907 Calhoun · Magnolia, AR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
With over 1800 square feet this home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bath, washer and dryer hook-ups. The property is located less than five minutes from town.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1949
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.1% in Magnolia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Magnolia School District (town): math 29% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #164 of 238 in AR (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $95k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.29%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,374
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -37.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 608 W Calhoun St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-12%) | 20mo | $113,000 | $71 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,320
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $14,703
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71753
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $979 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $355/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $260 | -5% $233 | +0% $206 | +5% $179 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $129 | -5% $167 | +0% $206 | +5% $245 | +10% $283 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $254 | -0.5pp $230 | base $206 | +0.5pp $181 | +1.0pp $156 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
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2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-04-06$100,000 New Listing 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
With over 1800 square feet this home offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bath, washer and dryer hook-ups. The property is located less than five minutes from town.
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2025-08-06status Under Contract 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Need lots of room for a growing family at a affordable price? Look no further, this is it! This home could also make a great investment property. With over 1800 square feet this home offers 3 beds 2 bath, washer and dryer hook ups, covered patio, spacious rooms, convenient location. This home can be purchased in a package deal with 913 W Calhoun, 823 W Calhoun, 827 W Main. Property being sold as-is, where-is. No property disclosure available. Square footage and taxes taken from courthouse records.
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2025-08-05soldstatus $52,500 Sold 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Need lots of room for a growing family at a affordable price? Look no further, this is it! This home could also make a great investment property. With over 1800 square feet this home offers 3 beds 2 bath, washer and dryer hook ups, covered patio, spacious rooms, convenient location. This home can be purchased in a package deal with 913 W Calhoun, 823 W Calhoun, 827 W Main. Property being sold as-is, where-is. No property disclosure available. Square footage and taxes taken from courthouse records.
-
2025-02-27$78,000 New Listing 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
Need lots of room for a growing family at a affordable price? Look no further, this is it! This home could also make a great investment property. With over 1800 square feet this home offers 3 beds 2 bath, washer and dryer hook ups, covered patio, spacious rooms, convenient location. This home can be purchased in a package deal with 913 W Calhoun, 823 W Calhoun, 827 W Main. Property being sold as-is, where-is. No property disclosure available. Square footage and taxes taken from courthouse records.
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2019-10-03soldstatus $2,400,000
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2014-12-01soldstatus $1,800,000
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2009-12-22soldstatus $25,000
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1986-09-01soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $355 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $608 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$253/yr (+$21/mo · 71.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,745
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$355
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$940
- − Management
- −$940
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $951
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Magnolia School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500044
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,467
- Composite
- 23.58/100
- National rank
- #7850
- State rank
- #164 of 238 in AR
Livability — Magnolia
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #12675
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Magnolia, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,089
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,099 people
- By 2030
- 22,536 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 21,489 · -7.0%
- By 2050
- 20,536 · -11.1%
- By 2075
- 20,459 · -11.4%
- By 2100
- 19,797 · -14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.1% · R 67.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+24.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.64%
- Current HPI
- 145.3145
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+132.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Listed $100,000 CARMLS
- 2025-08-06 Pending — CARMLS
- 2025-08-05 Sold (MLS) $52,500 CARMLS
- 2025-02-27 Listed $78,000 CARMLS
- 2019-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $2,400,000 Public Records
- 2014-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $1,800,000 Public Records
- 2009-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1986-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $355 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…