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140 Gibbons Ave
B+ Composite 75.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$125,000

140 Gibbons Ave · Petersburg, VA 23803
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,608 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1925 10,001 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity in the heart of Petersburg! This property is full of potential for a full renovation project with strong value-add upside. Features include a covered front porch, off-street parking, and a spacious backyard with plenty of room to create an inviting outdoor living space. Conveniently located near I-95, I-85, and Route 460, offering easy access to Richmond, Fort Gregg-Adams, and surrounding employment and retail hubs. With the right vision and updates, this property presents an excellent opportunity for investors looking to renovate, resell, or add to a long-term rental portfolio.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Spacious backyard
  • Off-street parking

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHOFF-STREET PARKINGSPACIOUS BACKYARDINVITING OUTDOOR LIVING SPACEEASY ACCESS TO RICHMOND

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Driveway parking; Off-street paved parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: 2-story residence; Resale property
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Drywall interior; Crawl space foundation; Built previously (year built details: actual)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Paved driveway; Level lot; Partial chain link fencing in backyard

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.5% in Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#413 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Petersburg City Public School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #131 of 131 in VA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 118 units permitted in Petersburg city in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Petersburg County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $125k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.36%
Cash-on-cash
21.67%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$287,832
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2227 S Whitehill Dr 0.51mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,538 (-4%) 9mo $275,500 $179 50
958 Old Wythe St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,530 (-5%) 7mo $283,000 $185 42
1048 Amelia St 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,384 (-14%) 9mo $140,000 $101 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.45% appreciation · 5.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$50,948
Equity at exit
$45,617
10-year hold
IRR
30.9%
Equity multiple
5.21×
Total profit
$147,478
Equity at exit
$62,967

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23803

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
290
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,864 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,593/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$632

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,064
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
462 Reservoir Hts Petersburg, VA 4.0 2.0 1640 $1,895 $1.16 23d 1 1.35mi
147 Witten St Petersburg, VA 3.0 1.0 1170 $1,495 $1.28 10d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-27
    listed $125,000 Active
  2. 1981-04-10
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,593 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,593 · $133/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,364
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,593
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,789
− Management
−$1,789
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$5,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,423
After-tax cash flow
$6,161/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Petersburg City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102910
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,362
Composite
28.78/100
National rank
#6670
State rank
#131 of 131 in VA

Livability — Petersburg

Score
61/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#17309

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Petersburg, VA
County
Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
City population
63,420
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
42,012
Household income
$57,813
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
2485.0

Population outlook (Petersburg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,488 people
By 2030
29,771 · -2.4%
By 2040
28,401 · -6.8%
By 2050
27,279 · -10.5%
By 2075
25,877 · -15.1%
By 2100
24,288 · -20.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Petersburg

2024 margin
Solid D (+72.8) · D 85.8% · R 13.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 72.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+72.8 2020: D+76.5 2016: D+77.0 2012: D+80.4 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.45%
Current HPI
480.5365
Rent YoY
▲ 5.89%
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+197.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $125,000 CVRMLS
  • 1981-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,593 · +65.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…