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3544 Celestial Way
B- Composite 67.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

3544 Celestial Way · North Fort Myers, FL 33903
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1980 4,225 sqft lot Est $96k · at est. $223/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully maintained home in the highly sought-after 55+ Tamiami Village community! Enjoy true peace of mind with a new aluminum roof-over (2023) and a brand-new A/C system with all new ductwork installed in January 2026—major upgrades already completed. Inside, the home is spotless, bright, and truly move-in ready, featuring flooring that’s approximately 3 years old and most appliances replaced within the last few years, adding modern convenience and reliability. The layout is ideal for seasonal or full-time Florida living. Step into the active, social lifestyle Tamiami Village is known for, offering three community pools and a full calendar of activities. Thi

Key facts

  • Near downtown dining
  • New a/c system
  • 4,225 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW ALUMINUM ROOF-OVERNEW A/C SYSTEMTHREE COMMUNITY POOLSNEAR DOWNTOWN DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with conditions (up to 2 pets, max 25 lbs)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association; Monthly association fee: $223.39; Association covers management, legal/accounting, reserve fund, street lights, trash; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, fitness center, sauna, billiard room, library, dog park, shuffleboard court, street lights; On-site management; Senior community; 701 units in community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport with 2 covered spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable not available
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Vinyl siding; 1 story; Entry level: 1; Faces south; North exposure on lot; Zoned MH-1; Resale condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Roof over
  • Exterior features: Storage; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dryer; Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Freezer; Refrigerator; Washer
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Furnished; Family/Dining room; Living/Dining room; Pantry; Separate shower (shower only); Single hung windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $100k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
11.20%
Cash-on-cash
17.52%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$96,000
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16034 Citron Way 0.13mi 2/2.0 960 (0%) 7mo $125,000 $130 88
16041 Citron Way 0.16mi 2/2.0 960 (0%) 6mo $92,000 $96 87
3541 Celestial Way 0.02mi 2/2.0 864 (-10%) 7mo $50,000 $58 76
3204 Pluto Cir 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,104 (+15%) 7mo $110,000 $100 60
3500 Celestial Way 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,100 (+15%) 24mo $85,000 $77 51
612 Sunrise Ave 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,049 (+9%) 13mo $173,000 $165 45
486 Horizon Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,080 (+12%) 13mo $110,000 $102 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$5,120
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$19,805
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33903

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,661 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,371/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$223
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3404 Rainbow Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 3d 1 0.01mi
28 Nyborg Ave North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1042 $1,299 $1.25 14d 1 0.42mi
8791 Littleton Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1074 $1,549 $1.44 23d 1 0.68mi
571 Sunrise Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1004 $1,400 $1.39 23d 1 0.72mi
2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 23d 1 0.83mi
4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 957 $1,895 $1.98 23d 1 1.06mi
3260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 976 $2,371 $2.43 1d 27 1.17mi
3953 Pomodoro Cir Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1044 $1,462 $1.40 14d 9 1.17mi
3940 Villa Del Mar CIR Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1051 $2,116 $2.01 1d 21 1.23mi
2700 Diplomat Pkwy E Cape Coral, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1116 $2,382 $2.13 3d 41 1.27mi
2095 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 23d 1 1.28mi
2027 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 822 $1,300 $1.58 3d 1 1.30mi
538 State St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,199 $1.20 23d 1 1.34mi
260 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 924 $1,200 $1.30 3d 1 1.42mi
16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 23d 1 1.42mi
248 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 924 $1,300 $1.41 23d 1 1.43mi
247 Stockton St North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 924 $1,325 $1.43 23d 1 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$223 · $2,676/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 153 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 149 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 146 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 137 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 136 DOM
  11. 2026-01-13
    listed $100,000 Active
  12. 2004-03-08
    soldstatus $55,000
  13. 1985-05-01
    soldstatus $43,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,931
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,371
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,595
− Management
−$1,595
− HOA
−$2,676
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$3,684
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$884
After-tax cash flow
$4,021/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,655
Household income
$56,993
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.26%
Current HPI
256.773
Rent YoY
▼ -1.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $100,000 FORTMLS
  • 2004-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1985-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,371 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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