140 Gibbons Ave · Petersburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 48.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity in the heart of Petersburg! This property is full of potential for a full renovation project with strong value-add upside. Features include a covered front porch, off-street parking, and a spacious backyard with plenty of room to create an inviting outdoor living space. Conveniently located near I-95, I-85, and Route 460, offering easy access to Richmond, Fort Gregg-Adams, and surrounding employment and retail hubs. With the right vision and updates, this property presents an excellent opportunity for investors looking to renovate, resell, or add to a long-term rental portfolio.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Spacious backyard
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Driveway parking; Off-street paved parking; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: 2-story residence; Resale property
- Construction: Shingle roof; Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Drywall interior; Crawl space foundation; Built previously (year built details: actual)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Paved driveway; Level lot; Partial chain link fencing in backyard
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops
- Laundry & utility: Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $632 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.5% in Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#413 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Petersburg City Public School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #131 of 131 in VA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 118 units permitted in Petersburg city in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Petersburg County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $125k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 48% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.67%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $287,832
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2227 S Whitehill Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,538 (-4%) | 9mo | $275,500 | $179 | 50 |
| 958 Old Wythe St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,530 (-5%) | 7mo | $283,000 | $185 | 42 |
| 1048 Amelia St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,384 (-14%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $101 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.45% appreciation · 5.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $50,948
- Equity at exit
- $45,617
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.21×
- Total profit
- $147,478
- Equity at exit
- $62,967
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23803
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,864 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,593/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $632
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 462 Reservoir Hts Petersburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,895 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 147 Witten St Petersburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,495 | $1.28 | 10d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-27$125,000 Active
-
1981-04-10soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,593 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,593 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 48% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,364
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,593
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,789
- − Management
- −$1,789
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $5,930
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,423
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Petersburg City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102910
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,362
- Composite
- 28.78/100
- National rank
- #6670
- State rank
- #131 of 131 in VA
Livability — Petersburg
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #17309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Petersburg, VA
- County
- Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
- City population
- 63,420
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,012
- Household income
- $57,813
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2485.0
Population outlook (Petersburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,488 people
- By 2030
- 29,771 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 28,401 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 27,279 · -10.5%
- By 2075
- 25,877 · -15.1%
- By 2100
- 24,288 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Petersburg
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+72.8) · D 85.8% · R 13.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 72.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+72.8 2020: D+76.5 2016: D+77.0 2012: D+80.4 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.45%
- Current HPI
- 480.5365
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.89%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+197.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $125,000 CVRMLS
- 1981-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,593 · +65.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…