105 S 4th St · Macclesfield, NC
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has great potential. Has 3BR 2BA and large rooms with central heat/air. Fixer upper, repairs needed.
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Large corner lot
- Storage building
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (10.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#587 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Edgecombe County Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #163 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: G W Carver Elementary (math 40% / reading 30%, grade F, #825 of 1,410 statewide, top 59%, 572 students, 100% FRL); South Edgecombe Middle (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 305 students, 99% FRL); Southwest Edgecombe High (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #393 of 535 statewide, top 75%, 802 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Edgecombe County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
- Edgecombe County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $140k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.63%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $213,928
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 S 4th St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,768 (0%) | 0mo | $124,000 | $70 | 100 |
| 108 W Wilson St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,617 (-8%) | 20mo | $195,000 | $121 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $44,117
- Equity at exit
- $83,926
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.19×
- Total profit
- $124,880
- Equity at exit
- $148,841
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27852
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,248 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $904/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $118
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $198 | -5% $158 | +0% $118 | +5% $79 | +10% $39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $20 | -5% $69 | +0% $118 | +5% $168 | +10% $217 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $189 | -0.5pp $154 | base $118 | +0.5pp $82 | +1.0pp $45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-03-12status Active
-
2026-02-26historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-11-09$139,900 Active
-
2021-07-05soldstatus $40,000 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
This home has great potential. Has 3BR 2BA and large rooms with central heat/air. Fixer upper, repairs needed.
-
2021-02-16$44,900 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
This home has great potential. Has 3BR 2BA and large rooms with central heat/air. Fixer upper, repairs needed.
-
1998-10-07soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $904 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,147 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$244/yr (+$20/mo · 27.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$904
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,198
- − Management
- −$1,198
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$932
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$224
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edgecombe County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701320
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,711
- Composite
- 19.85/100
- National rank
- #8696
- State rank
- #163 of 178 in NC
Livability — Macclesfield
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #587
- US rank
- #21557
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macclesfield, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,415
Population outlook (Edgecombe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,800 people
- By 2030
- 44,396 · -7.1%
- By 2040
- 37,562 · -21.4%
- By 2050
- 31,495 · -34.1%
- By 2075
- 20,943 · -56.2%
- By 2100
- 13,674 · -71.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 18% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Edgecombe
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.7) · D 61.0% · R 38.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 22.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.7 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+32.2 2012: D+36.4 2008: D+34.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.54%
- Current HPI
- 329.159
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+330.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-02-26 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2025-11-09 Listed $139,900 Hive MLS
- 2021-07-05 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Hive MLS
- 2021-02-16 Listed $44,900 Hive MLS
- 1998-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $904 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…