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C+ Composite 61.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,000

120 Willowbrook Dr · Bessemer, AL 35022
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,943 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1998 0.25 ac lot Est $192k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the ideal blend of comfort and convenience in this 3-bedroom, 2 bath beautiful home, strategically located minutes away from the interstate. This residence offers a timeless and elegant aesthetic that’s sure to captivate your heart. Situated in a desirable area, this property provides easy access to schools, parks, shopping, and dining, making daily life more convenient. Step inside to discover a cozy living space perfect for family.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 2 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.9% in Bessemer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Bessemer City (suburban): math 3% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #120 of 129 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Westhills Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 627 statewide, top 79%, 315 students, 75% FRL); Bessemer City High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 850 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 87% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.50%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$192,357
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
109 Waverly Cir 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,923 (-1%) 6mo $285,000 $148 67
721 Walnut St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,958 (+1%) 12mo $135,000 $69 65
402 Elm St SW 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,808 (-7%) 13mo $128,000 $71 61
109 Hillside Rd 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,008 (+3%) 1mo $169,000 $84 60
115 Hillside Rd 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,847 (-5%) 3mo $238,900 $129 59
731 Potter Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,845 (-5%) 8mo $181,000 $98 54
107 Hillside Rd 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,800 (-7%) 6mo $167,000 $93 52
803 Potter Ave 0.68mi 3/3.0 2,061 (+6%) 4mo $205,000 $99 51
817 Milgray Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,859 (-4%) 11mo $230,000 $124 49
406 Pine St SW 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,694 (-13%) 18mo $100,000 $59 44
812 Montez Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,761 (-9%) 6mo $204,000 $116 41
105 Woodland Rd 0.64mi 3/2.5 2,181 (+12%) 10mo $231,500 $106 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$346
Equity at exit
$24,155
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$62,425
Equity at exit
$14,007

Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35022

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,624 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$850
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $988/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,265
Max offer price $162,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,500
Closing costs
$4,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
63 Bluebell St Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,399 $1.14 15d 1 0.60mi
18 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1418 $1,100 $0.78 43d 1 0.67mi
200 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.5 1826 $1,200 $0.66 10d 1 0.77mi
236 Clifton St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,100 $0.76 43d 1 0.84mi
306 W Lake Cir SW Bessemer, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1004 $1,455 $1.45 1d 1 0.95mi
434 Bryant St Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1540 $1,523 $0.99 3d 1 1.18mi
704 Avenue I Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,200 $0.97 23d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2023-12-27
    soldstatus $162,000
  2. 2023-11-26
    status Pending
  3. 2023-11-24
    listed $162,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$988 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$988 · $82/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,489
− Mortgage interest
−$9,075
− Property taxes
−$988
− Insurance
−$810
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,559
− Management
−$1,559
− Depreciation
−$4,713
Taxable income
$785
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$188
After-tax cash flow
$3,215/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bessemer City
NCES district ID
0100330
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$29,721
Composite
8.45/100
National rank
#9905
State rank
#120 of 129 in AL

Livability — Bessemer

Score
59/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#20078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bessemer, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
48,018
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,126
Household income
$81,846
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
554.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.40%
Current HPI
219.3839
Rent YoY
▲ 14.80%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2023-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $162,000 Public Records
  • 2023-11-26 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2023-11-24 Listed $162,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $988 · -52.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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