88 Knollwood Rd · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".
Key facts
- 0.45 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1967
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Lot dimensions approximately 150 x 170 x 150 x 170; Lot size about 0.45 acres; Crawl space basement
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen equipped with refrigerator, microwave, range, and disposal
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Microwave; Range; Disposal
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Twiggs County (rural): math 5% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #164 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Jeffersonville Elementary (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #988 of 1,228 statewide, top 81%, 334 students, 53% FRL); Twiggs County High School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #378 of 424 statewide, top 91%, 208 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 79% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Twiggs County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Twiggs County population projected at -41% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.55%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,864
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 Knollwood Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,464 (+6%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $96 | 81 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $49,844
- Equity at exit
- $69,695
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $133,644
- Equity at exit
- $107,408
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31020
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,820 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $846/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $490
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $578 | -5% $534 | +0% $490 | +5% $446 | +10% $402 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $346 | -5% $418 | +0% $490 | +5% $562 | +10% $634 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $568 | -0.5pp $530 | base $490 | +0.5pp $450 | +1.0pp $409 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 290-char remark
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2026-06-17pricedays on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-10remarks 268-char remark
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2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-19$160,000 Active
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2025-10-01soldstatus $140,000
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2025-09-25soldstatus $140,000 Closed 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".
-
2025-08-30status Pending 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".
-
2025-08-27status Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".
-
2025-08-23status Pending 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".
-
2025-08-05$136,000 Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Ready to Move In. Recently Renovated! Fresh paint, new flooring, updated bathrooms, new kitchen cabinets with granite countertops, new ac , new ductwork & new water heater. Roof in good condition. Located on . 45 acres of land. Property Being Sold "AS IS".
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $846 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,426 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$580/yr (+$48/mo · 68.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,845
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$846
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,748
- − Management
- −$1,748
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $3,537
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$849
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,033/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twiggs County
- NCES district ID
- 1305220
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,760
- Composite
- 10.21/100
- National rank
- #9795
- State rank
- #164 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 143,186
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,957
Population outlook (Twiggs County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,018 people
- By 2030
- 6,369 · -9.2%
- By 2040
- 5,162 · -26.4%
- By 2050
- 4,168 · -40.6%
- By 2075
- 2,964 · -57.8%
- By 2100
- 2,624 · -62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 33% Two or more races 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Twiggs
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.7) · D 42.5% · R 57.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: -14.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.7 2020: R+7.3 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+8.7 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+17.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $160,000 CGMLS
- 2025-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2025-09-25 Sold (MLS) $140,000 CGMLS
- 2025-08-30 Pending — CGMLS
- 2025-08-27 Relisted — CGMLS
- 2025-08-23 Pending — CGMLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $136,000 CGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…