174 Meadow Ln · Marysville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Bedroom 2 Full Bath Home, Spacious Master Suite with Walk in Closet and Bath with Double Sinks and Whirlpool Tub. Two Additional Bedrooms are Large and Both Have Walk in Closets. Convenient Utility Room with Laundry and Large Coat/Storage Closet. Bright Sunny Modern Kitchen with Lots of Cabinets and Pantry Space Opens to Expansive Family Room with Beautiful Stone Fireplace. All Appliances Including Built in Dishwasher, Energy Efficient 2 X 6 Construction with Extra Insulation, New Windows in 2020, New Roof in 2021, New Water Heater in 2023, Furnace and Central Air Unit are about 12 Years Old, Deck Built in 2021 Overloooks Large Yard, Matching 10 X 10 Shed and Parking For 3 Cars. City Wate
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Whirlpool tub
- Walk in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (cats and dogs permitted)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA covers snow removal and trash; Community playground; Street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Security: Community security
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Private maintained road; Private road frontage; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 3 rooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Walk-in closet(s); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $594 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.6% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#114 in MI, #2,700 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
- Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Central Middle School (math 14% / reading 30%, grade F, #408 of 493 statewide, top 84%, 629 students, 72% FRL); Port Huron High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 1,100 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 47% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.30%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,520
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154 Meadow Ln | 0.02mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,716 (-3%) | 13mo | $66,000 | $38 | 78 |
| 87 Connecticut Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,728 (-2%) | 1mo | $195,500 | $113 | 64 |
| 1114 Minnesota Rd | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,634 (-8%) | 17mo | $185,000 | $113 | 62 |
| 132 Saint Clair Blvd | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,720 (-3%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $151 | 58 |
| 1197 Quain Ln | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,860 (+5%) | 16mo | $216,000 | $116 | 55 |
| 146 Meadow Ln | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,016 (+14%) | 19mo | $65,000 | $32 | 54 |
| 70 Carolina St | 0.50mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,730 (-2%) | 16mo | $195,000 | $113 | 53 |
| 120 Capitol Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,676 (-5%) | 19mo | $367,000 | $219 | 49 |
| 1423 Minnesota Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (-9%) | 21mo | $226,000 | $140 | 42 |
| 137 Rella Rae Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,895 (+7%) | 21mo | $405,000 | $214 | 40 |
| 211 Connecticut Ave | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,635 (-8%) | 19mo | $250,000 | $153 | 34 |
| 60 Carolina | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,512 (-14%) | 19mo | $252,000 | $167 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $24,209
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $73,798
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48060
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,538 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $594
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $656 | -5% $625 | +0% $594 | +5% $562 | +10% $531 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $472 | -5% $533 | +0% $594 | +5% $654 | +10% $715 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $639 | -0.5pp $616 | base $594 | +0.5pp $570 | +1.0pp $547 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3991 Brookstone Pl Port Huron, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $1,560 | $1.59 | 0d | 10 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2026-05-04$89,900 Active
-
2026-05-04$89,900 Active
-
2025-10-29$89,900 Active
-
2025-10-29$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,453
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,476
- − Management
- −$1,476
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $6,052
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,452
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with recent updates, making it a good investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and protects the home.
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps the home in good condition and prevents water damage.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and protects the home. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps the home in good condition and prevents water damage. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Huron Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628830
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,093
- Composite
- 25.4/100
- National rank
- #7462
- State rank
- #368 of 540 in MI
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #114
- US rank
- #2700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
- City population
- 9,942
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,342
- Household income
- $53,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1808.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 154,587 people
- By 2030
- 150,031 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 138,177 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 124,390 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 95,825 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 68,672 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.75%
- Current HPI
- 177.2401
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-29 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-29 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…