221 N Main St · Modoc, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$92,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated at 221 N Main ST in MODOC, IN, USA, this single-family residence presents itself as an inviting home, thoroughly prepared and ready for the next owner. Currently occupied on a month-to-month lease. The kitchen serves as a central point for daily routines, featuring classic shaker cabinets that provide both aesthetic appeal and practical storage solutions for culinary essentials. Within one of the three bedrooms, a distinctive wood wall creates an atmosphere of warmth and character, offering a tranquil setting for repose and rejuvenation. The exterior spaces extend opportunities for outdoor enjoyment, with a welcoming porch providing an ideal spot for quiet contemplation and a patio offering a setting for relaxation. This single-family residence, with its 1.5 stories and 1304 square feet of living space, offers three bedrooms and one full bathroom, all situated on a generous 7492 square foot lot, reflecting its 1920 origins. This property offers a distinctive opportunity to embrace a comfortable and refined living experience.
Key facts
- Patio
- Welcoming porch
- 7,492 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#532 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
- Union School Corporation (rural): math 12% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #276 of 301 in IN (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($640 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
- Randolph County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $92k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.08%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,361
- List price
- $92,500
- Delta
- 9.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
7.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $55,553
- Equity at exit
- $69,717
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.71×
- Total profit
- $147,802
- Equity at exit
- $137,858
Cash invested: $25,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47358
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,125 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$485
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $997/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $282
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $335 | -5% $308 | +0% $282 | +5% $256 | +10% $230 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $193 | -5% $238 | +0% $282 | +5% $327 | +10% $371 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $329 | -0.5pp $306 | base $282 | +0.5pp $258 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,125
- Closing costs
- $2,775
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $92,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $92,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $92,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $92,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $92,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $92,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $92,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $92,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $92,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $92,500 Active 45 DOM
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2026-04-15$92,500 Active 1056-char remark
Show marketing remark (1056 chars)
Situated at 221 N Main ST in MODOC, IN, USA, this single-family residence presents itself as an inviting home, thoroughly prepared and ready for the next owner. Currently occupied on a month-to-month lease. The kitchen serves as a central point for daily routines, featuring classic shaker cabinets that provide both aesthetic appeal and practical storage solutions for culinary essentials. Within one of the three bedrooms, a distinctive wood wall creates an atmosphere of warmth and character, offering a tranquil setting for repose and rejuvenation. The exterior spaces extend opportunities for outdoor enjoyment, with a welcoming porch providing an ideal spot for quiet contemplation and a patio offering a setting for relaxation. This single-family residence, with its 1.5 stories and 1304 square feet of living space, offers three bedrooms and one full bathroom, all situated on a generous 7492 square foot lot, reflecting its 1920 origins. This property offers a distinctive opportunity to embrace a comfortable and refined living experience.
-
2022-07-11soldstatus $41,000 Closed 83-char remark
Show marketing remark (83 chars)
Check out this 3 bed, 1 bath home in Modoc located conveniently right off of US 36!
-
2022-07-11soldstatus $41,000
Show marketing remark (83 chars)
Check out this 3 bed, 1 bath home in Modoc located conveniently right off of US 36!
-
2022-05-09$59,900
Show marketing remark (83 chars)
Check out this 3 bed, 1 bath home in Modoc located conveniently right off of US 36!
-
2022-05-09$59,900 Active 83-char remark
Show marketing remark (83 chars)
Check out this 3 bed, 1 bath home in Modoc located conveniently right off of US 36!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $997 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $997 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,503
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,181
- − Property taxes
- −$997
- − Insurance
- −$462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,080
- − Management
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$2,691
- Taxable income
- $2,011
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$483
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,904/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1811730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,889
- Composite
- 17.17/100
- National rank
- #9108
- State rank
- #276 of 301 in IN
Livability — Modoc
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #532
- US rank
- #19171
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Modoc, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 917
Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,998 people
- By 2030
- 21,815 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 19,360 · -15.8%
- By 2050
- 17,010 · -26.0%
- By 2075
- 12,491 · -45.7%
- By 2100
- 8,986 · -60.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randolph
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.3% · R 75.9% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.9pp toward R · 2008: -8.8pp · 2024: -53.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+24.1 2008: R+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.91%
- Current HPI
- 238.7621
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+54.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $92,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) $41,000 RRELMS
- 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) $41,000 IRMLS
- 2022-05-09 Listed $59,900 RRELMS
- 2022-05-09 Listed $59,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2024): $997 · -6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…