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933 Tilden St Triplex
D- Composite 36.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,189,000

933 Tilden St · New York, NY 10469
9 bd · 8.1 ba · 3,060 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 2005 3,811 sqft lot Est $1065k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Newer construction. Only 20 years old with modern appliances and two full bathrooms in each of the 2 three bedrooms units. Each has large ensuite master bedroom. All appliances, installations are according to the City's required codes. Private swimming pool installed in the back yard for summertime and barbecue enjoyment. This beautiful building is accessible from both E 213th Street and the main front door entrance on Tilden, is a little set back from Tilden Street. 933 Tilden comes with driveway parking for 4 or more cars. House is very well maintained both inside and out, with flowery plants and shrubs in garden style. Located in a highly sort after Bronxwood Avenue and Paulding Avenue N

Key facts

  • Walk to shops
  • Driveway parking
  • 3,811 sq ft lot

Tags

PRIVATE SWIMMING POOLDRIVEWAY PARKINGACCESSIBLE FROM E 213TH STREETCLOSE TO TRANSPORTATIONWALK TO SHOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is a triplex; Lawn maintenance equipment may be negotiable
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Carport (4 spaces); Driveway parking; Off-street parking; Total 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Natural gas available and connected; Sewer connected; Public trash collection
  • Home design: Triplex; Actual property condition
  • Construction: Built with block, brick and frame construction; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Private pool; Back yard; Front yard; Garden; Landscaped; Level lot; Near public transit; Near shops; Paved areas; Other lot features; Chain link, cross fenced and front yard fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Open kitchen; Granite counters
  • Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; Two 3-bedroom units
  • Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating (forced air); ENERGY STAR qualified heating equipment; Electric cooling; ENERGY STAR qualified cooling equipment
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Chandelier; Granite counters; In-law floorplan; Open kitchen; Primary bathroom; Soaking tub
  • Laundry & utility: Lawn maintenance equipment negotiable

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.7-bath units multifamily listed at $1.19M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-892/yr) — negative. Per door: $-25/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.18M (1.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $923k (22.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $923k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,231/mo this rent would consume 146% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 3706% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.08M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $210k; list at $1.19M implies a 466% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $923,100 (22.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.27%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,064,880
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
822 E 215th St 0.20mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3,420 (+12%) 1mo $1,190,000 $348 50
709 East 213th St 0.37mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3,120 (+2%) 14mo $1,040,000 $333 48
3002 Barnes Ave 0.56mi 8/4.0 (-1) 3,214 (+5%) 9mo $1,225,000 $381 38
3016 Bouck Ave 0.67mi 9/5.0 3,100 (+1%) 20mo $1,222,222 $394 38
725 E 216th St 0.37mi 8/6.0 (-1) 3,330 (+9%) 21mo $980,000 $294 37
3641 Olinville Ave 0.52mi 8/4.0 (-1) 2,826 (-8%) 13mo $1,000,007 $354 32
3001 Olinville Ave 0.73mi 8/5.0 (-1) 3,340 (+9%) 6mo $1,100,000 $329 28
855 E 223rd St 0.56mi 8/5.0 (-1) 3,252 (+6%) 22mo $960,000 $295 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-185,270
Equity at exit
$177,284
10-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-116,209
Equity at exit
$102,803

Cash invested: $332,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10469

Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
203
Price-to-rent
32.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,231 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,235
Tax from tax record
$636 /mo · $7,634/yr
Insurance
$495
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,939
Net cashflow
$-74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,325
Max offer price $1,175,872
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $599 -5% $262 +0% $-74 +5% $-411 +10% $-747
Rent -10% $-804 -5% $-439 +0% $-74 +5% $290 +10% $655
Rate -1.0pp $524 -0.5pp $228 base $-74 +0.5pp $-382 +1.0pp $-696

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $9,231

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$297,250
Closing costs
$35,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 109 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 108 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 106 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,189,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-03-01
    listed $1,189,000 Active
  14. 2004-04-06
    soldstatus $210,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,634 · $636/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$13,864 · $1,155/mo
Expected delta
+$6,230/yr (+$519/mo · 81.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$110,772
− Mortgage interest
−$66,602
− Property taxes
−$7,634
− Insurance
−$5,945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,862
− Management
−$8,862
− Depreciation
−$34,589
Taxable loss
−$21,722
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,213
After-tax cash flow
$4,321/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
68,521
Household income
$76,020
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
3706.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 9%
Foreign-born
37% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -524.76%
Current HPI
321.9213
Rent YoY
▲ 4.33%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+466.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-01 Listed $1,189,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,634 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…