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8305 Winchester Ave
A- Composite 83.52
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$1,100,000

8305 Winchester Ave · Margate City, NJ 08401-9999
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,204 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1950 Est $1619k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELL MAINTAINED, GREAT LOCATION. FINISHED 2ND FLOOR. LARGE SUNKEN FAMILY ROOM, GARAGE, 20 X 20' DECK OFF SECOND FLOOR. EASY TO SHOW.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 13 days

Tags

CORNER LOT OPPORTUNITYTHREE BLOCKS FROM THE BEACHLARGE SECOND STORY DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lead-based paint disclosure available; Seller's property condition disclosure available

Exterior

  • Parking: Two exterior parking spaces; One-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Single property for sale
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Concrete driveway; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Dishwasher; Gas stove; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Gas stove; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven; Washer; Den/TV room; Eat-in kitchen; Laundry/utility room; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry/utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $1.10M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $11k ($130k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($23k rent vs $1.10M).
  • Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 7.4% in Margate City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#149 in NJ, #3,893 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Margate City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #113 of 472 in NJ (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $41k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $308k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$66k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $152k; list at $1.10M implies a 624% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
18.60%
Cash-on-cash
43.94%
DSCR
2.96
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,619,380
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26 N Iroquois 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,362 (+13%) 10mo $999,999 $734 61
111 S Decatur Ave 0.71mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,264 (+5%) 14mo $1,700,000 $1,345 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.7%
Equity multiple
3.67×
Total profit
$823,739
Equity at exit
$494,608
10-year hold
IRR
47.4%
Equity multiple
7.38×
Total profit
$1,964,050
Equity at exit
$762,249

Cash invested: $308,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08401-9999

Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$22,781 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,769
Tax from tax record
$492 /mo · $5,902/yr
Insurance
$458
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,784
Net cashflow
$10,852

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,045
Max offer price $1,100,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$275,000
Closing costs
$33,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 N Coolidge Ave Unit A1 Margate City, NJ 3.0 2.0 1258 $35,000 $27.82 44d 1 0.97mi
120 N Harvard Ave Ventnor City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,100 $2.10 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $1,100,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-03
    listed $1,100,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,902 · $492/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$16,646 · $1,387/mo
Expected delta
+$10,744/yr (+$895/mo · 182.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$273,375
− Mortgage interest
−$61,617
− Property taxes
−$5,902
− Insurance
−$10,618
− Repairs & maintenance
−$21,870
− Management
−$21,870
− Depreciation
−$32,000
Taxable income
$119,497
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$28,679
After-tax cash flow
$101,544/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Margate City School District
NCES district ID
3409690
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$67,112
Composite
47.71/100
National rank
#2241
State rank
#113 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Margate City

Score
75/100
State rank
#149
US rank
#3893

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Margate City, NJ

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+600.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $1,100,000 SJSRMLS
  • 1999-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
  • 1999-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
  • 1999-04-16 Sold (MLS) $152,000 SJSRMLS
  • 1999-02-02 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 1998-04-27 Listed $169,900 SJSRMLS
  • 1990-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,902 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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