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4066 Avondale St
B Composite 70.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

4066 Avondale St · Abilene, TX 79605
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1953 0.32 ac lot Est $222k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The home is being offered As Is and will be sold at public auction on June 13, 2026, at 12:00 PM. Don't miss your chance to own a property in this highly desirable location with strong appeal for homeowners and investors alike. Opportunity awaits with this charming mid-century home located in one of the area's most desirable neighborhoods and sought-after school districts. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a spacious living room, and a separate dining room, this property offers timeless character and endless potential. Nestled in a neighborhood among mature shade trees on a cozy, established street, the neighborhood exudes old-world charm and a welcoming atmosphere. Whether you're searchin

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1953

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 19 ft wide x 21 ft long); 2 covered parking spaces; Concrete parking surfaces; No carport spaces
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Located in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Attached property; Built in 1953; Subdivision: Elmwood West; Directions: South 14 to Leggett, north on Leggett to Avondale
  • Construction: Year built 1953
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approx. 0.324 acres); Alley access; Asphalt and curbed streets; Overhead utilities; Phone available

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (1st level) about 16 x 14; Bedroom (1st level) about 11 x 12; Bedroom (1st level) about 11 x 14
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Built-in features; One level; 5 total rooms; 1 living area; 1 dining area; Living area approximately 1600
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.8% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
  • Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bonham El (math 29% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 482 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 57% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+32.1%/yr); 109 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.84%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7631 Hudson Way 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,573 (-2%) 3mo $315,000 $200 75
734 S Jefferson Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,546 (-3%) 1mo $215,500 $139 68
1058 Westridge Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,468 (-8%) 4mo $210,000 $143 65
1305 S Pioneer Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,620 (+1%) 2mo $225,000 $139 63
1266 Buccaneer Dr 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,502 (-6%) 3mo $130,000 $87 63
4082 Stratford St 0.47mi 3/2.5 1,739 (+9%) 1mo $315,000 $181 58
3302 S 5th St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,479 (-8%) 2mo $189,900 $128 55
1326 Glenwood Dr 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,524 (-5%) 3mo $224,900 $148 53
3218 S 5th St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,452 (-9%) 2mo $114,900 $79 52
1361 S Pioneer Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,738 (+9%) 4mo $195,000 $112 51
918 S San Jose Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,400 (-12%) 2mo $212,000 $151 49
1141 S La Salle 0.57mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,427 (-11%) 2mo $190,000 $133 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$8,926
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$93,909
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79605

Rents YoY
32.1%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,193 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$340 /mo · $4,083/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$402

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,685
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $501 -5% $451 +0% $402 +5% $352 +10% $303
Rent -10% $228 -5% $315 +0% $402 +5% $488 +10% $575
Rate -1.0pp $490 -0.5pp $446 base $402 +0.5pp $356 +1.0pp $310

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
841 S San Jose Dr Abilene, TX 2.0 1.0 1122 $3,000 $2.67 22d 1 0.59mi
3250 College St Abilene, TX 2.0 1.0 1148 $1,595 $1.39 22d 1 0.79mi
2850 S 5th St Abilene, TX 4.0 2.0 1175 $1,995 $1.70 14d 1 0.97mi
3173 Hunt St Abilene, TX 3.0 1.5 1300 $2,250 $1.73 45d 1 1.08mi
889 Ross Ave Abilene, TX 2.0 1.0 1223 $1,700 $1.39 22d 1 1.22mi
5348 Benbrook St Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1164 $2,100 $1.80 45d 1 1.25mi
2301 Post Oak Rd Abilene, TX 3.0 2.0 1915 $3,295 $1.72 22d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $175,000 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $175,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,083 · $340/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,083 · $340/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 16% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,318
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$4,083
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,105
− Management
−$2,105
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$2,256
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$541
After-tax cash flow
$4,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Abilene ISD
NCES district ID
4807440
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,782
Composite
27.71/100
National rank
#6909
State rank
#575 of 826 in TX

Livability — Abilene

Score
75/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#4037

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Abilene, TX
County
Taylor County · 136,672 people
City population
136,672
Metro
Abilene, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,467
Household income
$62,929
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1096.0

Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,270 people
By 2030
150,050 · +3.3%
By 2040
159,417 · +9.7%
By 2050
168,883 · +16.3%
By 2075
194,436 · +33.8%
By 2100
203,163 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Taylor

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.75%
Current HPI
201.2341
Rent YoY
▲ 32.08%
Metro
Abilene, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
  • 2011-11-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-12-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-09-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,083 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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