🏷️ Likely Rental
423 Meigs St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to 423 Meigs Street, 14607! This classic two-family home offers excellent potential for long-term investment income. Located in the heart of Rochester’s highly desirable Pearl–Meigs–Monroe neighborhood, you’ll enjoy close proximity to local dining, shopping, and entertainment. The upper is a 3 bed, 1 bath unit is currently rented for $1,175/mo. The lower unit is a 2 bed, 1 bath, and rented for $1,425 per month. Both units have their own separate laundry rooms and will convey with the property. Additional features include a walk up attic, private entrances, 100 amp services for each unit, and a in process C of O that will be transferrable. All appliances will
Key facts
- Walk up attic
- 100 amp services
- C of o transferrable
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two total units; Two units in the community; Owner pays water; water is included in rent; Operating expenses include water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story multi-family building; Resale property; Wood siding exterior
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Existing year built (exact year not specified)
- Exterior features: Paved parking; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 140
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater (appliance/service noted)
- Bedrooms: Two-unit property (unit-level bedroom counts not provided)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Hardwood and tile flooring throughout; variety of finishes; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $554/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,378/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 2034% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $199k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.02%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $471,015
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -46.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65-67 Woodlawn St | 0.05mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,420 (+5%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $103 | 78 |
| 513 Averill Ave | 0.08mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (-9%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $121 | 66 |
| 41-43 Asbury St | 0.60mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,300 (-0%) | 3mo | $285,900 | $124 | 64 |
| 13 Whitmore St | 0.44mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,194 (-5%) | 6mo | $305,000 | $139 | 61 |
| 20 Boardman St | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,174 (-6%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $143 | 60 |
| 461 S Goodman St | 0.15mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,591 (+12%) | 7mo | $310,000 | $120 | 58 |
| 163 Mount Vernon Ave | 0.61mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,193 (-5%) | 5mo | $289,000 | $132 | 54 |
| 275 S Goodman St | 0.26mi | 5/3.0 | 2,621 (+14%) | 11mo | $375,000 | $143 | 52 |
| 122-124 Gregory St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,253 (-2%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $155 | 49 |
| 134 Benton St | 0.59mi | 5/3.0 | 2,064 (-11%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $124 | 42 |
| 179-181 Field St | 0.60mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,521 (+9%) | 8mo | $288,750 | $115 | 41 |
| 95 Wilmington St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,001 (-13%) | 11mo | $232,000 | $116 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $35,608
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $145,166
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14607
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,378 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,740/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$709
- Net cashflow
- $1,109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,250 | -5% $1,180 | +0% $1,109 | +5% $1,038 | +10% $967 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $842 | -5% $976 | +0% $1,109 | +5% $1,242 | +10% $1,376 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,235 | -0.5pp $1,173 | base $1,109 | +0.5pp $1,044 | +1.0pp $978 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,612 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,767 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,378 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Shepard St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2347 | $800 | $0.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 95 Parkwood Ave Rochester, NY | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $3,900 | $1.95 | 12d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 864-char remark
-
2026-05-05$249,900 Active 864-char remark
-
2023-11-08soldstatus $199,000
-
2016-08-01soldstatus $155,000
-
2016-06-30historical
-
2016-06-29$1,095
-
2016-02-18soldstatus $95,000
-
2002-04-26soldstatus $88,000
-
2000-06-09soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,740 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,982 · $248/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,241/yr (+$103/mo · 71.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,536
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,740
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,243
- − Management
- −$3,243
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $9,792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,350
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,957/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,891
- Household income
- $59,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2034.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.72%
- Current HPI
- 297.8107
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+733.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $249,900 UNYREIS
- 2023-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2016-06-30 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2016-06-29 Listed $1,095 UNYREIS
- 2016-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2002-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2000-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,740 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…