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1835 State Route 13
C Composite 56.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,500

1835 State Route 13 · Cortland, NY 13045
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,151 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1880 1.94 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lots to offer in this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Many updates include a nice kitchen and baths, large living room with an extra room perfect for office or playroom, great mudroom/pantry and a family room in the basement. Features an oversized, detached two car garage, enclosed front porch and great deck, all on nearly 2 acres! Come Take A Look!

Key facts

  • Main level bedroom
  • Patio area
  • Large yard

Tags

MAIN LEVEL BEDROOMENCLOSED FRONT PORCHBACK ENTRY ROOMPATIO AREALARGE YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $154k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $154k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.2% in Cortland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#201 in NY, #3,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D.
  • Homer Central School District (town): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #306 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in Cortland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cortland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,595 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.41%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,643
Equity at exit
$23,036
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$58,990
Equity at exit
$13,358

Cash invested: $43,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13045

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Rents YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
141
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,857 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$810
Tax from tax record
$397 /mo · $4,769/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$195

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,610
Max offer price $154,500
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $283 -5% $239 +0% $195 +5% $151 +10% $108
Rent -10% $48 -5% $122 +0% $195 +5% $268 +10% $342
Rate -1.0pp $273 -0.5pp $234 base $195 +0.5pp $155 +1.0pp $114

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,625
Closing costs
$4,635
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3 Morningside Dr Cortland, NY 3.0 1.5 1464 $2,150 $1.47 44d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-04-22
    soldstatus $159,500
  2. 2026-03-25
    status Pending
  3. 2026-01-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2025-12-26
    price $154,500
  5. 2025-12-24
    status Active
  6. 2025-12-20
    historical Active Under Contract
  7. 2025-12-18
    listed $159,900 Active
  8. 2015-08-31
    soldstatus $121,900
  9. 2015-08-28
    soldstatus $121,900 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Lots to offer in this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Many updates include a nice kitchen and baths, large living room with an extra room perfect for office or playroom, great mudroom/pantry and a family room in the basement. Features an oversized, detached two car garage, enclosed front porch and great deck, all on nearly 2 acres! Come Take A Look!

  10. 2015-04-21
    listed $118,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Lots to offer in this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home. Many updates include a nice kitchen and baths, large living room with an extra room perfect for office or playroom, great mudroom/pantry and a family room in the basement. Features an oversized, detached two car garage, enclosed front porch and great deck, all on nearly 2 acres! Come Take A Look!

  11. 2013-10-09
    soldstatus $119,065
  12. 2013-10-08
    soldstatus $115,500 599-char remark
    Show marketing remark (599 chars)

    This home is sure to please! The 3 bedroom 1.5 bath updated house, welcomes you with a spacious front porch that leads into the front door. From the front door you enter into the formal living room that opens into a den. The first floor features an updated eat-in kitchen, bedroom, mudroom/pantry, and first floor laundry. The upstairs features a gorgeous renovated bathroom with an in-lay tile bath, and 2 spacious bedrooms. There is no lack for storage in this home, there is a TON of closet space. The home has a slate floor finished basement with bar. There is a Brand new 2 car detached garage.

  13. 2013-04-22
    listed $114,900 599-char remark
    Show marketing remark (599 chars)

    This home is sure to please! The 3 bedroom 1.5 bath updated house, welcomes you with a spacious front porch that leads into the front door. From the front door you enter into the formal living room that opens into a den. The first floor features an updated eat-in kitchen, bedroom, mudroom/pantry, and first floor laundry. The upstairs features a gorgeous renovated bathroom with an in-lay tile bath, and 2 spacious bedrooms. There is no lack for storage in this home, there is a TON of closet space. The home has a slate floor finished basement with bar. There is a Brand new 2 car detached garage.

  14. 2009-08-21
    soldstatus $95,400
  15. 2006-08-31
    soldstatus $95,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,769 · $397/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,769 · $397/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,285
− Mortgage interest
−$8,654
− Property taxes
−$4,769
− Insurance
−$772
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,783
− Management
−$1,783
− Depreciation
−$4,495
Taxable income
$29
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$7
After-tax cash flow
$2,334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Homer Central School District
NCES district ID
3614640
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$60,122
Composite
47.03/100
National rank
#2342
State rank
#306 of 590 in NY

Livability — Cortland

Score
77/100
State rank
#201
US rank
#3105

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cortland County · 28,361 people
City population
28,361
Metro
Cortland, NY
Population (ZIP)
28,361
Household income
$69,961
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1488.0

Population outlook (Cortland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,543 people
By 2030
46,107 · -3.0%
By 2040
43,122 · -9.3%
By 2050
40,216 · -15.4%
By 2075
34,717 · -27.0%
By 2100
28,953 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cortland

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.4) · D 46.8% · R 53.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: 10.0pp · 2024: -6.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+6.7 2012: D+8.8 2008: D+10.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.78%
Current HPI
289.515
Rent YoY
▲ 8.37%
Metro
Cortland, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.2% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $159,500 Public Records
  • 2026-03-25 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-01-19 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2025-12-26 Price Changed $154,500 CNYIS
  • 2025-12-24 Relisted CNYIS
  • 2025-12-20 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $159,900 CNYIS
  • 2015-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $121,900 Public Records
  • 2015-08-28 Sold (MLS) $121,900 CNYIS
  • 2015-04-21 Listed $118,000 CNYIS
  • 2013-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $119,065 Public Records
  • 2013-10-08 Sold (MLS) $115,500 CNYIS
  • 2013-04-22 Listed $114,900 CNYIS
  • 2009-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $95,400 Public Records
  • 2006-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $95,400 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,769 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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