3139 E Sahara Ave · Winchester, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Incredible STRIP VIEW and up close mountain view. Serious horse property potential. To be sold with adjoining 2.68-acre lot, APN 140-35-302-015, for nearly 4 acres total.
Key facts
- Stainless appliances
- Natural light
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#3 in NV, #2,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $135k (60%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.34%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-70
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $13,321
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89104
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,115 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3135 S Mojave Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,328 | $1.55 | 2d | 10 | 0.64mi |
| 3030 Plaza St Unit Studio 3 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,090 | $2.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3030 Plaza St Unit Studio 2 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,090 | $2.73 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3200 McLeod Dr Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 726 | $1,137 | $1.57 | 1d | 19 | 0.74mi |
| 3655 E Sahara Ave Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $975 | $1.26 | 23d | 10 | 0.75mi |
| 1755 Palm St Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,076 | $1.39 | 2d | 10 | 0.77mi |
| 2800 Fremont St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 771 | $1,480 | $1.92 | 3d | 11 | 0.77mi |
| 3168 S Eastern Ave #48 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 671 | $1,050 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2416 Clifford Ave Unit 119 Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $995 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3040 E Charleston Blvd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 372 | $789 | $2.12 | 2d | 10 | 1.05mi |
| 118 S Mojave Rd Unit 6 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 429 | $895 | $2.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1175 S Mojave Rd Unit 3 Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 385 | $995 | $2.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 111 Greenbriar Townhouse Way Las Vegas, NV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,295 | $1.96 | 20d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3356 Sylvia St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 731 | $1,225 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3356 Sylvia St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 731 | $1,255 | $1.72 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3210 S Sandhill Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 661 | $1,221 | $1.85 | 1d | 12 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12$90,000 Active 353-char remark
-
2015-04-22soldstatus $210,000 Sold 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Incredible STRIP VIEW and up close mountain view. Serious horse property potential. To be sold with adjoining 2.68-acre lot, APN 140-35-302-015, for nearly 4 acres total.
-
2015-04-10status Pending 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Incredible STRIP VIEW and up close mountain view. Serious horse property potential. To be sold with adjoining 2.68-acre lot, APN 140-35-302-015, for nearly 4 acres total.
-
2015-01-30status Exclusive Right 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Incredible STRIP VIEW and up close mountain view. Serious horse property potential. To be sold with adjoining 2.68-acre lot, APN 140-35-302-015, for nearly 4 acres total.
-
2014-09-05historical 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Incredible STRIP VIEW and up close mountain view. Serious horse property potential. To be sold with adjoining 2.68-acre lot, APN 140-35-302-015, for nearly 4 acres total.
-
2014-07-05$225,000 Exclusive Right 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Incredible STRIP VIEW and up close mountain view. Serious horse property potential. To be sold with adjoining 2.68-acre lot, APN 140-35-302-015, for nearly 4 acres total.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,383
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,071
- − Management
- −$1,071
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $1,783
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$428
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,682/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,611
- Composite
- 26.48/100
- National rank
- #7211
- State rank
- #11 of 17 in NV
Livability — Winchester
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #2272
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winchester, NV
- County
- Clark County · 2,306,105 people
- City population
- 39,883
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $52,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2715.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,504,101 people
- By 2030
- 2,693,770 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 3,061,208 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 3,400,072 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 4,139,522 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 4,596,916 · +83.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 21% Two or more races 19% Black 9% Asian 5% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45% Cuban 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 48% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -262.16%
- Current HPI
- 305.4172
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.18%
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
-6.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2015-04-22 Sold (MLS) $210,000 GLVAR
- 2015-04-10 Pending — GLVAR
- 2015-01-30 Relisted — GLVAR
- 2014-09-05 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2014-07-05 Listed $225,000 GLVAR
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $39,160 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…