars)

    Welcome to 1149 West Camellia in Thibodaux! This well maintained 3 bed, 2 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout perfect for everyday life. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Also, this home has an extra room that can be used as an office. Step outside to enjoy the covered patio ideal for relaxing evenings, entertaining guests, or weekend cookouts. The carport provides convenient covered parking and added storage options. Situated in a desirable location, this home offers both comfort and practicality at a great value. Don’t miss your chance to make it yours, schedule your showing today!

  2. 2026-05-01
    status Active 730-char remark
    Show marketing remark (730 chars)

    Welcome to 1149 West Camellia in Thibodaux! This well maintained 3 bed, 2 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout perfect for everyday life. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Also, this home has an extra room that can be used as an office. Step outside to enjoy the covered patio ideal for relaxing evenings, entertaining guests, or weekend cookouts. The carport provides convenient covered parking and added storage options. Situated in a desirable location, this home offers both comfort and practicality at a great value. Don’t miss your chance to make it yours, schedule your showing today!

  3. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (730 chars)

    Welcome to 1149 West Camellia in Thibodaux! This well maintained 3 bed, 2 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout perfect for everyday life. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Also, this home has an extra room that can be used as an office. Step outside to enjoy the covered patio ideal for relaxing evenings, entertaining guests, or weekend cookouts. The carport provides convenient covered parking and added storage options. Situated in a desirable location, this home offers both comfort and practicality at a great value. Don’t miss your chance to make it yours, schedule your showing today!

  4. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 730-char remark
    Show marketing remark (730 chars)

    Welcome to 1149 West Camellia in Thibodaux! This well maintained 3 bed, 2 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout perfect for everyday life. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Also, this home has an extra room that can be used as an office. Step outside to enjoy the covered patio ideal for relaxing evenings, entertaining guests, or weekend cookouts. The carport provides convenient covered parking and added storage options. Situated in a desirable location, this home offers both comfort and practicality at a great value. Don’t miss your chance to make it yours, schedule your showing today!

  5. 2026-04-16
    listed $175,000 Active 730-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Welcome to 1149 West Camellia in Thibodaux! This well maintained 3 bed, 2 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout perfect for everyday life. Inside, you'll find a spacious living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Also, this home has an extra room that can be used as an office. Step outside to enjoy the covered patio ideal for relaxing evenings, entertaining guests, or weekend cookouts. The carport provides convenient covered parking and added storage options. Situated in a desirable location, this home offers both comfort and practicality at a great value. Don't miss your chance to make it yours, schedule your showing today!

  6. 2026-04-16
    listed $175,000 Active 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Welcome to 1149 West Camellia in Thibodaux! This well maintained 3 bed, 2 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout perfect for everyday life. Inside, you'll find a spacious living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining space, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. Also, this home has an extra room that can be used as an office. Step outside to enjoy the covered patio ideal for relaxing evenings, entertaining guests, or weekend cookouts. The carport provides convenient covered parking and added storage options. Situated in a desirable location, this home offers both comfort and practicality at a great value. Don't miss your chance to make it yours, schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,114 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,114 · $93/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,460
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,114
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,717
− Management
−$1,717
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$1,144
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$275
After-tax cash flow
$3,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lafourche Parish
NCES district ID
2200900
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -43.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$49,703
Composite
34.4/100
National rank
#5205
State rank
#22 of 98 in LA

Livability — Thibodaux

Score
84/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#723

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lafourche Parish · 50,095 people
City population
50,095
Metro
Houma-Thibodaux, LA
Population (ZIP)
50,095
Household income
$58,394
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
1513.0

Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,122 people
By 2030
103,361 · +1.2%
By 2040
104,401 · +2.2%
By 2050
102,795 · +0.7%
By 2075
95,599 · -6.4%
By 2100
82,303 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 18% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.35%
Current HPI
124.5559
Rent YoY
▲ 2.90%
Metro
Houma-Thibodaux, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $175,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $175,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+15.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,114 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…