4066 Avondale St · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.16%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The home is being offered As Is and will be sold at public auction on June 13, 2026, at 12:00 PM. Don't miss your chance to own a property in this highly desirable location with strong appeal for homeowners and investors alike. Opportunity awaits with this charming mid-century home located in one of the area's most desirable neighborhoods and sought-after school districts. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a spacious living room, and a separate dining room, this property offers timeless character and endless potential. Nestled in a neighborhood among mature shade trees on a cozy, established street, the neighborhood exudes old-world charm and a welcoming atmosphere. Whether you're searchin
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 19 ft wide x 21 ft long); 2 covered parking spaces; Concrete parking surfaces; No carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Located in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Attached property; Built in 1953; Subdivision: Elmwood West; Directions: South 14 to Leggett, north on Leggett to Avondale
- Construction: Year built 1953
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approx. 0.324 acres); Alley access; Asphalt and curbed streets; Overhead utilities; Phone available
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (1st level) about 16 x 14; Bedroom (1st level) about 11 x 12; Bedroom (1st level) about 11 x 14
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Built-in features; One level; 5 total rooms; 1 living area; 1 dining area; Living area approximately 1600
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.8% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bonham El (math 29% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 482 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 57% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+32.1%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.84%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7631 Hudson Way | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,573 (-2%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $200 | 75 |
| 734 S Jefferson Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,546 (-3%) | 1mo | $215,500 | $139 | 68 |
| 1058 Westridge Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,468 (-8%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $143 | 65 |
| 1305 S Pioneer Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+1%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $139 | 63 |
| 1266 Buccaneer Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,502 (-6%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $87 | 63 |
| 4082 Stratford St | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,739 (+9%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $181 | 58 |
| 3302 S 5th St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,479 (-8%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $128 | 55 |
| 1326 Glenwood Dr | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,524 (-5%) | 3mo | $224,900 | $148 | 53 |
| 3218 S 5th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,452 (-9%) | 2mo | $114,900 | $79 | 52 |
| 1361 S Pioneer Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,738 (+9%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $112 | 51 |
| 918 S San Jose Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (-12%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $151 | 49 |
| 1141 S La Salle | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,427 (-11%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $133 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $8,926
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $93,909
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79605
- Rents YoY
- 32.1%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,193 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$340 /mo · $4,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $501 | -5% $451 | +0% $402 | +5% $352 | +10% $303 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $228 | -5% $315 | +0% $402 | +5% $488 | +10% $575 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $490 | -0.5pp $446 | base $402 | +0.5pp $356 | +1.0pp $310 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 841 S San Jose Dr Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $3,000 | $2.67 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3250 College St Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2850 S 5th St Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,995 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3173 Hunt St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 889 Ross Ave Abilene, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1223 | $1,700 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5348 Benbrook St Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $2,100 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2301 Post Oak Rd Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1915 | $3,295 | $1.72 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18status $175,000 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$175,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,083 · $340/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,083 · $340/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 16% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,318
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$4,083
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,105
- − Management
- −$2,105
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $2,256
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$541
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,279/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,467
- Household income
- $62,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1096.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.75%
- Current HPI
- 201.2341
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 32.08%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2011-11-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-12-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-09-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,083 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…