1889 Michigan City Rd Unit 3E · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lovely 2br/1bth 3rd floor Condo, relax on the balcony and enjoy the scenic views. This unit is move-in or rent-ready; just add your personal touches. It includes off-street parking, laundry-in-building, and is near public transportation.
Key facts
- Balcony
- Laundry-in-building
- Scenic views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Six units in the building
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $386 (includes water); Pets allowed (dogs OK) with a max pet weight of 25 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space total; Unassigned off-street parking (owned)
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single-unit in a low-rise (1–3 stories) building; Entry level: 3; Fee simple ownership with homeowners association
- Construction: Brick exterior; Estimated living area; Building age: 41–50 years; Not rebuilt or rehabilitated
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions listed (33075)
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (approx. 11 x 6)
- Bedrooms: Main-level master bedroom (approx. 15 x 11); Main-level bedroom (approx. 11 x 10); Additional bedrooms present
- Flooring: Carpet in the living room
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; School bus service available
- Laundry & utility: Lower-level laundry room (approx. 9 x 9)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $75k implies a 295% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.56%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $17,480
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.36×
- Total profit
- $70,621
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,623 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,131/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$386
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $420 | -5% $399 | +0% $377 | +5% $356 | +10% $335 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $313 | +0% $377 | +5% $441 | +10% $506 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $415 | -0.5pp $396 | base $377 | +0.5pp $358 | +1.0pp $338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 495 Madison Ave Unit 1D Calumet City, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 595 | $1,175 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1450 E 154th Pl Dolton, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $2,300 | $2.36 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 8d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 460 Hoxie Ave Unit R Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1860 State St Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,465 | $1.67 | 8d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1601 Downs Dr Unit 3S Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,400 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 20d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 14507 Torrence Ave Unit 3C Burnham, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,150 | $1.70 | 10d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 14507 Torrence Ave Unit 1C Burnham, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,095 | $1.62 | 10d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 14500 Torrence Ave Unit 1B Burnham, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,195 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 14501 Torrence Ave Unit 3A Burnham, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 10d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 14501 S Torrence Ave Chicago, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $1,250 | $1.69 | 13d | 2 | 1.21mi |
| 14501 Torrence Ave Unit 1B Chicago, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,095 | $1.62 | 10d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14446 Torrence Ave Unit 2C Burnham, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,195 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2790 E State St Apt 2E Burnham, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $386 · $4,632/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $75,000
-
2026-03-25$78,000 Active
-
2013-02-13soldstatus $19,000
-
2012-12-18historical
-
2012-09-17New
-
2012-08-28historical
-
2012-05-16price Price Change
-
2012-04-15price Price Change
-
2012-03-09status Active
-
2012-03-09historical
-
2012-02-27New
-
2005-02-22soldstatus $68,000
-
1995-05-08soldstatus $43,500
-
1992-11-10soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,131 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,417 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$286/yr (+$24/mo · 25.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,476
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,131
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,558
- − Management
- −$1,558
- − HOA
- −$4,632
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$921
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,606/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+97.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Listed $78,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 2012-12-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-17 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-16 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-09 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-27 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 1995-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
- 1992-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2023): $1,131 · +4164.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…