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2734 Edgewood Dr
C+ Composite 64.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,000

2734 Edgewood Dr · Rockford, IL 61114
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,242 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 1960 10,019 sqft lot Est $280k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Feast your eyes on this large Brick Ranch home with much to offer! 3 generously sized bedrooms and 2 full baths on the main floor including an ensuite for the master bed. 2 large living spaces, a formal dining area, and an eat-in kitchen offers plenty of eating and entertainment options in the home. Sliding doors out to the back patio with a privacy fence to the rear yard & mature landscaping. Let's not forget that this home has 1st-floor laundry as well! Downstairs offers a plethora of options with 2 bonus rooms, another finished area with bamboo floors and a large partially finished rec room area, and large storage areas too! 98% efficient furnace, central air, and location! Location! Location! This home is just by the Forest Hills County Club.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential property listed by Gambino Realtors

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces; Asphalt driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house)
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Shingle roof; Below-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Brick construction; Lot about 0.23 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $269k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $841 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $269k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Clifford P Carlson Elem School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,056 statewide, top 71%, 347 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Middle School (math 9% / reading 17%, grade F, #540 of 665 statewide, top 82%, 961 students, 0% FRL); Guilford High School (math 15% / reading 28%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 2,071 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $75k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $181k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $269,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.05%
Cash-on-cash
13.41%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$280,250
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4902 Forest Hills Rd 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,087 (-7%) 15mo $215,000 $103 66
2615 E Chickadee Trl 0.21mi 3/1.5 2,038 (-9%) 10mo $280,000 $137 64
2303 Rock Ter 0.63mi 3/3.0 2,231 (-0%) 3mo $525,000 $235 63
3319 Landstrom Rd 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,136 (-5%) 18mo $286,000 $134 51
4903 Illinois St 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,062 (-8%) 15mo $191,500 $93 50
3107 Sunnyside Dr 0.66mi 3/2.5 2,120 (-5%) 11mo $202,000 $95 49
2404 Rock Ter 0.62mi 2/3.0 (-1) 2,213 (-1%) 15mo $284,000 $128 48
2433 Oxford St 0.74mi 3/1.5 2,059 (-8%) 4mo $215,000 $104 47
5523 Forest Hills Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 2,080 (-7%) 10mo $175,000 $84 47
4015 Coventry Dr 0.74mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,408 (+7%) 8mo $299,999 $125 40
1928 Bradley Rd 0.70mi 3/3.5 2,450 (+9%) 7mo $305,000 $124 40
2516 Starkweather Rd 0.68mi 3/3.0 1,920 (-14%) 8mo $315,000 $164 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$10,066
Equity at exit
$40,109
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
2.04×
Total profit
$78,031
Equity at exit
$23,258

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61114

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,441 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,411
Tax from tax record
$354 /mo · $4,250/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$723
Net cashflow
$841

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,376
Max offer price $269,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $994 -5% $918 +0% $841 +5% $765 +10% $689
Rent -10% $570 -5% $706 +0% $841 +5% $977 +10% $1,113
Rate -1.0pp $977 -0.5pp $910 base $841 +0.5pp $772 +1.0pp $701

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,250
Closing costs
$8,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3121 Carefree Dr Rockford, IL 4.0 2.5 3000 $2,800 $0.93 44d 1 0.68mi
4016 Eaton Dr Unit 1232695P Rockford, IL 3.0 3.0 1722 $4,169 $2.42 14d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $269,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    remarks 409-char remark
  4. 2026-06-07
    listed $269,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,250 · $354/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,178 · $432/mo
Expected delta
+$928/yr (+$77/mo · 21.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,292
− Mortgage interest
−$15,068
− Property taxes
−$4,250
− Insurance
−$1,345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,303
− Management
−$3,303
− Depreciation
−$7,825
Taxable income
$6,196
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,487
After-tax cash flow
$8,610/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
City population
147,297
Population (ZIP)
15,026

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.00%
Current HPI
225.8485
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $269,000 NWIAR
  • 2022-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $181,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-31 Sold (MLS) $181,000 NWIAR
  • 2022-05-31 Sold (MLS) $181,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-04 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-01 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-01 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-29 Listed $160,000 NWIAR
  • 2022-04-28 Listed $160,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,250 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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