Duplex
3268 Y St · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Experienced investors! Great income producing 1 story duplex. Close to the University. Both units are 3 bed 2 bath with a basement. Property is being sold as is. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1976
- Listed 73 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $900 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $450/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $244k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,238/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.84%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $339,587
- List price
- $260,000
- Delta
- -23.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2846 Q St | 0.68mi | 4/4.0 | 3,324 (+8%) | 14mo | $325,000 | $98 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $13,199
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $77,176
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68503
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 13.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,238 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,231/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$680
- Net cashflow
- $900
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,048 | -5% $974 | +0% $900 | +5% $827 | +10% $753 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $645 | -5% $772 | +0% $900 | +5% $1,028 | +10% $1,156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,031 | -0.5pp $966 | base $900 | +0.5pp $833 | +1.0pp $764 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,238 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,619 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,619 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,238 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $260,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $260,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $260,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $260,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $260,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $260,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $260,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $260,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $260,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $260,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $260,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $260,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $260,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-06$260,000 New 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Experienced investors! Great income producing 1 story duplex. Close to the University. Both units are 3 bed 2 bath with a basement. Property is being sold as is. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-06historical
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Experienced investors! Great income producing 1 story duplex. Close to the University. Both units are 3 bed 2 bath with a basement. Property is being sold as is. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-23$270,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,231 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,498 · $375/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,267/yr (+$189/mo · 101.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$2,231
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,108
- − Management
- −$3,108
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable income
- $6,981
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,675
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,129/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- County
- Lancaster County · 291,509 people
- City population
- 291,509
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,867
- Household income
- $54,232
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 820.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 12% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.46%
- Current HPI
- 260.3421
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.39%
- Metro
- Lincoln, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
-3.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $260,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $270,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,231 · -15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…