11486 92nd St · Bardmoor, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this tastefully updated home located in a quiet subdivision close to all the area amenities. This home has been updated with a new kitchen, new flooring, updated baths, new dual zone ac system and ductwork, large tankless water heater, new roof and much more. Large rear porches, one screened and one open allow you to enjoy the mornings and evenings in comfort. The large 4th bedroom could also be used as a flex space or in law suite. There is even a spacious back yard with a storage shed for lawn equipment or your toys. Book your appointment today to see this wonderful home.
Key facts
- Flood zone x500
- Cosmetic renovation
- Close to dining
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $239k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.5% in Bardmoor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#141 in FL, #2,118 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.64%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $368,118
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9061 Sunrise Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,266 (+5%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $292 | 76 |
| 9143 Dream Way | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,180 (-2%) | 14mo | $322,500 | $273 | 73 |
| 9086 Enchantment Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,155 (-4%) | 11mo | $365,500 | $316 | 72 |
| 8946 Dream Way | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,095 (-9%) | 6mo | $365,000 | $333 | 65 |
| 8957 109th Ter | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-5%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $323 | 64 |
| 10849 92nd St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,110 (-8%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $311 | 61 |
| 10956 92nd St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (+5%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $179 | 60 |
| 10790 92nd St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-2%) | 12mo | $355,000 | $302 | 58 |
| 9070 Bryan Dairy Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-5%) | 15mo | $350,000 | $306 | 57 |
| 9043 108th Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,142 (-5%) | 12mo | $322,500 | $282 | 50 |
| 12595 95th St N | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,244 (+3%) | 11mo | $335,000 | $269 | 42 |
| 9146 108th Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,026 (-15%) | 13mo | $370,000 | $361 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-30,146
- Equity at exit
- $35,636
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-33,778
- Equity at exit
- $20,664
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33773
- Rents YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,489 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$299 /mo · $3,585/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $248
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $413 | -5% $331 | +0% $248 | +5% $165 | +10% $83 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $51 | -5% $150 | +0% $248 | +5% $346 | +10% $445 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $368 | -0.5pp $309 | base $248 | +0.5pp $186 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9099 108th Ave Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $2,600 | $1.79 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 10100 Sailwinds Blvd N #206 Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,850 | $1.60 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 12293 Sailwinds Dr #203 Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $2,050 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 12261 Sailwinds Dr #203 Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1139 | $1,800 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 10495 118th Ave Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1169 | $2,250 | $1.92 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 12293 103rd St Largo, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1339 | $2,469 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 10580 112th Ave Largo, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,995 | $2.16 | 5d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10560 114th Ter Largo, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $3,000 | $2.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10294 129th Ter Largo, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,119 | $1.80 | 5d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11707 108th St Unit 1018171P Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $3,119 | $2.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 10659 108th St Largo, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $2,550 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 10887 111th Pl N Largo, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,389 | $1.84 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9295 Starkey Rd Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,950 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8574 94th Ave Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,000 | $2.38 | 8d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 8574 94th Ave Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,000 | $2.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 9319 91st Ter Seminole, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $2,549 | $2.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-02-14status Pending
-
2026-02-10price $239,000
-
2026-02-10price $249,000
-
2026-02-10$225,000 Active
-
2025-08-06historical
-
2025-06-30status Active
-
2025-06-18status Pending
-
2025-05-25$299,000 Active
-
2020-11-04soldstatus $244,370 Sold 591-char remark
Show marketing remark (591 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully updated home located in a quiet subdivision close to all the area amenities. This home has been updated with a new kitchen, new flooring, updated baths, new dual zone ac system and ductwork, large tankless water heater, new roof and much more. Large rear porches, one screened and one open allow you to enjoy the mornings and evenings in comfort. The large 4th bedroom could also be used as a flex space or in law suite. There is even a spacious back yard with a storage shed for lawn equipment or your toys. Book your appointment today to see this wonderful home.
-
2020-11-04soldstatus $244,400
Show marketing remark (591 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully updated home located in a quiet subdivision close to all the area amenities. This home has been updated with a new kitchen, new flooring, updated baths, new dual zone ac system and ductwork, large tankless water heater, new roof and much more. Large rear porches, one screened and one open allow you to enjoy the mornings and evenings in comfort. The large 4th bedroom could also be used as a flex space or in law suite. There is even a spacious back yard with a storage shed for lawn equipment or your toys. Book your appointment today to see this wonderful home.
-
2020-08-19status Pending 591-char remark
Show marketing remark (591 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully updated home located in a quiet subdivision close to all the area amenities. This home has been updated with a new kitchen, new flooring, updated baths, new dual zone ac system and ductwork, large tankless water heater, new roof and much more. Large rear porches, one screened and one open allow you to enjoy the mornings and evenings in comfort. The large 4th bedroom could also be used as a flex space or in law suite. There is even a spacious back yard with a storage shed for lawn equipment or your toys. Book your appointment today to see this wonderful home.
-
2020-07-31$259,900 Active 591-char remark
Show marketing remark (591 chars)
Welcome to this tastefully updated home located in a quiet subdivision close to all the area amenities. This home has been updated with a new kitchen, new flooring, updated baths, new dual zone ac system and ductwork, large tankless water heater, new roof and much more. Large rear porches, one screened and one open allow you to enjoy the mornings and evenings in comfort. The large 4th bedroom could also be used as a flex space or in law suite. There is even a spacious back yard with a storage shed for lawn equipment or your toys. Book your appointment today to see this wonderful home.
-
2017-04-27soldstatus $164,000
-
2017-04-24soldstatus $164,900 Sold
-
2017-03-20status Pending
-
2017-03-17$164,900 Active
-
2013-11-18historical
-
2013-08-17$129,900
-
2009-04-27soldstatus $110,000
-
2009-04-27$107,900
-
2009-02-19$107,900
-
2009-01-07historical
-
2008-08-18$144,900
-
2007-11-19$134,900
-
2006-10-02soldstatus $175,000
-
2006-09-29soldstatus $175,000
-
2006-07-26$179,000
-
1986-03-01soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,866
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$3,585
- − Insurance
- −$1,992
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,389
- − Management
- −$2,389
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$831
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$199
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,176/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bardmoor
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #2118
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 18,276
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,741
- Household income
- $76,867
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 314.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -367.92%
- Current HPI
- 319.4536
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.37%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+397.9% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $239,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $249,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Listed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-06 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-30 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-25 Listed $299,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $244,400 Public Records
- 2020-11-04 Sold (MLS) $244,370 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-31 Listed $259,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $164,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-24 Sold (MLS) $164,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-17 Listed $164,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-18 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-08-17 Listed $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-27 Listed $107,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-27 Sold (MLS) $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-02-19 Listed $107,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-01-07 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-18 Listed $144,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-19 Listed $134,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-29 Sold (MLS) $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-26 Listed $179,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-16.5%/yrLatest (2025): $163 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…