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2832 Hidden Spgs
C+ Composite 63.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,500

2832 Hidden Spgs · Placerville, CA 95667
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured · 2 Days on market
Built 1977 Est $67k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Hidden Springs Villa Senior Park, right in the heart of Placerville! This lovely two-bedroom, two-bathroom home has been updated with insulated vinyl siding, new windows and sliding glass door, complemented by the significant benefit of a Generac generator. You will love the kitchen, which offers plenty of cabinet space and Corian countertops, making it a great space for cooking and entertaining. It flows seamlessly into the cozy living and dining areas. Both bedrooms are adequately sized, and the primary suite features a convenient walk-in shower. You will also find a laundry room equipped with a Kenmore washer and dryer. Step outside onto your covered deck to soak in the surrou

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1977
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info: Land lease amount listed (not included in features)
  • HOA & community: No association; Located in a senior community; No land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached covered parking; Carport
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Propane available; Internet available; Generator; 220 volts in laundry; Private sewer; Public water
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (double wide); Built in 1977; Updated/Remodeled
  • Construction: Vinyl skirting; Other roof
  • Exterior features: Carport awning; Storage area; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free standing gas range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Pantry closet; Kitchen island; Kitchen/family combo
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tub with shower over; Shower stall(s)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Propane stove heat; Central cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Free standing gas stove/fireplace with gas piped; Dual pane full windows; Deck attached to living room; Covered and uncovered decks
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 2.8% in Placerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#553 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, crime F.
  • Placerville Union Elementary (town): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #248 of 517 in CA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.5%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 437 units permitted in El Dorado County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Dorado County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.10%
Cap rate
17.92%
Cash-on-cash
41.53%
DSCR
2.85
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$67,100
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2846 Hidden Springs Cir 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+5%) 4mo $70,000 $61 85
2786 Hidden Springs Cir 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+5%) 18mo $43,875 $38 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.7%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$50,703
Equity at exit
$13,345
10-year hold
IRR
52.0%
Equity multiple
7.41×
Total profit
$160,634
Equity at exit
$7,738

Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95667

Rents YoY
12.5%
Active inventory
352
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,881 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$469
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,342/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$867

Break-even live

Break-even rent $783
Max offer price $89,500
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $929 -5% $898 +0% $867 +5% $836 +10% $805
Rent -10% $719 -5% $793 +0% $867 +5% $942 +10% $1,016
Rate -1.0pp $912 -0.5pp $890 base $867 +0.5pp $844 +1.0pp $821

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,375
Closing costs
$2,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
495 Ridgecrest Ct Unit 3 Placerville, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,800 $2.25 2d 1 0.38mi
3010 Traci Ct Placerville, CA 2.0 2.0 1195 $2,475 $2.07 13d 1 1.20mi
2879 Acacia Way Unit 2 Placerville, CA 2.0 1.0 806 $1,800 $2.23 11d 1 1.20mi
7142 Green Valley Rd Placerville, CA 2.0 1.0 860 $2,100 $2.44 18d 1 1.27mi
2760 Coloma St Apt 3 Placerville, CA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,700 $2.34 2d 1 1.29mi
631 Weaver Way Placerville, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 21d 1 1.33mi
920 Hillcrest St Placerville, CA 2.0 1.0 840 $2,300 $2.74 22d 1 1.42mi
2791 Manor Dr Placerville, CA 2.0 1.0 780 $1,600 $2.05 20d 1 1.48mi
2793 Manor Dr Placerville, CA 2.0 1.0 815 $1,700 $2.09 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on marketlisting id $89,500 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,500 Active 110 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,569
− Mortgage interest
−$5,013
− Property taxes
−$1,342
− Insurance
−$448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,806
− Management
−$1,806
− Depreciation
−$2,604
Taxable income
$9,551
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,292
After-tax cash flow
$8,115/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Placerville Union Elementary
NCES district ID
0630780
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$54,662
Composite
32.8/100
National rank
#5626
State rank
#248 of 517 in CA

Livability — Placerville

Score
61/100
State rank
#553
US rank
#18366

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment B- Housing B+ Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Placerville, CA
County
El Dorado County · 144,198 people
City population
36,830
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
36,830
Household income
$89,938
Rent vs Own
24.7% rent · 75.3% own
Severe rent burden
1147.0

Population outlook (El Dorado County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
191,666 people
By 2030
193,662 · +1.0%
By 2040
192,583 · +0.5%
By 2050
185,904 · -3.0%
By 2075
169,543 · -11.5%
By 2100
139,623 · -27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · El Dorado

2024 margin
R (+12.0) · D 42.6% · R 54.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-1.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.5pp · 2024: -12.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.0 2020: R+8.8 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+18.2 2008: R+10.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -480.50%
Current HPI
262.6014
Rent YoY
▲ 12.48%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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