4111 Belmede Dr · Wichita Falls, TX 76302

$115,899

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,101 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 464 Days on market

Built 1960 9,099 sqft lot $105/sqft · at area comps Est $117k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.9/10.0
• ARV discount +7.8/15.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

EASY ACCESS TO FREEWAY! Charming 3-bedroom 2-bathroom home in Wichita! Conveniently located off Henry S Grace freeway. In need of some updates and repairs but can become and the dream home in the right hands. Don't miss out on this great opportunity! WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

Key facts

• 9,099 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1960

Tags

• EASY ACCESS TO FREEWAY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
• Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
• Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $801 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 464 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $101,991 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 464 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.49% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.01%
• DSCR: 2.02
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $116,719
• List price: $115,899
• Delta: -0.70%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 10 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1217 Oakhurst Dr	0.12mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,048 (-5%)	21mo	$154,900	$148	64
1314 Montgomery St	0.28mi	3/2.0	1,223 (+11%)	9mo	$180,000	$147	61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 16.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.64×
• Total profit: $20,837
• Equity at exit: $17,281

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.6%
• Equity multiple: 3.13×
• Total profit: $69,137
• Equity at exit: $10,021

Cash invested: $32,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76302

• Home prices YoY: -34.7%
• Active inventory: 75
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,732 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$608
• Tax from tax record: −$90 /mo · $1,078/yr
• Insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$364
• Net cashflow: $622

Break-even live

Break-even rent $944

Max offer price $115,899

Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $28,975
• Closing costs: $3,477
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1514 Christine Rd Wichita Falls, TX	3.0	2.0	1275	$1,600	$1.25	44d	1	0.46mi
4000 Weeks Park Ln Wichita Falls, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	870	$1,425	$1.64	43d	12	1.39mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $115,899 Active 464 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $115,899 Active 463 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $115,899 Active 462 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $115,899 Active 461 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $115,899 Active 460 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $115,899 Active 458 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $115,899 Active 457 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $115,899 Active 455 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $115,899 Active 454 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,899 Active 453 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,899 Active 452 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,899 Active 449 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,899 Active 447 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,899 Active 446 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,899 Active 445 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $115,899 Active 444 DOM
17. 2025-03-12
    listed $115,899 Active 475-char remark

    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    EASY ACCESS TO FREEWAY! Charming 3-bedroom 2-bathroom home in Wichita! Conveniently located off Henry S Grace freeway. In need of some updates and repairs but can become and the dream home in the right hands. Don't miss out on this great opportunity! WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process that may be able to put the deed in your name and make this your dream home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,078 · $90/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,121 · $177/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,043/yr (+$87/mo · 96.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,781
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,492
• − Property taxes: −$1,078
• − Insurance: −$579
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,662
• − Management: −$1,662
• − Depreciation: −$3,372
• Taxable income: $5,935
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,424
• After-tax cash flow: $6,042/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wichita Falls ISD
• NCES district ID: 4845780
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $41,604
• Composite: 27.06/100
• National rank: #7051
• State rank: #585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #437
• US rank: #8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wichita Falls, TX
• County: Wichita County · 95,694 people
• City population: 95,694
• Metro: Wichita Falls, TX
• Population (ZIP): 11,932
• Household income: $59,590
• Rent vs Own: 40.3% rent · 59.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 478.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 129,638 people
• By 2030: 128,366 · -1.0%
• By 2040: 124,466 · -4.0%
• By 2050: 120,499 · -7.0%
• By 2075: 113,884 · -12.2%
• By 2100: 101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -101.67%
• Current HPI: 191.4059
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Wichita Falls, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-03-12 Listed $115,899 HARMLS

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,078 · -38.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.