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88 Knollwood Rd
C Composite 58.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$155,000

88 Knollwood Rd · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31020
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,384 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1967 0.45 ac lot Est $133k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1967

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Lot dimensions approximately 150 x 170 x 150 x 170; Lot size about 0.45 acres; Crawl space basement

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen equipped with refrigerator, microwave, range, and disposal
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Microwave; Range; Disposal

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Twiggs County (rural): math 5% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #164 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Jeffersonville Elementary (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #988 of 1,228 statewide, top 81%, 334 students, 53% FRL); Twiggs County High School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #378 of 424 statewide, top 91%, 208 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 79% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Twiggs County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Twiggs County population projected at -41% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $152,675 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.55%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$132,864
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
88 Knollwood Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,464 (+6%) 9mo $140,000 $96 81

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$49,844
Equity at exit
$69,695
10-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
4.08×
Total profit
$133,644
Equity at exit
$107,408

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31020

Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,820 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $846/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$490

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,200
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $578 -5% $534 +0% $490 +5% $446 +10% $402
Rent -10% $346 -5% $418 +0% $490 +5% $562 +10% $634
Rate -1.0pp $568 -0.5pp $530 base $490 +0.5pp $450 +1.0pp $409

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 290-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    remarks 268-char remark
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
  19. 2026-05-19
    listed $160,000 Active
  20. 2025-10-01
    soldstatus $140,000
  21. 2025-09-25
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".

  22. 2025-08-30
    status Pending 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".

  23. 2025-08-27
    status Active 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".

  24. 2025-08-23
    status Pending 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".

  25. 2025-08-05
    listed $136,000 Active 274-char remark
    Show marketing remark (274 chars)

    Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$846 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,426 · $119/mo
Expected delta
+$580/yr (+$48/mo · 68.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,845
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$846
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,748
− Management
−$1,748
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$3,537
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$849
After-tax cash flow
$5,033/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twiggs County
NCES district ID
1305220
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$30,760
Composite
10.21/100
National rank
#9795
State rank
#164 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
143,186
Population (ZIP)
1,957

Population outlook (Twiggs County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,018 people
By 2030
6,369 · -9.2%
By 2040
5,162 · -26.4%
By 2050
4,168 · -40.6%
By 2075
2,964 · -57.8%
By 2100
2,624 · -62.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 33% Two or more races 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Twiggs

2024 margin
R (+14.7) · D 42.5% · R 57.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: -14.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.7 2020: R+7.3 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+8.7 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $160,000 CGMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2025-09-25 Sold (MLS) $140,000 CGMLS
  • 2025-08-30 Pending CGMLS
  • 2025-08-27 Relisted CGMLS
  • 2025-08-23 Pending CGMLS
  • 2025-08-05 Listed $136,000 CGMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…