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586 Lincoln St
B Composite 74.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$76,900

586 Lincoln St · Middleport, OH 45760
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1910 $69/sqft · 10% below area Est $85k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This single-family home features several updates, including new paint, flooring, select cabinets, and a stove. With covered front and back porches and a location in a pleasant neighborhood, it presents a great opportunity for personal renovation or use as a rental property. The Village of Middleport is also actively engaged in improvements across the village for this Ohio river town, adding to the home's investment potential.

Key facts

  • Personal renovation
  • Investment potential
  • Built 1910

Tags

COVERED FRONT AND BACK PORCHESPERSONAL RENOVATIONINVESTMENT POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $77k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $77k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#765 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Meigs Local (rural): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #594 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 3 units permitted in Meigs County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $576 of equity ($532 loan paydown + $44 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Meigs County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $77k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $74,593 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.66%
Cash-on-cash
15.59%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,007
List price
$76,900
Delta
-9.54%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
690 Brownell Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,148 (+2%) 8mo $130,000 $113 78
3 Peach Circle Dr 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,164 (+4%) 19mo $109,900 $94 58
642 Mill St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,276 (+14%) 13mo $19,000 $15 54
550 Russell St. St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,088 (-3%) 17mo $125,000 $115 53
543 Grant St 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 984 (-12%) 19mo $20,000 $20 52
249 North Third Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,264 (+13%) 10mo $131,500 $104 46
159 Cole St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,020 (-9%) 21mo $45,000 $44 44
761 Ash St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-14%) 18mo $75,000 $78 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$15,778
Equity at exit
$22,550
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$47,007
Equity at exit
$27,283

Cash invested: $21,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45760

Home prices YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$403
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $852/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $641
Max offer price $76,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $323 -5% $302 +0% $280 +5% $258 +10% $236
Rent -10% $201 -5% $240 +0% $280 +5% $319 +10% $358
Rate -1.0pp $319 -0.5pp $299 base $280 +0.5pp $260 +1.0pp $240

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,225
Closing costs
$2,307
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-03-06
    listed $77,900 Active 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    This single-family home features several updates, including new paint, flooring, select cabinets, and a stove. With covered front and back porches and a location in a pleasant neighborhood, it presents a great opportunity for personal renovation or use as a rental property. The Village of Middleport is also actively engaged in improvements across the village for this Ohio river town, adding to the home's investment potential.

  2. 2026-01-08
    listed $77,900 Active 429-char remark
    Show marketing remark (429 chars)

    This single-family home features several updates, including new paint, flooring, select cabinets, and a stove. With covered front and back porches and a location in a pleasant neighborhood, it presents a great opportunity for personal renovation or use as a rental property. The Village of Middleport is also actively engaged in improvements across the village for this Ohio river town, adding to the home's investment potential.

  3. 2024-03-01
    soldstatus $27,500 Closed
  4. 2024-02-15
    status Pending
  5. 2024-01-25
    price $29,900
  6. 2023-12-26
    price $34,500
  7. 2023-11-22
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$852 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,026 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$174/yr (+$15/mo · 20.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,940
− Mortgage interest
−$4,308
− Property taxes
−$852
− Insurance
−$384
− Repairs & maintenance
−$955
− Management
−$955
− Depreciation
−$2,237
Taxable income
$2,249
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$540
After-tax cash flow
$2,818/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Meigs Local
NCES district ID
3904852
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$34,110
Composite
22.56/100
National rank
#8079
State rank
#594 of 656 in OH

Livability — Middleport

Score
64/100
State rank
#765
US rank
#13813

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Middleport, OH
County
Meigs · 23,356 people
Population (ZIP)
3,682
Household income
$37,014
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
9.3

Population outlook (Meigs County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,933 people
By 2030
20,975 · -4.4%
By 2040
18,650 · -15.0%
By 2050
16,243 · -25.9%
By 2075
10,860 · -50.5%
By 2100
6,510 · -70.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 2% German 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Meigs

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.0) · D 21.2% · R 78.1%
2008→2024 swing
-38.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.6pp · 2024: -57.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.0 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.06%
Current HPI
141.1158
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+95.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $77,900 ACBOR
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $77,900 SVAR
  • 2024-03-01 Sold (MLS) $27,500 ACBOR
  • 2024-02-15 Pending ACBOR
  • 2024-01-25 Price Changed $29,900 ACBOR
  • 2023-12-26 Price Changed $34,500 ACBOR
  • 2023-11-22 Listed $39,900 ACBOR

Property tax history

+12.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $852 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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