17700 WESTERN Ave #1 · Gardena, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in Golden West Senior Park 55+, this well-maintained 1998 home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, including one full bath and one 3/4 bath. Recent updates include fresh interior and exterior paint and laminate flooring throughout. The kitchen features granite countertops, and the spacious primary bedroom includes a large walk-in closet. Additional hallway cabinetry provides extra storage, while dual-pane windows offer energy efficiency. Enjoy community amenities such as 2 pool areas, club house, laundry facility and gym. Situated on a desirable corner space, the property offers one of the largest fenced private backyards in the community with mature guava, lemon, and tangerine trees, plus added privacy. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and freeway access.
Key facts
- Mature lemon trees
- Dual-pane windows
- Fenced back yards
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 2.9% in Gardena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#604 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.78%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,077
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- 17.12%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17700 S Western Ave #116 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-4%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $149 | 86 |
| 17700 Western #76 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+7%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $74 | 82 |
| 17705 S Western Ave #18 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (0%) | 9mo | $117,000 | $108 | 82 |
| 17700 Western Ave S #190 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 5mo | $95,000 | $99 | 77 |
| 17705 S Western #102 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+2%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $105 | 77 |
| 17700 S Western Ave #174 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 1mo | $178,000 | $185 | 77 |
| 17700 S Western Ave #162 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 7mo | $152,500 | $159 | 76 |
| 17700 S Western Ave #35 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $135 | 73 |
| 17700 Western Ave SPC 111 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 10mo | $159,000 | $166 | 70 |
| 17705 S Western #24 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-7%) | 12mo | $114,900 | $115 | 66 |
| 17705 S Western Ave #53 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 990 (-8%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $157 | 65 |
| 16950 S Gramercy Pl Unit 7A | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 920 (-15%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $196 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $66,548
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 43.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.16×
- Total profit
- $174,812
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90248
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,934 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $495/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$616
- Net cashflow
- $1,427
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18012 Manhattan Pl Torrance, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $3,595 | $2.49 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 17313 Denker Ave Unit 4 Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $2,300 | $2.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 17310 S Dalton Ave #3 Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $3,500 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1443 W 179th St Apt 104 Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $2,500 | $2.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1443 W 179th St Unit 107 Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,450 | $3.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 17405 Van Ness Ave Torrance, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $2,775 | $3.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1243 Electric St Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 866 | $2,850 | $3.29 | 7d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 18405 Haas Ave Torrance, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 16507 Saint Andrews Pl Unit C Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,650 | $3.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1616 W Gardena Blvd Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $2,800 | $3.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 16326 Denker Ave Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $3,000 | $3.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1328 W Gardena Blvd Apt 3 Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,700 | $2.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1261 W 166th St Gardena, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $3,000 | $2.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1343 W 164th St Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,700 | $3.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 16935 S Vermont Ave Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,295 | $2.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2314 W 165th St Torrance, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $4,000 | $3.07 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 16920 S Vermont Ave Unit D Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,795 | $2.54 | 19d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 16920 S Vermont Ave Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,795 | $2.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1040 W 165th Pl Unit 1 Gardena, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $4,500 | $3.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 17229 Atkinson Ave Torrance, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $3,600 | $3.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15825 Denker Ave Unit A Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,750 | $3.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 860 W 165th Pl Apt 201 Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $2,395 | $2.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 16901 Crenshaw Blvd Unit 1 Torrance, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 17309 Elgar Ave Torrance, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $3,400 | $4.06 | 12d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 17309 Elgar Ave Torrance, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $3,400 | $4.06 | 7d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 16713 Crenshaw Blvd Torrance, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,450 | $2.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 15702 Brighton Ave Unit 4 Gardena, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 19d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 17513 Glenburn Ave Torrance, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $3,195 | $3.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2125 W 157th St Unit 10 Gardena, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,050 | $2.93 | 4d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1029 W 160th St Gardena, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $4,150 | $3.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3313 Artesia Blvd Torrance, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,895 | $2.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1030 Magnolia Ave Gardena, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $2,700 | $3.80 | 43d | 2 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-04-14price $150,000 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
Located in Golden West Senior Park 55+, this well-maintained 1998 home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, including one full bath and one 3/4 bath. Recent updates include fresh interior and exterior paint and laminate flooring throughout. The kitchen features granite countertops, and the spacious primary bedroom includes a large walk-in closet. Additional hallway cabinetry provides extra storage, while dual-pane windows offer energy efficiency. Enjoy community amenities such as 2 pool areas, club house, laundry facility and gym. Situated on a desirable corner space, the property offers one of the largest fenced private backyards in the community with mature guava, lemon, and tangerine trees, plus added privacy. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and freeway access.
-
2026-03-22status Active 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
Located in Golden West Senior Park 55+, this well-maintained 1998 home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, including one full bath and one 3/4 bath. Recent updates include fresh interior and exterior paint and laminate flooring throughout. The kitchen features granite countertops, and the spacious primary bedroom includes a large walk-in closet. Additional hallway cabinetry provides extra storage, while dual-pane windows offer energy efficiency. Enjoy community amenities such as 2 pool areas, club house, laundry facility and gym. Situated on a desirable corner space, the property offers one of the largest fenced private backyards in the community with mature guava, lemon, and tangerine trees, plus added privacy. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and freeway access.
-
2026-03-18status Pending Sale 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
Located in Golden West Senior Park 55+, this well-maintained 1998 home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, including one full bath and one 3/4 bath. Recent updates include fresh interior and exterior paint and laminate flooring throughout. The kitchen features granite countertops, and the spacious primary bedroom includes a large walk-in closet. Additional hallway cabinetry provides extra storage, while dual-pane windows offer energy efficiency. Enjoy community amenities such as 2 pool areas, club house, laundry facility and gym. Situated on a desirable corner space, the property offers one of the largest fenced private backyards in the community with mature guava, lemon, and tangerine trees, plus added privacy. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and freeway access.
-
2026-02-23$155,000 Active 784-char remark
Show marketing remark (784 chars)
Located in Golden West Senior Park 55+, this well-maintained 1998 home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, including one full bath and one 3/4 bath. Recent updates include fresh interior and exterior paint and laminate flooring throughout. The kitchen features granite countertops, and the spacious primary bedroom includes a large walk-in closet. Additional hallway cabinetry provides extra storage, while dual-pane windows offer energy efficiency. Enjoy community amenities such as 2 pool areas, club house, laundry facility and gym. Situated on a desirable corner space, the property offers one of the largest fenced private backyards in the community with mature guava, lemon, and tangerine trees, plus added privacy. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and freeway access.
-
2026-02-14historical
-
2026-01-17$140,000 Active
-
1998-02-06historical
-
1997-02-07$10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $495 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,140 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$645/yr (+$54/mo · 130.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 5 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$495
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,816
- − Management
- −$2,816
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $15,560
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,734
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,392/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Gardena
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #604
- US rank
- #19337
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gardena, CA
- City population
- 73,343
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,144
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 32% Hispanic / Latino 31% Black 21% Two or more races 12% White 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- British 1%
- Foreign-born
- 37% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Tagalog/Filipino 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -318.63%
- Current HPI
- 409.9768
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+1400.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $150,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-22 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $155,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-14 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-17 Listed $140,000 CRMLS
- 1998-02-06 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 1997-02-07 Listed $10,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $495 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…