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1298 E Route 30
B- Composite 69.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,900

1298 E Route 30 · Ligonier, PA 15655
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Other · 283 Days on market
Built 1950 0.27 ac lot $78/sqft · 49% below area Est $218k · 49% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.

Key facts

  • Eat-in sized kitchen
  • Formal dining room
  • Fenced back yard

Tags

MAIN LEVEL PRIMARY BEDROOMFULL BATHROOMEAT-IN SIZED KITCHENFORMAL DINING ROOMFENCED BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 1.1% in Ligonier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#267 in PA, #2,344 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Ligonier Valley SD (rural): math 28% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.59%
Cash-on-cash
8.19%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$217,551
List price
$109,900
Delta
-49.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,886
Equity at exit
$22,482
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$14,645
Equity at exit
$20,310

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15655

Home prices YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,554/yr
Insurance
$46
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,036
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 283 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 282 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 281 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $109,900 Active 280 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 280 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 278 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 274 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 273 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 272 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,900 Active 269 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 268 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 267 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 266 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 265 DOM
  15. 2026-04-25
    price $129,900 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.

  16. 2025-11-10
    price $139,900 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.

  17. 2025-10-16
    price $144,900 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.

  18. 2025-09-08
    listed $149,900 Active 377-char remark
    Show marketing remark (377 chars)

    Spacious 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Cape Cod in the Village of Laughlintown, just east of Ligonier Borough. Much larger than it looks. Main level primary bedroom with its own full bathroom, Large "eat-in" sized kitchen plus formal dining room. Fenced back yard great for pets. Expandable On-Site parking, V-Village zoning Allows residential and/or a variety of commercial uses.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,554 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,645 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$91/yr (+$8/mo · 5.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,606
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,554
− Insurance
−$1,347
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,168
− Management
−$1,168
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$15
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4
After-tax cash flow
$1,718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ligonier Valley SD
NCES district ID
4213710
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,879
Composite
36.25/100
National rank
#4714
State rank
#310 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ligonier

Score
79/100
State rank
#267
US rank
#2344

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
440

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.78%
Current HPI
109.0938
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $129,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $139,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $144,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-09-08 Listed $149,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,554 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…