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2203 Powderhouse Rd SE
C- Composite 53.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

2203 Powderhouse Rd SE · Aiken, SC 29803
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,478 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1956 Est $248k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Many updates to this 4 bedroom 1.5 bath home situated on . 42 of an acre. Shopping or eating, only 1 mile from home. Sold AS-IS. Come take a look

Key facts

  • Built 1956
  • Listed 37 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (11.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.1% in Aiken — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
  • Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 516 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $225k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $200,021 (11.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.78%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$248,304
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
49 Vanderbilt Dr 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,312 (-11%) 1mo $230,000 $175 72
18 Winthrop Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,455 (-2%) 5mo $269,900 $185 70
72 Converse Dr 0.20mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,416 (-4%) 6mo $245,000 $173 70
410 Heathwood Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,482 (+0%) 5mo $225,000 $152 67
34 Clemson Dr 0.22mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,338 (-10%) 3mo $210,000 $157 66
302 Vanderbilt Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,645 (+11%) 6mo $250,000 $152 61
25 Vanderbilt Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,538 (+4%) 13mo $243,000 $158 61
37 Vanderbilt Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,638 (+11%) 6mo $240,000 $147 60
11 Converse Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,502 (+2%) 11mo $253,000 $168 59
920 Speckled Teal Path 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,648 (+12%) 5mo $310,000 $188 45
57 Citadel Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,634 (+11%) 6mo $273,500 $167 45
949 Speckled Teal Path 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,681 (+14%) 7mo $324,900 $193 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-17,678
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$17,063
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29803

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
516
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $669/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,683
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2211 Powderhouse Rd SE Aiken, SC 4.0 3.0 1702 $1,900 $1.12 21d 1 0.04mi
839 Speckled Teal Path Aiken, SC 3.0 2.0 1648 $2,335 $1.42 13d 1 0.59mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $225,000 Active
  17. 2017-09-12
    soldstatus $115,000
  18. 2017-09-11
    soldstatus $115,000 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Many updates to this 4 bedroom 1.5 bath home situated on . 42 of an acre. Shopping or eating, only 1 mile from home. Sold AS-IS. Come take a look

  19. 2017-06-30
    listed $115,000 145-char remark
    Show marketing remark (145 chars)

    Many updates to this 4 bedroom 1.5 bath home situated on . 42 of an acre. Shopping or eating, only 1 mile from home. Sold AS-IS. Come take a look

  20. 2011-11-21
    soldstatus $84,500
  21. 2011-11-18
    soldstatus $84,500 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    DON'T MISS THIS DEAL. MARKETED AS IS BUT HVAC NEW 6-10. ALL EXCEPT LR PICTURE WINDOW ARE VINYL DOUBLE PANE. REFRIGERATOR STAYS! 5 BURNER GAS COOKTOP.

  22. 2010-06-21
    listed $89,900 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    DON'T MISS THIS DEAL. MARKETED AS IS BUT HVAC NEW 6-10. ALL EXCEPT LR PICTURE WINDOW ARE VINYL DOUBLE PANE. REFRIGERATOR STAYS! 5 BURNER GAS COOKTOP.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$669 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,282 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$614/yr (+$51/mo · 91.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,003
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$669
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$187
After-tax cash flow
$3,197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aiken 01
NCES district ID
4500720
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,081
Composite
31.91/100
National rank
#5857
State rank
#36 of 80 in SC

Livability — Aiken

Score
67/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#10443

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Aiken County · 116,534 people
City population
71,807
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
40,699
Household income
$86,023
Rent vs Own
17.7% rent · 82.3% own
Severe rent burden
641.0

Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,003 people
By 2030
182,876 · +2.7%
By 2040
189,970 · +6.7%
By 2050
193,840 · +8.9%
By 2075
199,453 · +12.1%
By 2100
192,403 · +8.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 16% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Aiken

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -221.02%
Current HPI
231.6908
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $225,000 FSBO.com
  • 2017-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2017-09-11 Sold (MLS) $115,000 AMLS
  • 2017-06-30 Listed $115,000 AMLS
  • 2011-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $84,500 Public Records
  • 2011-11-18 Sold (MLS) $84,500 AMLS
  • 2010-06-21 Listed $89,900 AMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $669 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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