686 Old Arden Highway Lot #24 Rd · Colville, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check this place out! MARLE mobile home for sale. This 14x70 mobile home has 2 bed and 1 bath. It is located 7 miles from Colville in Arden. Home is located in the Country Villa mobile home park. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE
Key facts
- Built 1974
- Listed 175 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.9% vs local median 1.6% in Colville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#119 in WA, #2,418 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Colville School District (town): math 52% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #75 of 291 in WA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 341 units permitted in Stevens County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Stevens County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 69.92%
- DSCR
- 4.11
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,750
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -74.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 686 Old Arden Hwy #3 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 972 (-1%) | 15mo | $92,000 | $95 | 77 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 74.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.14×
- Total profit
- $46,374
- Equity at exit
- $17,986
- IRR
- 74.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.54×
- Total profit
- $106,828
- Equity at exit
- $27,718
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99114-0000
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,122 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$7 /mo · $86/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $653
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $675 | -5% $664 | +0% $653 | +5% $641 | +10% $582 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $564 | -5% $608 | +0% $653 | +5% $697 | +10% $741 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $673 | -0.5pp $663 | base $653 | +0.5pp $642 | +1.0pp $632 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-16status $40,000 Pending 175 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $40,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $40,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $50,000 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Check this place out! MARLE mobile home for sale. This 14x70 mobile home has 2 bed and 1 bath. It is located 7 miles from Colville in Arden. Home is located in the Country Villa mobile home park. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE
-
2026-04-07price $50,000 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Check this place out! MARLE mobile home for sale. This 14x70 mobile home has 2 bed and 1 bath. It is located 7 miles from Colville in Arden. Home is located in the Country Villa mobile home park. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE Park Lot Fee Approximately $285. That includes water and septic
-
2026-03-07price $60,000 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Check this place out! MARLE mobile home for sale. This 14x70 mobile home has 2 bed and 1 bath. It is located 7 miles from Colville in Arden. Home is located in the Country Villa mobile home park. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE Park Lot Fee Approximately $285. That includes water and septic
-
2026-03-07price $60,000 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Check this place out! MARLE mobile home for sale. This 14x70 mobile home has 2 bed and 1 bath. It is located 7 miles from Colville in Arden. Home is located in the Country Villa mobile home park. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE Park Lot Fee Approximately $285. That includes water and septic
-
2025-12-19$70,000 Active 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Check this place out! MARLE mobile home for sale. This 14x70 mobile home has 2 bed and 1 bath. It is located 7 miles from Colville in Arden. Home is located in the Country Villa mobile home park. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE Park Lot Fee Approximately $285. That includes water and septic
-
2025-12-19$70,000 Active 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Check this place out! MARLE mobile home for sale. This 14x70 mobile home has 2 bed and 1 bath. It is located 7 miles from Colville in Arden. Home is located in the Country Villa mobile home park. OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE Park Lot Fee Approximately $285. That includes water and septic
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $86 · $7/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $392 · $33/mo
- Expected delta
- +$306/yr (+$26/mo · 358.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$86
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,077
- − Management
- −$1,077
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $7,617
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,828
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,003/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colville School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301630
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,060
- Composite
- 51.6/100
- National rank
- #3640
- State rank
- #75 of 291 in WA
Livability — Colville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #2418
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-28.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $50,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $50,000 NEWMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $60,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $60,000 NEWMLS
- 2025-12-19 Listed $70,000 NEWMLS
- 2025-12-19 Listed $70,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2026): $86 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…