1298 E Route 30 · Ligonier, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.
Key facts
- Eat-in sized kitchen
- Formal dining room
- Fenced back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 1.1% in Ligonier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#267 in PA, #2,344 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Ligonier Valley SD (rural): math 28% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.19%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,551
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -49.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,886
- Equity at exit
- $22,482
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $14,645
- Equity at exit
- $20,310
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15655
- Home prices YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,554/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $109,900 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-04-25price $129,900 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.
-
2025-11-10price $139,900 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.
-
2025-10-16price $144,900 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.
-
2025-09-08$149,900 Active 377-char remark
Show marketing remark (377 chars)
Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,554 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,645 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$91/yr (+$8/mo · 5.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,606
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,554
- − Insurance
- −$1,347
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $15
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,718/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ligonier Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213710
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,879
- Composite
- 36.25/100
- National rank
- #4714
- State rank
- #310 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ligonier
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #267
- US rank
- #2344
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 440
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.78%
- Current HPI
- 109.0938
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-13.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $129,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $139,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $144,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-08 Listed $149,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,554 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…