586 Lincoln St · Middleport, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$76,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This single-family home features several updates, including new paint, flooring, select cabinets, and a stove. With covered front and back porches and a location in a pleasant neighborhood, it presents a great opportunity for personal renovation or use as a rental property. The Village of Middleport is also actively engaged in improvements across the village for this Ohio river town, adding to the home's investment potential.
Key facts
- Personal renovation
- Investment potential
- Built 1910
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $77k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $77k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#765 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Meigs Local (rural): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #594 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 3 units permitted in Meigs County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $576 of equity ($532 loan paydown + $44 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Meigs County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $77k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.59%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,007
- List price
- $76,900
- Delta
- -9.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690 Brownell Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,148 (+2%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $113 | 78 |
| 3 Peach Circle Dr | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,164 (+4%) | 19mo | $109,900 | $94 | 58 |
| 642 Mill St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,276 (+14%) | 13mo | $19,000 | $15 | 54 |
| 550 Russell St. St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-3%) | 17mo | $125,000 | $115 | 53 |
| 543 Grant St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (-12%) | 19mo | $20,000 | $20 | 52 |
| 249 North Third Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (+13%) | 10mo | $131,500 | $104 | 46 |
| 159 Cole St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (-9%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $44 | 44 |
| 761 Ash St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-14%) | 18mo | $75,000 | $78 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $15,778
- Equity at exit
- $22,550
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $47,007
- Equity at exit
- $27,283
Cash invested: $21,532 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45760
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$403
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $852/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $280
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $302 | +0% $280 | +5% $258 | +10% $236 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $201 | -5% $240 | +0% $280 | +5% $319 | +10% $358 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $319 | -0.5pp $299 | base $280 | +0.5pp $260 | +1.0pp $240 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,225
- Closing costs
- $2,307
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-06$77,900 Active 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
This single-family home features several updates, including new paint, flooring, select cabinets, and a stove. With covered front and back porches and a location in a pleasant neighborhood, it presents a great opportunity for personal renovation or use as a rental property. The Village of Middleport is also actively engaged in improvements across the village for this Ohio river town, adding to the home's investment potential.
-
2026-01-08$77,900 Active 429-char remark
Show marketing remark (429 chars)
This single-family home features several updates, including new paint, flooring, select cabinets, and a stove. With covered front and back porches and a location in a pleasant neighborhood, it presents a great opportunity for personal renovation or use as a rental property. The Village of Middleport is also actively engaged in improvements across the village for this Ohio river town, adding to the home's investment potential.
-
2024-03-01soldstatus $27,500 Closed
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2024-02-15status Pending
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2024-01-25price $29,900
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2023-12-26price $34,500
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2023-11-22$39,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $852 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,026 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$174/yr (+$15/mo · 20.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,308
- − Property taxes
- −$852
- − Insurance
- −$384
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$955
- − Management
- −$955
- − Depreciation
- −$2,237
- Taxable income
- $2,249
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$540
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,818/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meigs Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904852
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,110
- Composite
- 22.56/100
- National rank
- #8079
- State rank
- #594 of 656 in OH
Livability — Middleport
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #765
- US rank
- #13813
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middleport, OH
- County
- Meigs · 23,356 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,682
- Household income
- $37,014
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9.3
Population outlook (Meigs County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,933 people
- By 2030
- 20,975 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 18,650 · -15.0%
- By 2050
- 16,243 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 10,860 · -50.5%
- By 2100
- 6,510 · -70.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 2% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Meigs
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.0) · D 21.2% · R 78.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.6pp · 2024: -57.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.0 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.06%
- Current HPI
- 141.1158
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+95.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $77,900 ACBOR
- 2026-01-08 Listed $77,900 SVAR
- 2024-03-01 Sold (MLS) $27,500 ACBOR
- 2024-02-15 Pending — ACBOR
- 2024-01-25 Price Changed $29,900 ACBOR
- 2023-12-26 Price Changed $34,500 ACBOR
- 2023-11-22 Listed $39,900 ACBOR
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $852 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…