CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3003 SW White Birch Dr
D- Composite 39.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +7.1/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.5/30.0
  • Livability +4.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

3003 SW White Birch Dr · Ankeny, IA 50023
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 2005 1,056 sqft lot $159/sqft · 30% below area Est $315k · 30% under $265/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Super Nice area in Ankeny, Huge Living room! 2 car attached garage under unit. Nice big Deck and open Kitchen and Living room. Corner lot so lots of yard space. 2 Nice size bathrooms by the bedrooms.

Key facts

  • Deck
  • Open kitchen
  • Corner lot

Tags

DECKOPEN KITCHENCORNER LOTYARD SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with breed restrictions
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (White Birch Townhomes HOA) with monthly fee of $265; Association managed by Sentry Management; HOA fee covers grounds maintenance and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached two-car garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Concrete road access
  • Home design: Two-story; Cement siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Zoned R
  • Construction: Cement siding construction; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dining area; Partial basement; Gas log fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-470 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $137k (37.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (24.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (37.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 3.0% in Ankeny — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 92/100 on livability (#3 in IA, #29 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-.
  • Ankeny Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #15 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Crocker Elementary School (math 88% / reading 76%, grade A+, #44 of 616 statewide, top 9%, 500 students, 19% FRL); Parkview Middle School (math 76% / reading 83%, grade A+, #35 of 246 statewide, top 16%, 867 students, 23% FRL); Ankeny High School (math 77% / reading 84%, grade A, #30 of 336 statewide, top 9%, 1,347 students, 20% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 498 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $141k; list at $220k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $136,878 (37.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
3.73%
Cash-on-cash
-9.16%
DSCR
0.59
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$315,012
List price
$219,900
Delta
-30.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2523 SW 31st St 0.49mi 3/2.5 1,405 (+2%) 2mo $325,000 $231 73
2506 SW 31st St 0.44mi 3/2.5 1,470 (+6%) 0mo $300,000 $204 68
2617 SW 32nd St 0.57mi 3/2.5 1,405 (+2%) 3mo $302,000 $215 68
3105 SW Townpark Dr 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,419 (+3%) 2mo $303,000 $214 66
3213 SW Townpark Cir 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,367 (-1%) 4mo $280,000 $205 66
2814 SW Homestead Cir 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,405 (+2%) 2mo $310,000 $221 64
2821 SW Homestead Cir 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,367 (-1%) 2mo $317,500 $232 62
2522 SW 32nd St 0.50mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,462 (+6%) 2mo $317,500 $217 60
1118 SW Ankeny Rd 0.63mi 3/2.5 1,288 (-7%) 1mo $332,000 $258 58
2813 SW Tradition Cir 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,464 (+6%) 2mo $268,500 $183 58
2822 SW Homestead Cir 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,520 (+10%) 2mo $318,000 $209 50
2806 SW Homestead Cir 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,187 (-14%) 1mo $300,000 $253 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-35.6%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-69,055
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
-68.7%
Equity multiple
-0.82×
Total profit
$-112,335
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50023

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
498
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,660 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$271 /mo · $3,256/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$265
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$-470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,255
Max offer price $136,878
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-345 -5% $-408 +0% $-470 +5% $-532 +10% $-594
Rent -10% $-601 -5% $-536 +0% $-470 +5% $-404 +10% $-339
Rate -1.0pp $-359 -0.5pp $-414 base $-470 +0.5pp $-527 +1.0pp $-585

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3011 SW Sharmin Ln Ankeny, IA 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,440 $1.36 45d 1 0.11mi
3044 SW Sharmin Ln Ankeny, IA 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,475 $1.40 45d 1 0.11mi
3181 SW Sharmin Ln Ankeny, IA 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,495 $1.42 16d 1 0.22mi
2333 SW Plaza Pkwy Ankeny, IA 2.0 1.0–2.0 886 $1,740 $1.96 16d 16 0.45mi
1210 SW 28th St Ankeny, IA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 962 $1,950 $2.03 16d 20 0.50mi
905 SW 28th St Ankeny, IA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 988 $1,760 $1.78 16d 13 0.61mi
1155 SW Prairie Trail Pkwy Ankeny, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 837 $1,900 $2.27 16d 69 0.95mi
1205 SW Merchant St Ankeny, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 874 $2,025 $2.32 16d 11 0.99mi
205 SW 48th St Ankeny, IA 4.0 3.0 1484 $2,295 $1.55 45d 1 1.31mi
1010 SW Magazine Rd Ankeny, IA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1080 $3,015 $2.79 16d 56 1.32mi
1370 SW Radcliffe Ln Ankeny, IA 2.0 2.0 1457 $2,027 $1.39 16d 11 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$265 · $3,180/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $219,900 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,900 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $219,900 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $219,900 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $219,900 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $219,900 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $219,900 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,900 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,900 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,900 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,900 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,900 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,900 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    listed $225,000 Active 199-char remark
  18. 2026-01-31
    historical
  19. 2025-11-03
    price $225,000
  20. 2025-10-23
    price $230,000
  21. 2025-09-30
    listed $235,000 Active
  22. 2006-01-05
    soldstatus $141,000
  23. 2005-10-27
    listed $139,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,256 · $271/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,354 · $280/mo
Expected delta
+$98/yr (+$8/mo · 3.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,917
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$3,256
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,593
− Management
−$1,593
− HOA
−$3,180
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$9,521
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,285
After-tax cash flow
$-3,355/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ankeny Community School District
NCES district ID
1903690
Math proficiency
80% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$75,384
Composite
70.91/100
National rank
#246
State rank
#15 of 289 in IA

Livability — Ankeny

Score
92/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#29

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C- Cost of living A- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ankeny, IA
County
Polk County · 453,298 people
City population
76,589
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
46,306
Household income
$117,826
Rent vs Own
28.5% rent · 71.5% own
Severe rent burden
617.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
548,042 people
By 2030
588,557 · +7.4%
By 2040
670,629 · +22.4%
By 2050
752,830 · +37.4%
By 2075
955,069 · +74.3%
By 2100
1,115,436 · +103.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.67%
Current HPI
215.1034
Rent YoY
▲ 0.75%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+57.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $219,900 DMMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $225,000 DMMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed DMMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $225,000 DMMLS
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $230,000 DMMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $235,000 DMMLS
  • 2006-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $141,000 Public Records
  • 2005-10-27 Listed $139,900 DMMLS

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,256 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…