1835 State Route 13 · Cortland, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lots to offer in this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Many updates include a nice kitchen and baths, large living room with an extra room perfect for office or playroom, great mudroom/pantry and a family room in the basement. Features an oversized, detached two car garage, enclosed front porch and great deck, all on nearly 2 acres! Come Take A Look!
Key facts
- Main level bedroom
- Patio area
- Large yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $154k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $154k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.2% in Cortland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#201 in NY, #3,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
- Homer Central School District (town): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #306 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in Cortland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cortland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.41%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,643
- Equity at exit
- $23,036
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $58,990
- Equity at exit
- $13,358
Cash invested: $43,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13045
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,857 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$810
- Tax from tax record
- −$397 /mo · $4,769/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $195
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $283 | -5% $239 | +0% $195 | +5% $151 | +10% $108 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $48 | -5% $122 | +0% $195 | +5% $268 | +10% $342 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $273 | -0.5pp $234 | base $195 | +0.5pp $155 | +1.0pp $114 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,625
- Closing costs
- $4,635
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Morningside Dr Cortland, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1464 | $2,150 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-22soldstatus $159,500
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-01-19historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-26price $154,500
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2025-12-24status Active
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2025-12-20historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-18$159,900 Active
-
2015-08-31soldstatus $121,900
-
2015-08-28soldstatus $121,900 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Lots to offer in this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Many updates include a nice kitchen and baths, large living room with an extra room perfect for office or playroom, great mudroom/pantry and a family room in the basement. Features an oversized, detached two car garage, enclosed front porch and great deck, all on nearly 2 acres! Come Take A Look!
-
2015-04-21$118,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Lots to offer in this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Many updates include a nice kitchen and baths, large living room with an extra room perfect for office or playroom, great mudroom/pantry and a family room in the basement. Features an oversized, detached two car garage, enclosed front porch and great deck, all on nearly 2 acres! Come Take A Look!
-
2013-10-09soldstatus $119,065
-
2013-10-08soldstatus $115,500 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
This home is sure to please! The 3 bedroom 1.5 bath updated house, welcomes you with a spacious front porch that leads into the front door. From the front door you enter into the formal living room that opens into a den. The first floor features an updated eat-in kitchen, bedroom, mudroom/pantry, and first floor laundry. The upstairs features a gorgeous renovated bathroom with an in-lay tile bath, and 2 spacious bedrooms. There is no lack for storage in this home, there is a TON of closet space. The home has a slate floor finished basement with bar. There is a Brand new 2 car detached garage.
-
2013-04-22$114,900 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
This home is sure to please! The 3 bedroom 1.5 bath updated house, welcomes you with a spacious front porch that leads into the front door. From the front door you enter into the formal living room that opens into a den. The first floor features an updated eat-in kitchen, bedroom, mudroom/pantry, and first floor laundry. The upstairs features a gorgeous renovated bathroom with an in-lay tile bath, and 2 spacious bedrooms. There is no lack for storage in this home, there is a TON of closet space. The home has a slate floor finished basement with bar. There is a Brand new 2 car detached garage.
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2009-08-21soldstatus $95,400
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2006-08-31soldstatus $95,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,769 · $397/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,769 · $397/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,285
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,654
- − Property taxes
- −$4,769
- − Insurance
- −$772
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,783
- − Management
- −$1,783
- − Depreciation
- −$4,495
- Taxable income
- $29
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,334/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Homer Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614640
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,122
- Composite
- 47.03/100
- National rank
- #2342
- State rank
- #306 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cortland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #201
- US rank
- #3105
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cortland County · 28,361 people
- City population
- 28,361
- Metro
- Cortland, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,361
- Household income
- $69,961
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1488.0
Population outlook (Cortland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,543 people
- By 2030
- 46,107 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 43,122 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 40,216 · -15.4%
- By 2075
- 34,717 · -27.0%
- By 2100
- 28,953 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cortland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.4) · D 46.8% · R 53.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: 10.0pp · 2024: -6.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+6.7 2012: D+8.8 2008: D+10.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.78%
- Current HPI
- 289.515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Metro
- Cortland, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+67.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $159,500 Public Records
- 2026-03-25 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-01-19 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-12-26 Price Changed $154,500 CNYIS
- 2025-12-24 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2025-12-20 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $159,900 CNYIS
- 2015-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $121,900 Public Records
- 2015-08-28 Sold (MLS) $121,900 CNYIS
- 2015-04-21 Listed $118,000 CNYIS
- 2013-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $119,065 Public Records
- 2013-10-08 Sold (MLS) $115,500 CNYIS
- 2013-04-22 Listed $114,900 CNYIS
- 2009-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $95,400 Public Records
- 2006-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $95,400 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,769 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…