3152 Fayburrow Dr · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come view this 3 bedroom, 1 and 1/2 bath home beofdre it is gone. Home has original fixtures and cabinets throughout. There is a convenient first floor laundry, living room and a family room with a fireplace. Fenced in back yard with a large deckfor privacy. Well established neighborhood and close to all amenities. Call your Realtor today.
Key facts
- Large deck
- First floor laundry
- Fenced in back yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1995; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Two half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Fireplace (1); Basement with walk-up access, partial finish, and crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-291/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (1.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (13.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Pickerington Local (suburban): math 58% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #186 of 656 in OH (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 475 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fairfield County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.45%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $293,940
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6818 Bennell Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,382 (+0%) | 1mo | $304,500 | $220 | 81 |
| 6783 Erindale Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,368 (-1%) | 1mo | $256,000 | $187 | 79 |
| 3014 Hubbardton Pl | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,260 (-9%) | 1mo | $262,000 | $208 | 67 |
| 6806 Bennell Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,272 (-8%) | 2mo | $254,000 | $200 | 67 |
| 3072 Grand Haven Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,408 (+2%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $213 | 62 |
| 2992 Grand Haven Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,370 (-1%) | 1mo | $316,000 | $231 | 61 |
| 2981 Hubbardton Pl | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (-9%) | 0mo | $249,900 | $198 | 60 |
| 7338 Aplin Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-8%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $232 | 60 |
| 2996 Hubbardton Pl | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-9%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $183 | 60 |
| 7520 Princeville Ct | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (+2%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $235 | 59 |
| 7394 Harbour Town Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (-9%) | 1mo | $307,000 | $245 | 57 |
| 3569 Peany Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,567 (+14%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $201 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-40,551
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-44,931
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43068
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,973 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$286 /mo · $3,436/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $-24
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $105 | -5% $41 | +0% $-24 | +5% $-89 | +10% $-154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-180 | -5% $-102 | +0% $-24 | +5% $54 | +10% $132 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $91 | -0.5pp $34 | base $-24 | +0.5pp $-84 | +1.0pp $-144 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3124 Creighton Pl Reynoldsburg, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1368 | $2,100 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3124 Creighton Pl Reynoldsburg, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1368 | $1,985 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7253 Fablegate Ct Reynoldsburg, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1173 | $2,295 | $1.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7287 Candlestone Dr Reynoldsburg, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1224 | $2,235 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2870 Kengary Way Reynoldsburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 987 | $1,282 | $1.30 | 3d | 23 | 0.55mi |
| 3560 Woody Way Canal Winchester, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,245 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6680 Oak Bend Commons Way Canal Winchester, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $1,588 | $0.91 | 9d | 10 | 0.56mi |
| 3028 Breed Dr Reynoldsburg, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1546 | $2,295 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2830 Albemarle Dr Reynoldsburg, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $1,525 | $1.19 | 5d | 5 | 0.60mi |
| 6562 Bennell Dr Reynoldsburg, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $2,280 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2800 John Steven Way Reynoldsburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 987 | $1,368 | $1.39 | 5d | 10 | 0.66mi |
| 2871 Yankee Doodle Dr Reynoldsburg, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1323 | $2,085 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6560 Benjamin Dr Reynoldsburg, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1434 | $1,895 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7282 Aracari Dr Pickerington, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1320 | $2,237 | $1.69 | 3d | 8 | 0.85mi |
| 2892 Teapot Ct Reynoldsburg, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1364 | $2,265 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 6300 Refugee Rd Canal Winchester, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1052 | $1,957 | $1.86 | 4d | 29 | 0.93mi |
| 7552 Woodland Trace Dr Reynoldsburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,494 | $1.66 | 3d | 6 | 0.94mi |
| 3084 Highland Park Dr Pickerington, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1576 | $3,200 | $2.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3000 High St Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,950 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3793 Lakeview Trl Canal Winchester, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $1,313 | $1.30 | 3d | 41 | 1.05mi |
| 6759 Dorothy's Crk Canal Winchester, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 6749 Dorothy's Crk Canal Winchester, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6717 Dorothys Crk Canal Winchester, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $1,450 | $0.95 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6733 Dorothys Xing Canal Winchester, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,550 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 6689 Dorothys Crk Canal Winchester, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 435 Fullers Cir Pickerington, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1567 | $1,699 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 419 Fullers Cir Pickerington, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1567 | $2,100 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2269 Hughey Dr Reynoldsburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1225 | $1,175 | $0.96 | 9d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6592 Steinway Dr Reynoldsburg, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 4d | 7 | 1.29mi |
| 3675 Cross Ridge Ln Canal Winchester, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 866 | $1,839 | $2.12 | 3d | 33 | 1.29mi |
| 6617 Bricegrove Blvd Canal Winchester, OH | 2.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1040 | $1,546 | $1.49 | 4d | 17 | 1.30mi |
| 7405 Long Rd Canal Winchester, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $2,100 | $2.20 | 3d | 33 | 1.30mi |
| 51 Great Trail Cir Pickerington, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1085 | $2,064 | $1.90 | 3d | 9 | 1.37mi |
| 6927 Spring Bloom Dr Canal Winchester, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $2,155 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 192 Fuller's Cir Pickerington, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $2,186 | $1.74 | 3d | 2 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $229,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$229,000 Active
-
2022-11-16soldstatus $273,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,436 · $286/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,504 · $292/mo
- Expected delta
- +$68/yr (+$6/mo · 2.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,671
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$3,436
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,894
- − Management
- −$1,894
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable loss
- −$4,186
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,005
- After-tax cash flow
- $713/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pickerington Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904689
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,735
- Composite
- 56.97/100
- National rank
- #1112
- State rank
- #186 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,148
- Household income
- $70,477
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2189.0
Population outlook (Fairfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,442 people
- By 2030
- 166,796 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 172,835 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 174,822 · +7.6%
- By 2075
- 174,938 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 160,988 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 31% Asian 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fairfield
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.5% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.1pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+27.0 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.50%
- Current HPI
- 233.8839
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.02%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-16.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $229,000 CBRMLS
- 2022-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $273,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,436 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…