3045 Courtland Cir · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$167,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WELCOME HOME! Nestled on a quiet cul-de-sac, this charming 4 bedroom 1.5 bath home offers comfort, privacy , and plenty of space to make your own.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1962
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Longwood subdivision; Served by East Baton Rouge school district
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Slab foundation; Built in 2026
- Exterior features: Cul-de-sac setting; Lot dimensions approximately 81 x 102 x 95 x 145; Lot area about 0.24 acre
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cul-de-sac lot
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $167k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $167k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $113k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.63%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,920
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3125 Crestaire Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (+2%) | 13mo | $45,000 | $32 | 72 |
| 9222 Kimberly Way | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,516 (+10%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $132 | 71 |
| 3088 Kimberly Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,518 (+10%) | 6mo | $107,000 | $70 | 70 |
| 3324 Crestaire Dr | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 | 1,414 (+2%) | 21mo | $135,000 | $95 | 68 |
| 3185 Kimberly Dr | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,497 (+8%) | 16mo | $204,000 | $136 | 66 |
| 3512 Crestaire Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,452 (+5%) | 10mo | $129,900 | $89 | 63 |
| 3045 Woodcrest Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,265 (-9%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $130 | 58 |
| 3176 Joyce Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,495 (+8%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $151 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-8,151
- Equity at exit
- $24,900
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $17,210
- Equity at exit
- $14,439
Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70814
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,752 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$876
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,697/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,750
- Closing costs
- $5,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3087 Farrington Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3087 Farrington Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 8508 Greenwell Springs Rd Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 970 | $975 | $1.01 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 146-char remark
-
2026-06-19$167,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,697 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,697 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,355
- − Property taxes
- −$1,697
- − Insurance
- −$835
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,682
- − Management
- −$1,682
- − Depreciation
- −$4,858
- Taxable income
- $913
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$219
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,346/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baton Rouge, LA
- City population
- 351,868
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,424
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.79%
- Current HPI
- 210.2213
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+133.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $167,000 GBRMLS
- 2015-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $112,900 Public Records
- 2015-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $112,900 Public Records
- 2015-08-07 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2015-06-04 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2015-06-03 Listed $112,900 GBRMLS
- 2015-05-01 Listed $112,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-02-20 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2014-12-11 Listed $55,200 AcadianaMLS
- 2014-12-11 Listed $55,200 GBRMLS
- 2010-04-05 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2010-04-05 Listed $110,000 GBRMLS
- 2005-04-18 Listed $84,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2004-07-07 Listed $79,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2004-07-07 Listed $79,900 GBRMLS
- 2000-09-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-08-31 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 1999-08-20 Listed $71,500 GBRMLS
- 1999-08-20 Listed $71,500 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,697 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…