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10 Abilene Trl #192
B Composite 73.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

10 Abilene Trl #192 · Lely Resort, FL 34113
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured · 58 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition $86/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

RECENT PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Discover easy, affordable living in this charming home located within a vibrant 55+ community in desirable South Naples. As a shareholder in the co-op, you’ll enjoy an exceptionally low monthly maintenance fee of just $86—covering lawn care, water, sewer, garbage, and access to community amenities. This well-maintained residence features 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, 1 half bath, plus a versatile bonus room perfect for a home office, den, or additional sleeping space. The spacious, updated kitchen boasts newer cabinetry, countertops, and a full suite of appliances—including a washer and dryer. Stylish laminate flooring runs throughout the main living a

Key facts

  • Community amenities
  • Newer cabinetry
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

LOW MONTHLY MAINTENANCE FEECOMMUNITY AMENITIESVERSATILE BONUS ROOMUPDATED KITCHENNEWER CABINETRYFULL SUITE OF APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of a complex with 368 units; single unit in building; One floor
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with on-site management; HOA fee $86 monthly (total annual recurring fees $1,032); One-time fees $100; Community amenities: clubhouse, community pool, community room, BBQ/picnic, shuffleboard, sidewalks, streetlights, underground utilities; HOA maintenance covers irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, manager, recreation facilities, sewer, street lights, street maintenance, trash removal, water; Community type: Mobile/Manufactured, non-gated

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 assigned paved parking spaces; Attached 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured residential home; Single-story; Rear exposure faces south; Located in Hitching Post Mobile Home Park (Lot Unit 192)
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding exterior; Rolled roof; Single-hung windows; Built in 1973; Deeded property
  • Exterior features: Storage; Paved road access; Zero lot line

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (split bedroom floor plan)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Master bath with shower only
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Cable prewire; High-speed internet available; Smoke detectors; Turnkey furnished; Den / study; Dining area in living room and eat-in kitchen; Laundry located in garage; 3 ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer/dryer hookup; Laundry in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#786 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Manatee Elementary School (math 58% / reading 51%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 584 students, 73% FRL); Lely High School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,504 students, 54% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 597 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,162/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,853 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.34%
Cap rate
19.46%
Cash-on-cash
47.02%
DSCR
3.09
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$54,056
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
41.3%
Equity multiple
5.54×
Total profit
$171,528
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34113

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
597
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,162 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$86
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$664
Net cashflow
$1,054

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,829
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5222 Treetops Dr Naples, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,800 $3.00 23d 1 0.81mi
5314 Gilchrist St Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 636 $2,000 $3.14 14d 1 1.05mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$86 · $1,032/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashlandscaping

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,900 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $134,900 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 681-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $134,900 Active 42 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,949
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,024
− Insurance
−$5,793
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,036
− Management
−$3,036
− HOA
−$1,032
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$11,548
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,771
After-tax cash flow
$9,871/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained manufactured home in a vibrant 55+ community offers a low monthly maintenance fee and easy, affordable living. Recent updates to the kitchen and bathroom, combined with a well-maintained exterior and pool area, make it a great investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both pool maintenance — Regular upkeep ensures the pool remains inviting and functional
  • Both exterior painting — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both interior painting — Neutral paint creates a clean and inviting atmosphere

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both pool maintenance — Regular upkeep ensures the pool remains inviting and functional
  • Both exterior painting — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both interior painting — Neutral paint creates a clean and inviting atmosphere

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lely Resort

Score
61/100
State rank
#786
US rank
#17981

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A- Housing D- Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,056
Household income
$81,674
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.86%
Current HPI
279.4232
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $134,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $140,000 NAPLESMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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