1373 Byrd Ave · Lincoln Heights, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home is full of potential and ready for any investor/or home buyer with a little tender loving care.
Key facts
- 4,182 sq ft lot
- Built 1928
- Listed 9 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas; Gas water heater
- Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One level; Block foundation
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood siding; Residential zoning; Lot about 40 x 105 (approx. 0.096 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 10 x 14; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on level 1); Primary bedroom about 11 x 10; Second bedroom about 11 x 11; Third bedroom about 11 x 11
- Flooring: Wall-to-wall carpet in living room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on level 1; 1 half (partial) bathroom on level 1
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas)
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Full basement with concrete floor and glass block windows; Ceiling fan
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#534 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: housing D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Princeton City (suburban): math 34% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #542 of 656 in OH (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 47 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.64%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 Byrd Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,208 (+10%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $62 | 68 |
| 116 Eggerding Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,082 (-2%) | 9mo | $209,900 | $194 | 61 |
| 837 Matthews Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-6%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $106 | 59 |
| 954 Van Buren Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,195 (+9%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $92 | 58 |
| 405 Home Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,231 (+12%) | 3mo | $232,000 | $188 | 55 |
| 1337 Shepherd Ln | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 979 (-11%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $158 | 55 |
| 405 W Forrer St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,133 (+3%) | 8mo | $196,000 | $173 | 54 |
| 306 Pershing Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,201 (+9%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $179 | 53 |
| 315 Home Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 945 (-14%) | 4mo | $188,000 | $199 | 46 |
| 1124 Lindale Ct | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+14%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $107 | 46 |
| 310 Westview Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,199 (+9%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $75 | 44 |
| 1010 Shepherd Ln | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,244 (+13%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $28 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,822
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $72,092
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45215
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,640 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,313/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $337
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $422 | -5% $380 | +0% $337 | +5% $295 | +10% $252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $208 | -5% $273 | +0% $337 | +5% $402 | +10% $467 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $413 | -0.5pp $375 | base $337 | +0.5pp $298 | +1.0pp $259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 738 Adams St Apt 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,095 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 911 Prairie Ave Cincinnati, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1243 | $1,995 | $1.60 | 8d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 617 Van Roberts Pl Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1109 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 8d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 301 W Benson St Unit 6 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 332 Arlington Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 18d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 918 2nd St Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $1,300 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 105-char remark
-
2026-06-10$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,313 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,827 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$513/yr (+$43/mo · 39.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,313
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,575
- − Management
- −$1,575
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,705
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$409
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,638/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Princeton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904467
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,182
- Composite
- 33.52/100
- National rank
- #5436
- State rank
- #542 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lincoln Heights
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #534
- US rank
- #9027
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln Heights, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,586
- Household income
- $69,372
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1529.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Black 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -263.50%
- Current HPI
- 217.3319
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.02%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+233.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $150,000 Cincy MLS
- 2008-12-09 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2008-07-15 Listed $45,000 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,313 · +20.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…