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1373 Byrd Ave
B- Composite 66.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

1373 Byrd Ave · Lincoln Heights, OH 45215
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1928 4,182 sqft lot Est $174k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home is full of potential and ready for any investor/or home buyer with a little tender loving care.

Key facts

  • 4,182 sq ft lot
  • Built 1928
  • Listed 9 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One level; Block foundation
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood siding; Residential zoning; Lot about 40 x 105 (approx. 0.096 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 10 x 14; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on level 1); Primary bedroom about 11 x 10; Second bedroom about 11 x 11; Third bedroom about 11 x 11
  • Flooring: Wall-to-wall carpet in living room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on level 1; 1 half (partial) bathroom on level 1
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas)
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Full basement with concrete floor and glass block windows; Ceiling fan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#534 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: housing D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Princeton City (suburban): math 34% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #542 of 656 in OH (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 47 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.99%
Cash-on-cash
9.64%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
910 Byrd Ave 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,208 (+10%) 0mo $75,000 $62 68
116 Eggerding Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,082 (-2%) 9mo $209,900 $194 61
837 Matthews Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-6%) 2mo $110,000 $106 59
954 Van Buren Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,195 (+9%) 2mo $110,000 $92 58
405 Home Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,231 (+12%) 3mo $232,000 $188 55
1337 Shepherd Ln 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 979 (-11%) 8mo $155,000 $158 55
405 W Forrer St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,133 (+3%) 8mo $196,000 $173 54
306 Pershing Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,201 (+9%) 10mo $215,000 $179 53
315 Home Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (-14%) 4mo $188,000 $199 46
1124 Lindale Ct 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,260 (+14%) 11mo $135,000 $107 46
310 Westview Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,199 (+9%) 8mo $90,000 $75 44
1010 Shepherd Ln 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,244 (+13%) 11mo $35,000 $28 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$5,822
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$72,092
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45215

Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,640 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,313/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$344
Net cashflow
$337

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,213
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $422 -5% $380 +0% $337 +5% $295 +10% $252
Rent -10% $208 -5% $273 +0% $337 +5% $402 +10% $467
Rate -1.0pp $413 -0.5pp $375 base $337 +0.5pp $298 +1.0pp $259

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
738 Adams St Apt 1 Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $1,095 $1.46 44d 1 0.53mi
911 Prairie Ave Cincinnati, OH 4.0 1.0 1243 $1,995 $1.60 8d 1 0.75mi
617 Van Roberts Pl Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1109 $1,475 $1.33 8d 1 1.01mi
301 W Benson St Unit 6 Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,995 $1.33 44d 1 1.22mi
332 Arlington Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 18d 1 1.33mi
918 2nd St Cincinnati, OH 2.0 1.0 1360 $1,300 $0.96 24d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 105-char remark
  8. 2026-06-10
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,313 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,827 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$513/yr (+$43/mo · 39.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,684
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,313
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,575
− Management
−$1,575
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$1,705
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$409
After-tax cash flow
$3,638/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Princeton City
NCES district ID
3904467
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$53,182
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5436
State rank
#542 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lincoln Heights

Score
69/100
State rank
#534
US rank
#9027

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing D Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln Heights, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
30,586
Household income
$69,372
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
1529.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -263.50%
Current HPI
217.3319
Rent YoY
▲ 8.02%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $150,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2008-12-09 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2008-07-15 Listed $45,000 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,313 · +20.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…