512 Whittington · Leesville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$121,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COMPS ONLY
Key facts
- Renovated brick home
- Updated bathroom
- New hvac system
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $122k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $201 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (0.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (0.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#30 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.6%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $122k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.08%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,720
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512 Whittington St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,208 (0%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $50 | 93 |
| 805 Dennis Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,231 (+2%) | 4mo | $91,000 | $74 | 85 |
| 105 Nelda St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,135 (-6%) | 10mo | $135,500 | $119 | 77 |
| 507 Whittington St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 1,235 (+2%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $77 | 76 |
| 1006 Anderson Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,247 (+3%) | 8mo | $33,500 | $27 | 74 |
| 800 Marvin Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $114 | 71 |
| 804 Marvin Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (+3%) | 21mo | $106,374 | $86 | 68 |
| 1201 John Paul Jones Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,221 (+1%) | 6mo | $143,000 | $117 | 67 |
| 1001 Pinckney Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,274 (+6%) | 21mo | $115,000 | $90 | 55 |
| 1110 Spruce St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-9%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $41 | 53 |
| 1007 W Union St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,353 (+12%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $103 | 53 |
| 125 Carver Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,285 (+6%) | 22mo | $150,000 | $117 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-587
- Equity at exit
- $18,176
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $44,905
- Equity at exit
- $10,540
Cash invested: $34,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71446
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.6%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,208 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$639
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $758/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $201
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,475
- Closing costs
- $3,657
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1403 Aaron St Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 305 W Maggie St Apt 3 Leesville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $600 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 306 W Harriet St Apt 6 Leesville, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $650 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 10 Katherine Loop Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,100 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 207 Belview Rd Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $121,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $121,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $121,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $121,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $121,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $121,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $121,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$121,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $758 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $758 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,498
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,828
- − Property taxes
- −$758
- − Insurance
- −$610
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,160
- − Management
- −$1,160
- − Depreciation
- −$3,546
- Taxable income
- $436
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$105
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,310/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,822
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4674
- State rank
- #18 of 98 in LA
Livability — Leesville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #5046
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leesville, LA
- County
- Vernon Parish · 21,275 people
- City population
- 21,275
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,275
- Household income
- $55,925
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,401 people
- By 2030
- 43,015 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 38,171 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 34,087 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 28,267 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 25,486 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.06%
- Current HPI
- 128.8849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.60%
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+54.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $121,900 GFPAR
- 2025-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2025-09-26 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
- 2025-07-28 Listed $60,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-28 Price Changed $79,000 GFPAR
- 2010-01-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $758 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…