120 Willowbrook Dr · Bessemer, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 46.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the ideal blend of comfort and convenience in this 3-bedroom, 2 bath beautiful home, strategically located minutes away from the interstate. This residence offers a timeless and elegant aesthetic that’s sure to captivate your heart. Situated in a desirable area, this property provides easy access to schools, parks, shopping, and dining, making daily life more convenient. Step inside to discover a cozy living space perfect for family.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1998
- Listed 2 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.9% in Bessemer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Bessemer City (suburban): math 3% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #120 of 129 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Westhills Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 627 statewide, top 79%, 315 students, 75% FRL); Bessemer City High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 850 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 87% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.50%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,357
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 Waverly Cir | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,923 (-1%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $148 | 67 |
| 721 Walnut St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,958 (+1%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $69 | 65 |
| 402 Elm St SW | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,808 (-7%) | 13mo | $128,000 | $71 | 61 |
| 109 Hillside Rd | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,008 (+3%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $84 | 60 |
| 115 Hillside Rd | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,847 (-5%) | 3mo | $238,900 | $129 | 59 |
| 731 Potter Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,845 (-5%) | 8mo | $181,000 | $98 | 54 |
| 107 Hillside Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,800 (-7%) | 6mo | $167,000 | $93 | 52 |
| 803 Potter Ave | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 | 2,061 (+6%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $99 | 51 |
| 817 Milgray Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,859 (-4%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $124 | 49 |
| 406 Pine St SW | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (-13%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $59 | 44 |
| 812 Montez Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,761 (-9%) | 6mo | $204,000 | $116 | 41 |
| 105 Woodland Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 2,181 (+12%) | 10mo | $231,500 | $106 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $346
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $62,425
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35022
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,624 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $988/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Bluebell St Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,399 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 18 Center St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1418 | $1,100 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 200 Center St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1826 | $1,200 | $0.66 | 10d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 236 Clifton St Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,100 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 306 W Lake Cir SW Bessemer, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1004 | $1,455 | $1.45 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 434 Bryant St Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $1,523 | $0.99 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 704 Avenue I Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,200 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2023-12-27soldstatus $162,000
-
2023-11-26status Pending
-
2023-11-24$162,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$988
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,559
- − Management
- −$1,559
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable income
- $785
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$188
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,215/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bessemer City
- NCES district ID
- 0100330
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,721
- Composite
- 8.45/100
- National rank
- #9905
- State rank
- #120 of 129 in AL
Livability — Bessemer
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #331
- US rank
- #20078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bessemer, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 48,018
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,126
- Household income
- $81,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 554.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.40%
- Current HPI
- 219.3839
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.80%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2023-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $162,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-26 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-11-24 Listed $162,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $988 · -52.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…