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226 Burdick Ave
A- Composite 84.3
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$129,900

226 Burdick Ave · Syracuse, NY 13208
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,548 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1930 6,113 sqft lot Est $161k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this three bedroom colonial home offering a blend of classic character and recent updates. Hardwood floors add warmth throughout much of the living space, complemented by fresh paint in the kitchen, living room, and dining room. The spacious kitchen features a newly installed floor and provides plenty of room for everyday living and entertaining. The bathroom has been fully renovated with a new shower unit, toilet, vanity, flooring, and insulation. A full attic offers additional space and flexibility for storage or future use. an enclosed front porch to enjoy the summer nights. Outside, enjoy a good-sized fenced yard with a shed, and off-street parking. Situated within a few mile

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Off-street parking
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSNEWLY INSTALLED FLOORFULLY RENOVATED BATHROOMENCLOSED FRONT PORCHFENCED YARDOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story property; Existing construction
  • Construction: Shake siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular lot (49 x 123)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Total 8 rooms (includes bedroom count within room total)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas, forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,775/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $130k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.50%
Cash-on-cash
18.58%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,992
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
226 Burdick Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,548 (0%) 0mo $161,400 $104 100
125 Cadillac St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,528 (-1%) 3mo $165,000 $108 86
3119 Grant Blvd 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,478 (-4%) 2mo $95,000 $64 77
707 Wolf St 0.30mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,562 (+1%) 7mo $55,000 $35 73
110 Lacy Pl 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,608 (+4%) 3mo $138,500 $86 66
212 Hood Ave 0.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,540 (-0%) 5mo $160,000 $104 66
2723 Grant Blvd 0.19mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,680 (+8%) 2mo $310,000 $185 62
104 Westview Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,618 (+4%) 3mo $189,000 $117 57
117 Lawrence St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,416 (-8%) 6mo $90,000 $64 54
1615 Spring St 0.51mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,392 (-10%) 4mo $66,000 $47 50
144 Kuhl Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (+8%) 7mo $265,000 $158 45
1100 Wadsworth St 0.61mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,724 (+11%) 2mo $199,900 $116 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.1%
Equity multiple
3.93×
Total profit
$106,614
Equity at exit
$117,024
10-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
8.86×
Total profit
$285,730
Equity at exit
$252,367

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13208

Home prices YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,775 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,248/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$563

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,062
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $637 -5% $600 +0% $563 +5% $527 +10% $490
Rent -10% $423 -5% $493 +0% $563 +5% $633 +10% $704
Rate -1.0pp $629 -0.5pp $596 base $563 +0.5pp $530 +1.0pp $495

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
286 Ross Park Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 0.41mi
244 Harding St #46 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 2200 $1,395 $0.63 44d 1 0.74mi
126 Woodruff Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,675 $1.40 44d 1 1.04mi
2340 Court St Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.5 1965 $2,200 $1.12 14d 1 1.04mi
100 Buckley Rd Liverpool, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 985 $3,850 $3.91 14d 1 1.06mi
106 Harrington St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,875 $1.61 44d 1 1.17mi
210 W Division St Unit 24 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 21d 1 1.20mi
210 W Division St Unit 87 Syracuse, NY 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 44d 1 1.23mi
746 E Laurel St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 44d 1 1.25mi
130 Old Liverpool Rd Liverpool, NY 4.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 14d 1 1.31mi
423 Wendell Ter Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1312 $2,500 $1.91 14d 1 1.34mi
373 Spencer St Unit 303 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.5 1085 $1,850 $1.71 44d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-07
    listed $129,900 Active
  3. 2022-04-05
    soldstatus $82,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,248 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,722 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$474/yr (+$39/mo · 38.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,305
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,248
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,704
− Management
−$1,704
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$4,944
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,187
After-tax cash flow
$5,573/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,993
Household income
$44,712
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1437.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.91%
Current HPI
399.3284
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $129,900 CNYIS
  • 2022-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,248 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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